Two relegation candidates clash in Gran Canaria this weekend. Our Las Palmas vs Alaves prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether the visitors can build on a much-needed win last time out.
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Las Palmas vs Alaves prediction: Kike Garcia to score in away win
Key stats
- Our Las Palmas vs Alaves betting tips take into account that only Real Valladolid have conceded more goals in La Liga than the hosts (45).
- Alaves have avoided defeat in 67% of their league matches under current boss Chacho Coudet.
- They’ve only lost one of their last seven away games in all competitions, excluding penalties.
Correct score prediction: Las Palmas 1-2 Alaves
Alaves had been playing better than their results suggested, and they finally got some reward for that with an upset victory over Villarreal last time out.
By contrast, Las Palmas have largely been playing poorly and getting poor results in 2025. They are missing key midfielder Dario Essugo again here and the visitors look the more likely victors.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Alaves the slight favourites
- HOME: 19/10 (2.90) – 34.5%
- DRAW: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%
- AWAY: 6/4 (2.50) – 40.0%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The visitors are the favourites according to the Las Palmas vs Alaves odds, with an implied probability of 40.0% that they win this match.
They were 1-0 winners against the Yellow Submarine last time out, with Manu Sanchez scoring the only goal in a match they ended with only nine players.
As for Las Palmas, they head into this following a 1-0 defeat at Real Betis to extend their winless start to the new year.
For more from the upcoming matches in Europe, today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Low-scoring games the norm
Our Las Palmas vs Alaves prediction suggests this could be a bit livelier than the last five meetings which have all served up two or fewer goals.
Alaves are unbeaten on their last four visits to this stadium, with three of those games finishing level.
Spain La Liga 01/09/24
CD Alaves
Las Palmas
Spain La Liga 26/05/24
Las Palmas
CD Alaves
Spain La Liga 09/12/23
CD Alaves
Las Palmas
Spain Segunda 27/05/23
Las Palmas
CD Alaves
Spain Segunda 03/09/22
CD Alaves
Las Palmas
Las Palmas preview: Hosts missing two to suspension
The home team are missing Viti Rozada and Dario Essugo to suspension. They also have injury doubts over Mika Marmol, Andy Pelmard and Benito Ramirez.
Predicted Lineup: Cillessen (GK), A. Munoz, McKenna, A. Suarez, Herzog, Bajcetic, Campana, J. Munoz, Moleiro, F. Silva & Sandro
Spain La Liga 13/05/25
L Sevilla 1 Las Palmas 0 Spain La Liga 09/05/25
L Rayo Vallecano 1 Las Palmas 0 Spain La Liga 03/05/25
L Valencia 3 Las Palmas 2 Spain La Liga 23/04/25
L Athletic Bilbao 1 Las Palmas 0 Spain La Liga 19/04/25
W Atletico Madrid 0 Las Palmas 1
Alaves preview: Triple blow for Coudet
The visitors have goalkeeper Antonio Sivera suspended here, along with Antonio Blanco and Moussa Diarra. They have doubts over Hugo Novoa and Carlos Benavidez.
Predicted Lineup: Owono, Sanchez, Mourino, Abqar, Tenaglia, Guevara, Alena, Jordan, Cabanes, C. Martin & K. Garcia
Spain La Liga 11/05/25
L Athletic Bilbao 1 CD Alaves 0 Spain La Liga 03/05/25
D Atletico Madrid 0 CD Alaves 0 Spain La Liga 23/04/25
W Real Sociedad 0 CD Alaves 1 Spain La Liga 20/04/25
D Sevilla 1 CD Alaves 1 Spain La Liga 13/04/25
L Real Madrid 1 CD Alaves 0 
Player to watch – Kike Garcia
The visitors have at least been able to rely on Kike Garcia for goals during a tough season. The ex-Middlesbrough frontman has scored six in his last eight matches, to take his tally to 11 in La Liga this term.
Kike’s aerial dominance
The veteran striker is averaging 3.2 aerial challenges won per game. That’s more than any other player who could feature in this one.