The battle to avoid relegation is heating up in the Bundesliga as Koln welcome heavyweights Borussia Dortmund to the RheinEnergieStadion.
Can the hosts move further away from the bottom three, or will the visitors shake off their three-match losing run? Read our Koln vs Borussia Dortmund prediction and preview to find out, but don’t forget to also check out our other Bundesliga predictions here.
Contents
- 1 Koln vs Borussia Dortmund prediction: Billy Goats battling against the drop
- 2 Pre-game odds and win probability: Dortmund massive favourites
- 3 Most recent H2Hs: Dortmund domination
- 4 Koln preview: Confidence issues for Billy Goats
- 5 Borussia Dortmund preview: Deflated visitors
- 6 Player to watch: Maximilian Beier
Koln vs Borussia Dortmund prediction: Billy Goats battling against the drop
Key Stats
- Koln boast the worst defensive record outside of the bottom three, with 41 goals conceded.
- Koln are yet to concede a goal in the opening 10 minutes this season.
- Borussia Dortmund are yet to be beaten when starting a match as the favourites.
- Borussia Dortmund have won their last four matches against Koln, scoring 12 goals along the way
Correct score prediction: Koln 1-2 Borussia Dortmund
Pressure continues to mount on Koln after the Billy Goats picked up just one point from their last four outings.
Lukas Kwasniok’s men are being dragged into the relegation battle, with his side starting this latest matchday just two points above the bottom three.
Koln have not tasted a Bundesliga victory since the end of January, which certainly has not helped their survival hopes.
Borussia Dortmund, on the other hand, enter the weekend on the back of a deflating couple of weeks.
Niko Kovac and his men squandered a two-goal advantage over Atalanta in the Champions League and were sent packing out of the competition.
Just a few days later, Die Borussen were beaten 3-2 at home by Bundesliga leaders Bayern Munich – a result which has essentially ended the title race.
Dortmund need to shake off their three-match winless run and they will be hoping to do just that away in Cologne.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Dortmund massive favourites
HOME: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8%
DRAW: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%
AWAY: 73/100 (1.73) – 57.8%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Looking at those Koln vs Borussia Dortmund odds, the bookmakers are clearly backing the visitors to take all three points.
If you liked our predictions for this game, remember to also check our betting tips for today.
Most recent H2Hs: Dortmund domination
Koln are desperate to move away from the bottom three, but they certainly will not take much confidence from looking at the head-to-head record.
Dortmund have won their last four encounters, keeping three clean sheets and bagging 12 goals along the way.
The two teams last met in October, with Dortmund picking up a conservative 1-0 victory.
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Koln preview: Confidence issues for Billy Goats
With just one win from their last six matches, confidence is running low for Koln in what is becoming an incredibly tight survival battle.
When it comes to injuries, Koln remain without defenders Timo Hubers and Luca Kilian, who are out with knee injuries.
Denis Huseinbasic and Jan Thielmann will join them on the sidelines this Saturday evening.
On top of that, Norwegian defender Sebastian Sebulonsen is a doubt after missing last weekend’s trip to Augsburg.
Predicted lineup: Schwabe (GK), Van den Berg, Simpson-Pusey, Ozkacar, Castro-Montes, Martel, Krauss, Lund, Kaminski, El Mala, Ache
Last five matches
27/02/26: Augsburg 2-0 Koln (Bundesliga)
21/02/26: Koln 2-2 Hoffenheim (Bundesliga)
14/02/26: VfB Stuttgart 3-1 Koln (Bundesliga)
08/02/26: Koln 1-2 RB Leipzig (Bundesliga)
30/01/26: Koln 1-0 VfL Wolfsburg (Bundesliga)
Borussia Dortmund preview: Deflated visitors
Motivation could be an issue for Borussia Dortmund, who have two months left of the season and nothing to fight for bar the top four.
In terms of absentees, Emre Can is expected to sit Saturday’s game out after being forced off last weekend with a knee injury.
Youngsters Carney Chukwuemeka and Filippo Mane are also out of action and will remain on the sidelines.
The same could be the case for Niklas Sule, who has been a regular in the physio room this season.
Predicted lineup: Kobel (GK), Reggiani, Anton, Schlotterbeck, Ryerson, Sabitzer, Nmecha, Svensson, Brandt, Silva & Beier
Last five matches
28/02/26: Borussia Dortmund 2-3 Bayern Munich (Bundesliga)
25/02/26: Atalanta 4-1 Borussia Dortmund (Champions League)
21/02/26: RB Leipzig 2-2 Borussia Dortmund (Bundesliga)
17/02/26: Borussia Dortmund 2-0 Atalanta (Champions League)
13/02/26: Borussia Dortmund 4-0 Mainz 05 (Bundesliga)
Player to watch: Maximilian Beier

Borussia Dortmund forward Maximilian Beier scored the only goal of the game when these two teams last met. In fact, he has scored in two of his three career appearances against Koln.
The 23-year-old has four goal contributions across his last nine matches, and he is expected to cause Koln's leaky defence a lot of problems.