Ukraine vs Italy prediction, odds and betting tips 20/11/2023

20/11/23 - 19:45

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Ukraine - Italy

Euro 2024 Qualifying - BayArena

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change

Ukraine and Italy meet at the BayArena in Germany in the European Championship qualifiers on Monday, November 20^th. Group C qualification hopefuls Ukraine and Italy collide in a crucial contest.

Read our European Championship qualifiers predictions and betting tips along with the latest odds for the fixture below in our detailed match preview.

Today's Predictions for Ukraine vs Italy

Second place in Group C and a berth at Euro 2024 are up for grabs when Ukraine and Italy go head-to-head in Leverkusen on Monday. Read our top Ukraine vs Italy predictions for this week’s fixture below.

Italy to Win

• Italy have won three of their last four matches in Group C.
• Ukraine failed to win two of their last four assignments in the section.
• Italy beat Ukraine 2-1 when the teams last met in September.
• The Italians dominated 64% of the ball and mustered 22 attempts to Ukraine’s nine in that victory.

Both Teams to Score

• Both teams found the net when Italy beat Ukraine 2-1 in September.
• BTTS landed in six of Italy’s last seven matches in all competitions.
• Four of Italy’s last five tussles in Group C have also delivered goals at both ends.
• Italy’s matches have been more open affairs since the appointment of adventurous coach Luciano Spalletti.

Top Betting Odds and Stats for Ukraine vs Italy

View our list of key stats for Monday’s clash featuring Ukraine vs Italy below, alongside a tool to help you choose the juiciest odds.

Head to Head

12/09/23

Euro 2023 Qualifying Euro

Italy

Ukraine

2

1

10/10/18

International Match International

Italy

Ukraine

1

1

Last Five - Ukraine

23/03/25

UEFA Nations League NAL

Belgium

Ukraine

3

0

L

20/03/25

UEFA Nations League NAL

Belgium

Ukraine

1

3

W

19/11/24

UEFA Nations League B UEFA

Albania

Ukraine

1

2

W

16/11/24

UEFA Nations League B UEFA

Georgia

Ukraine

1

1

D

14/10/24

UEFA Nations League B UEFA

Czechia

Ukraine

1

1

D

Last Five - Italy

23/03/25

UEFA Nations League NAL

Germany

Italy

3

3

D

20/03/25

UEFA Nations League NAL

Germany

Italy

2

1

L

17/11/24

UEFA Nations League A UEFA

France

Italy

3

1

L

14/11/24

UEFA Nations League A UEFA

Belgium

Italy

0

1

W

14/10/24

UEFA Nations League A UEFA

Israel

Italy

1

4

W

Let's take a closer look at the latest markets, Ukraine – Italy odds and probability figures ahead of Monday’s match below.

Ukraine odds: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%

Draw odds: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%

Italy odds: 17/20 (1.85) – 54.1%

Italy have been named as the expected winners this week with the probability of an away win currently logged at 54.1% ahead of Monday’s fixture. The visitors are also listed at 8/13 (1.62) in the first team to score department, an outcome that has an implied probability of 61.9%. Elsewhere, you can back the Italians to hold an advantage in the half-time result market at 31/20 (2.55).

Ukraine vs Italy Team News & Injuries

Read all of the latest injury updates, Ukraine vs Italy lineups and team news for Monday’s European Championship qualifiers battle below. If you’re looking for more of the best football betting tips today, make sure to follow the link.

Ukraine

Serhiy Kryvtsov, Eduard Sobol, Andriy Yarmolenko, Mykola Sharapenko, Yevhen Konoplyanka and Viktor Kovalenko are all missing for Ukraine. The hosts beat Malta 3-1 in a comfortable victory on Friday.

Predicted Lineup for Ukraine: Trubin – Karavaev, Zabarnyi, Matveinko, Mykolenko – Sydorchuk, Zinchenko, Vanat, Sudakov, Mudryk – Dovbyk

Italy

Italy are without the services of Alessandro Bastnoi, Leonardo Spinazzola, Alessandro Florenzi, Manuel Locatelli, Sandro Tonali, Lorenzo Pellegrini, Marco Verratti and Ciro Immobile, among others at present.

Predicted Lineup for Italy: Donnarumma – Darmian, Gatti, Acerbi, Dimarco – Barella, Jorginho, Bonaventura – Berardi, Chiesa, Raspadori

Player to Watch – Federico Chiesa

Winger Federico Chiesa was at his electric best on Friday when he notched twice in Italy’s comfortable 5-2 win over North Macedonia. The flying forward has a dynamic skill set that can trouble any defence, and his running power could really unsettle the Ukrainian defence.

Starting Lineups

Official lineups are usually released approximately one hour before kick-off.

Ukraine

4-1-4-1

12

Anatoliy Trubin

2

Yukhym Konoplya

3

Oleksandr Svatok

13

Illia Zabarnyi

16

Vitaliy Mykolenko

6

Taras Stepanenko

15

Viktor Tsygankov

14

Georgiy Sudakov

17

Oleksandr Zinchenko

20

Mykhailo Mudryk

11

Artem Dovbyk

Substitutes

14

Danylo Sikan

22

Mykola Matvienko

20

Oleksandr Zubkov

19

Oleksandr Tymchyk

3

Valerii Bondar

21

Vladyslav Dubinchak

5

Serhiy Sydorchuk

9

Roman Yaremchuk

8

Ruslan Malinovskyi

23

Dmytro Riznyk

1

Georgiy Bushchan

21

Oleksandr Pikhalyonok

Italy

4-3-3

1

Gianluigi Donnarumma

22

Giovanni Di Lorenzo

15

Francesco Acerbi

4

Alessandro Buongiorno

3

Federico Dimarco

16

Davide Frattesi

8

Jorginho

18

Nicolo Barella

22

Nicolo Zaniolo

18

Giacomo Raspadori

14

Federico Chiesa

Substitutes

11

Moise Kean

13

Matteo Darmian

7

Giacomo Bonaventura

22

Stephan El Shaarawy

16

Bryan Cristante

5

Cristiano Biraghi

19

Matteo Politano

12

Ivan Provedel

13

Guglielmo Vicario

17

Gianluca Mancini

9

Gianluca Scamacca

6

Federico Gatti