Ukraine vs Italy prediction, odds and betting tips 20/11/2023

Ukraine
20/11/23 - 19:45

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Italy

Ukraine - Italy

Euro 2024 Qualifying - BayArena

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change

Ukraine and Italy meet at the BayArena in Germany in the European Championship qualifiers on Monday, November 20th. Group C qualification hopefuls Ukraine and Italy collide in a crucial contest.

Read our European Championship qualifiers predictions and betting tips along with the latest odds for the fixture below in our detailed match preview.

Today's Predictions for Ukraine vs Italy

Second place in Group C and a berth at Euro 2024 are up for grabs when Ukraine and Italy go head-to-head in Leverkusen on Monday. Read our top Ukraine vs Italy predictions for this week’s fixture below.

Italy to Win

  • Italy have won three of their last four matches in Group C.
  • Ukraine failed to win two of their last four assignments in the section.
  • Italy beat Ukraine 2-1 when the teams last met in September.
  • The Italians dominated 64% of the ball and mustered 22 attempts to Ukraine’s nine in that victory.

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams found the net when Italy beat Ukraine 2-1 in September.
  • BTTS landed in six of Italy’s last seven matches in all competitions.
  • Four of Italy’s last five tussles in Group C have also delivered goals at both ends.
  • Italy’s matches have been more open affairs since the appointment of adventurous coach Luciano Spalletti.

Top Betting Odds and Stats for Ukraine vs Italy

View our list of key stats for Monday’s clash featuring Ukraine vs Italy below, alongside a tool to help you choose the juiciest odds.

Head to Head

12/09/23

Euro 2023 Qualifying Euro

Italy

Italy

Ukraine

Ukraine

2

1

10/10/18

International Match International

Italy

Italy

Ukraine

Ukraine

1

1

Last Five - Ukraine

26/06/24

Euro 2024 Euro

Belgium

Belgium

Ukraine

Ukraine

0

0

D

21/06/24

Euro 2024 Euro

Slovakia

Slovakia

Ukraine

Ukraine

1

2

W

17/06/24

Euro 2024 Euro

Romania

Romania

Ukraine

Ukraine

3

0

L

11/06/24

International Match International

Moldova

Moldova

Ukraine

Ukraine

0

4

W

07/06/24

International Match International

Poland

Poland

Ukraine

Ukraine

3

1

L

Last Five - Italy

29/06/24

Euro 2024 Euro

Switzerland

Switzerland

Italy

Italy

2

0

L

24/06/24

Euro 2024 Euro

Croatia

Croatia

Italy

Italy

1

1

D

20/06/24

Euro 2024 Euro

Spain

Spain

Italy

Italy

1

0

L

15/06/24

Euro 2024 Euro

Albania

Albania

Italy

Italy

1

2

W

09/06/24

International Match International

Bosnia-Herzegovina

Bosnia-Herzegovina

Italy

Italy

0

1

W

Let's take a closer look at the latest markets, Ukraine – Italy odds and probability figures ahead of Monday’s match below.

Ukraine odds: 3/1 (4.00) – 25%

Draw odds: 5/2 (3.50) – 28.6%

Italy odds: 17/20 (1.85) – 54.1%

Italy have been named as the expected winners this week with the probability of an away win currently logged at 54.1% ahead of Monday’s fixture. The visitors are also listed at 8/13 (1.62) in the first team to score department, an outcome that has an implied probability of 61.9%. Elsewhere, you can back the Italians to hold an advantage in the half-time result market at 31/20 (2.55).

Ukraine vs Italy Team News & Injuries

Read all of the latest injury updates, Ukraine vs Italy lineups and team news for Monday’s European Championship qualifiers battle below. If you’re looking for more of the best football betting tips today, make sure to follow the link.

Ukraine

Serhiy Kryvtsov, Eduard Sobol, Andriy Yarmolenko, Mykola Sharapenko, Yevhen Konoplyanka and Viktor Kovalenko are all missing for Ukraine. The hosts beat Malta 3-1 in a comfortable victory on Friday.

Predicted Lineup for Ukraine: Trubin – Karavaev, Zabarnyi, Matveinko, Mykolenko – Sydorchuk, Zinchenko, Vanat, Sudakov, Mudryk – Dovbyk

Italy

Italy are without the services of Alessandro Bastnoi, Leonardo Spinazzola, Alessandro Florenzi, Manuel Locatelli, Sandro Tonali, Lorenzo Pellegrini, Marco Verratti and Ciro Immobile, among others at present.

Predicted Lineup for Italy: Donnarumma – Darmian, Gatti, Acerbi, Dimarco – Barella, Jorginho, Bonaventura – Berardi, Chiesa, Raspadori

Player to Watch – Federico Chiesa

Winger Federico Chiesa was at his electric best on Friday when he notched twice in Italy’s comfortable 5-2 win over North Macedonia. The flying forward has a dynamic skill set that can trouble any defence, and his running power could really unsettle the Ukrainian defence.

Starting Lineups

Official lineups are usually released approximately one hour before kick-off.

Ukraine

Ukraine
4-1-4-1
12
Anatolii Trubin
ua
2
Yukhym Konoplya
ua
4
Oleksandr Svatok
ua
13
Illia Zabarnyi
ua
16
Vitaliy Mykolenko
ua
6
Taras Stepanenko
ua
15
Viktor Tsygankov
ua
7
Georgiy Sudakov
ua
17
Oleksandr Zinchenko
ua
10
Mykhailo Mudryk
ua
11
Artem Dovbyk
ua
Substitutes
14
Danylo Sikan
ua
22
Mykola Matvienko
ua
20
Oleksandr Zubkov
ua
19
Oleksandr Tymchyk
ua
3
Valerii Bondar
ua
21
Vladyslav Dubinchak
ua
5
Serhiy Sydorchuk
ua
9
Roman Yaremchuk
ua
8
Ruslan Malinovskyi
ua
23
Dmytro Riznyk
ua
1
Georgiy Bushchan
ua
18
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok
ua

Italy

Italy
4-3-3
1
Gianluigi Donnarumma
it
2
Giovanni Di Lorenzo
it
15
Francesco Acerbi
it
6
Alessandro Buongiorno
it
3
Federico Dimarco
it
17
Davide Frattesi
it
8
Jorginho
it
18
Nicolo Barella
it
20
Nicolo Zaniolo
it
10
Giacomo Raspadori
it
14
Federico Chiesa
it
Substitutes
11
Moise Kean
it
13
Matteo Darmian
it
7
Giacomo Bonaventura
it
22
Stephan El Shaarawy
it
16
Bryan Cristante
it
5
Cristiano Biraghi
it
19
Matteo Politano
it
12
Ivan Provedel
it
21
Guglielmo Vicario
it
23
Gianluca Mancini
it
9
Gianluca Scamacca
it
4
Federico Gatti
it

Ukraine vs Italy prediction


Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.