Italy vs Switzerland Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips (12/11/21)

Things couldn't be much tighter in Group C heading into the final two qualifying games with Italy and Switzerland sitting on the same points. Just goal difference is keeping Italy at the top of the table but a win this weekend would guarantee that they claim 1st place ahead of the Swiss.

Italy vs Switzerland: Today's Best Betting Tips

Here are our predictions for Italy vs Switzerland.

*Odds from NetBet are subject to change

Italy Win-to-Nil

Italy have won 10 and lost three of their 22 previous encounters with Switzerland, running out 3-0 winners when the pair locked horns at Euro 2020. The Italians have kept four clean sheets in their last seven competitive and non-competitive encounters with Friday's guests and we're backing them to keep things tight once again. Italy have kept clean sheets in their last two qualifiers and Switzerland have failed to find the back of the net in two of their last four outings.

Under 2.5 Goals

We're not expecting an action-packed 90-minutes between these two sides, not with the pair level on points heading into the last two qualifying games. Under 2.5 goals have been scored in five of the last seven encounters between Italy and Switzerland, while fewer than three goals have also been produced in three of Italy's and four of their guest's last six matches in all competitions.

Federico Chiesa to Score

Chiesa often puts in the performance in the big games for Italy and we're backing the forward to score against Switzerland on Friday. The Juventus man has netted 4-goals in 36 appearances for his country, though, many of those games were from the substitutes' bench. Chiesa played in the semi-final and the 3rd-place play-off of the Nations League and while he didn't score, he did help his team claim 3rd place at the expense of Belgium.

Italy vs Switzerland: Key Stats, Markets & Odds

Another close game expected between Italy and Switzerland

Italy's last game was against Belgium in the Nations League 3rd-place play-off, a tight and tense game in which the two sides went in at the break goalless. Barella broke the deadlock a minute into the second forty-five and in the 65th-minute Italy were awarded a penalty which Berardi converted. Belgium did manage to pull a goal back with 4-minutes of the 90 remaining but the Italian defence held firm to secure the 3rd-place trophy.

Switzerland made the trip to Lithuanian last month and returned with all 3pts. Embolo, who will be missing this week, scored the visitor's opening goals and netted again in between a Steffen effort to make it 3-0 at the interval. The Swiss took their foot off the gas in the second half and only scored their fourth and final goal in stoppage-time through Gavranovic. Switzerland don't have many wins against Italy, especially in recent years, but the pair have drawn a lot of games and that will be something the visitors would settle for ahead of kick-off.

Team News

Italy: Alessandro Florenzi,  Leonardo Spinazzola, Alessio Romagnoli, Lorenzo Pellegrini, Nicolò Zaniolo, Marco Verratti, Ciro Immobile, Moise Kean and Stephan El Shaarawy have not been called up.

Switzerland: the visitors are without Nico Elvedi, Loris Benito, Steven Zuber, Granit Xhaka, Edimilson Fernandes, Breel Embolo or Haris Seferovic for this week's qualifiers.

Your Questions – Italy vs Switzerland

italy vs switzerland prediction

  • Who are the favourites to win? – Italy are the strong favourites.
  • What was the score when these two teams last met? – Switzerland 0-0 Italy, 5/9/21.
  • What time is kick-off? – 19:45 GMT, 20:45 CET.

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James Kelbrick

A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time writer for a few years, taking on extra responsibilities such as creating the schedule and assigning out work. Following that, James wrote for a number of websites including Fore Bet before joining Football Whispers in December 2020.