Italy vs North Macedonia prediction, odds & betting tips 17/11/2023

Italy
17/11/23 - 19:45

Finished

5

-

2

North Macedonia

Italy - North Macedonia

Euro 2024 Qualifying - Stadio Olimpico

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.

Italy vs North Macedonia: Euro 2024 Qualifier Predictions

It's time for our Euro 2024 predictions ahead of the Group C qualifier between Italy and North Macedonia. Italy head into this game as the big favourite to win with the bookmakers even though the hosts have dropped points in half of their qualifying games so far and only sit three points above their guests North Macedonia.

Both Teams to Score

  • Three of the four previous meetings between these two countries have ended with both teams scoring.
  • Both teams have scored in five of Italy's last six outings in all competitions.
  • North Macedonia have only kept one clean sheet in their last six attempts.

Davide Frattesi to Score

  • Frattesi top scores for Italy in the Euro 2024 qualifiers with three goals.
  • The on-loan Inter Milan midfielder has impressed in the early stages of his international career, scoring four goals in nine caps.
  • Frattesi has made a habit of chipping in with goals from midfield, scoring twenty-five times since going on loan to Empoli in 2019.

Italy vs North Macedonia Odds & Bookmakers

Let's take a look at the latest markets and odds ahead of Italy vs North Macedonia.

Head to Head

09/09/23

Euro 2023 Qualifying Euro

North Macedonia

North Macedonia

Italy

Italy

1

1

24/03/22

Europe - World Cup Qualifying Europe

Italy

Italy

North Macedonia

North Macedonia

0

1

06/10/17

Europe - World Cup Qualifying Europe

Italy

Italy

North Macedonia

North Macedonia

1

1

09/10/16

Europe - World Cup Qualifying Europe

North Macedonia

North Macedonia

Italy

Italy

2

3

Last Five - Italy

20/11/23

Euro 2024 Qualifying Euro

Ukraine

Ukraine

Italy

Italy

0

0

D

17/11/23

Euro 2024 Qualifying Euro

North Macedonia

North Macedonia

Italy

Italy

2

5

W

17/10/23

Euro 2024 Qualifying Euro

England

England

Italy

Italy

3

1

L

14/10/23

Euro 2024 Qualifying Euro

Malta

Malta

Italy

Italy

0

4

W

12/09/23

Euro 2024 Qualifying Euro

Ukraine

Ukraine

Italy

Italy

1

2

W

Last Five - North Macedonia

20/11/23

Euro 2024 Qualifying Euro

England

England

North Macedonia

North Macedonia

1

1

D

17/11/23

Euro 2024 Qualifying Euro

Italy

Italy

North Macedonia

North Macedonia

5

2

L

17/10/23

International Match International

Armenia

Armenia

North Macedonia

North Macedonia

1

3

W

14/10/23

Euro 2024 Qualifying Euro

Ukraine

Ukraine

North Macedonia

North Macedonia

2

0

L

12/09/23

Euro 2024 Qualifying Euro

Malta

Malta

North Macedonia

North Macedonia

0

2

W

Italy odds: 2/13 (1.15) – 86.7%

Draw odds: 7/1 (8.00) – 12.5%

North Macedonia odds: 22/1 (23.00) – 4.3%

*all odds provided are the best price at the time of publication and come from various bookmakers and therefore the probabilities won't always add up to 100%.

Italy are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 86.7%, which isn't a shock but considering that the Italians have dropped points in half of their Euro 2024 qualifiers, you can't rule North Macedonia out just yet. For more football betting tips on this game, check out the Under/Over 2.5 Goals market. If you want to back Under 2.5 Goals to be scored in this game the odds stand at 6/4 (2.50) with a probability of 40%, while a bet on Over 2.5 Goals is priced at 4/7 (1.57) which has a probability of 63.6%.

Italy vs North Macedonia Lineups and Last Match

Italy

Italy started well at Wembley last month, taking the lead against England through Scamacca in the fifteenth minute. However, this proved to be a false dawn for the visitors as England scored three times to claim a comfortable 3-1 victory in the end. Centre-back Scalvini and full-back Udogie are the only two players missing from that defeat to England and if the Italians go with a similar starting lineup to that game, we've backed Dimarco and Bastoni to fill in for the two absentees.

Predicted Lineup – Donnarumma (GK), Acerbi, Di Lorenzo, Dimarco, Bastoni, Cristante, Barella, Frattesi, El Shaarawy, Berardi & Scamacca 

North Macedonia

North Macedonia were away against Ukraine in their last qualifier. The game was played at a neutral venue, the epet ARENA in Prague, but that didn't stop Ukraine from playing like they had the home advantage. A goal in each half earned Ukraine the victory against a lackluster North Macedonia side that will feel like they missed a good opportunity to put some more points on the board. North Macedonia could go with the same starting eleven that lost that game against Ukraine as all players have reported fit for international duty.

Predicted Lineup – Dimitrievski (GK), Musliu, Serafimov, Manev, Alioski, Bardhi, Elmas, Atanasov, Elezi, Ashkovski & Miovski 

Starting Lineups

Italy

Italy
4-3-3
1
Gianluigi Donnarumma
it
13
Matteo Darmian
it
4
Federico Gatti
it
15
Francesco Acerbi
it
3
Federico Dimarco
it
18
Nicolo Barella
it
8
Jorginho
it
7
Giacomo Bonaventura
it
11
Domenico Berardi
it
10
Giacomo Raspadori
it
14
Federico Chiesa
it
Substitutes
20
Nicolo Zaniolo
it
12
Ivan Provedel
it
6
Alessandro Buongiorno
it
21
Marco Carnesecchi
it
9
Gianluca Scamacca
it
2
Manuel Lazzari
it
19
Matteo Politano
it
22
Stephan El Shaarawy
it
23
Andrea Cambiaso
it
23
Gianluca Mancini
it
17
Davide Frattesi
it
16
Bryan Cristante
it

North Macedonia

North Macedonia
4-2-3-1
1
Stole Dimitrievski
mk
15
Jovan Manev
mk
4
Nikola Serafimov
mk
6
Visar Musliu
mk
14
Bojan Dimoski
mk
17
Agon Elezi
mk
5
Arijan Ademi
mk
8
Ezgjan Alioski
mk
10
Enis Bardhi
mk
7
Eljif Elmas
mk
9
Bojan Miovski
mk
Substitutes
19
Milan Ristovski
mk
13
Dimitar Mitrovski
mk
22
Damjan Siskovski
mk
16
David Babunski
mk
23
Todor Todoroski
mk
3
Stefan Ashkovski
mk
18
Isnik Alimi
mk
12
Igor Aleksovski
mk
20
Erdon Daci
mk
21
Jani Atanasov
mk
2
Ahmed Iljazovski
mk
11
Darko Churlinov
mk

*Lineups are usually announced 1hr before kick-off

Player to Watch: Nicolò Barella

With Tonali suspended, Nicolò Barella will be tasked with providing the creativity from the heart of the Italy midfield against North Macedonia on Friday.

Tonali and Kean both have two assists each in the Euro 2024 qualifiers and Barella will be looking to add to his one assist this week, and Italy will be relying on the Inter Milan man to get forward more often and pick out through-balls for the likes of Scamacca, Kean, Berardi and Raspadori to get on the end of.

If Barella plays in this game it will be his fiftieth cap for his country and the 26-year-old already has eight goals to his name which is equal to the highest scorer in the squad right now, Domenico Berardi.

italy vs north macedonia


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James Kelbrick

A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time writer for a few years, taking on extra responsibilities such as creating the schedule and assigning out work. Following that, James wrote for a number of websites including Fore Bet before joining Football Whispers in December 2020.