Finished
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Italy - North Macedonia
Euro 2024 Qualifying - Stadio Olimpico
Prediction 1
BTTS
9/5 (2.80)
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Odds from
Prediction 2
Frattesi to Score Anytime
13/10 (2.30)
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Odds from
* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.
Italy vs North Macedonia: Euro 2024 Qualifier Predictions
It's time for our Euro 2024 predictions ahead of the Group C qualifier between Italy and North Macedonia. Italy head into this game as the big favourite to win with the bookmakers even though the hosts have dropped points in half of their qualifying games so far and only sit three points above their guests North Macedonia.
Contents
Both Teams to Score
- Three of the four previous meetings between these two countries have ended with both teams scoring.
- Both teams have scored in five of Italy's last six outings in all competitions.
- North Macedonia have only kept one clean sheet in their last six attempts.
Davide Frattesi to Score
- Frattesi top scores for Italy in the Euro 2024 qualifiers with three goals.
- The on-loan Inter Milan midfielder has impressed in the early stages of his international career, scoring four goals in nine caps.
- Frattesi has made a habit of chipping in with goals from midfield, scoring twenty-five times since going on loan to Empoli in 2019.
Italy vs North Macedonia Odds & Bookmakers
Let's take a look at the latest markets and odds ahead of Italy vs North Macedonia.
Head to Head
09/09/23
Euro 2023 Qualifying Euro
North Macedonia
Italy
1
1
24/03/22
Europe - World Cup Qualifying Europe
Italy
North Macedonia
0
1
06/10/17
Europe - World Cup Qualifying Europe
Italy
North Macedonia
1
1
09/10/16
Europe - World Cup Qualifying Europe
North Macedonia
Italy
2
3
Last Five - Italy
23/03/25
UEFA Nations League NAL
Germany
Italy
3
3
D
20/03/25
UEFA Nations League NAL
Germany
Italy
2
1
L
17/11/24
UEFA Nations League A UEFA
France
Italy
3
1
L
14/11/24
UEFA Nations League A UEFA
Belgium
Italy
0
1
W
14/10/24
UEFA Nations League A UEFA
Israel
Italy
1
4
W
Last Five - North Macedonia
25/03/25
Europe - World Cup Qualifying Europe
Wales
North Macedonia
1
1
D
22/03/25
Europe - World Cup Qualifying Europe
Liechtenstein
North Macedonia
0
3
W
17/11/24
UEFA Nations League C UEFA
Faroe Islands
North Macedonia
0
1
W
14/11/24
UEFA Nations League C UEFA
Latvia
North Macedonia
0
1
W
13/10/24
UEFA Nations League C UEFA
Armenia
North Macedonia
0
2
W
Italy odds: 2/13 (1.15) – 86.7%
Draw odds: 7/1 (8.00) – 12.5%
North Macedonia odds: 22/1 (23.00) – 4.3%
*all odds provided are the best price at the time of publication and come from various bookmakers and therefore the probabilities won't always add up to 100%.
Italy are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 86.7%, which isn't a shock but considering that the Italians have dropped points in half of their Euro 2024 qualifiers, you can't rule North Macedonia out just yet. For more football betting tips on this game, check out the Under/Over 2.5 Goals market. If you want to back Under 2.5 Goals to be scored in this game the odds stand at 6/4 (2.50) with a probability of 40%, while a bet on Over 2.5 Goals is priced at 4/7 (1.57) which has a probability of 63.6%.
Italy vs North Macedonia Lineups and Last Match
Italy
Italy started well at Wembley last month, taking the lead against England through Scamacca in the fifteenth minute. However, this proved to be a false dawn for the visitors as England scored three times to claim a comfortable 3-1 victory in the end. Centre-back Scalvini and full-back Udogie are the only two players missing from that defeat to England and if the Italians go with a similar starting lineup to that game, we've backed Dimarco and Bastoni to fill in for the two absentees.
Predicted Lineup – Donnarumma (GK), Acerbi, Di Lorenzo, Dimarco, Bastoni, Cristante, Barella, Frattesi, El Shaarawy, Berardi & Scamacca
North Macedonia
North Macedonia were away against Ukraine in their last qualifier. The game was played at a neutral venue, the epet ARENA in Prague, but that didn't stop Ukraine from playing like they had the home advantage. A goal in each half earned Ukraine the victory against a lackluster North Macedonia side that will feel like they missed a good opportunity to put some more points on the board. North Macedonia could go with the same starting eleven that lost that game against Ukraine as all players have reported fit for international duty.
Predicted Lineup – Dimitrievski (GK), Musliu, Serafimov, Manev, Alioski, Bardhi, Elmas, Atanasov, Elezi, Ashkovski & Miovski
Starting Lineups
Italy
North Macedonia
*Lineups are usually announced 1hr before kick-off
Player to Watch: Nicolò Barella
With Tonali suspended, Nicolò Barella will be tasked with providing the creativity from the heart of the Italy midfield against North Macedonia on Friday.
Tonali and Kean both have two assists each in the Euro 2024 qualifiers and Barella will be looking to add to his one assist this week, and Italy will be relying on the Inter Milan man to get forward more often and pick out through-balls for the likes of Scamacca, Kean, Berardi and Raspadori to get on the end of.
If Barella plays in this game it will be his fiftieth cap for his country and the 26-year-old already has eight goals to his name which is equal to the highest scorer in the squad right now, Domenico Berardi.
