Italy will play host to Israel in the upcoming round of the World Cup Qualifiers on Tuesday, 14 October.
Will we see Italy triumph once more or will Israel avoid another loss against this opponent? Find that from our Italy vs Israel prediction and preview, but remember to also take a look at our other World Cup Qualifiers predictions.
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Italy vs Israel prediction: Italy to emerge victorious with goals on both sides
Key Stats
- In their last meeting, we saw a total of nine goals, with each team scoring at least four goals.
- Both teams have scored in four of Israel's six matches in the group.
- Mateo Retegui has scored three goals in the World Cup Qualifiers so far.
Correct score prediction: Italy 3-1 Israel
Just a month ago, these two teams provided us with one of the most exciting games of these World Cup Qualifiers, which ended in a 5-4 win for Italy after Sandro Tonali's winner in the stoppage time.
So, Israel have proven that they can hang with Italy, but they have ultimately lost that match and we expect to see the same outcome on Tuesday, this time without a lot of drama.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Italy are the clear favourites
- HOME: 1/5 (1.20) – 83.30%
- DRAW: 6/1 (7.00) – 14.30%
- AWAY: 12/1 (13.00) – 7.70%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
It's obvious from these Italy vs Israel odds that the hosts are the expected winners and it's not really close either.
While Israel are a good team and they put up a great fight against Italy last time they met, Italy are on a great run and they are simply the better team on paper.
In any case, if you liked our predictions for this game, remember to also check our betting tips for today.
Most recent H2Hs: Italy still undefeated against Israel
These two teams have met three times in 2024 and 2025, with Italy winning all three matches, although their last duel was a real thriller that ended in a 5-4 victory for the Italian national team.
Overall, Italy and Israel have met eight times, with Italy winning seven of those matches and one game ending in a draw.
UEFA Nations League A 14/10/24
Italy
Israel
UEFA Nations League A 09/09/24
Israel
Italy
Europe - World Cup Qualifying 05/09/17
Italy
Israel
Europe - World Cup Qualifying 05/09/16
Israel
Italy
Italy preview: Looking to clinch second place in the group
With three games left for Italy in the World Cup Qualifiers, they are already six points behind Norway, the current leaders of the group. So, their chances of finishing at the top of the group are slim, so Italy needs to win this match to stay in that race. A win over Israel would at least ensure that they finish second in the group, giving them a chance to reach the World Cup through the playoffs.
When it comes to team news, Moise Kean suffered an injury against Estonia and he won't be playing in this game, while Alessandro Bastoni is suspended. Italy were already without Matteo Politano, Mattia Zaccagni, and Gianluca Scamacca for this international window.
Predicted lineup: Donnarumma (GK), Di Lorenzo, Mancini, Calafiori, Dimarco, Cambiaso, Barella, Tonali, Spinazzola, Raspadori & Retegui
Last five matches
- Estonia 1-3 Italy (WC Qualifiers)
- Israel 4-5 Italy (WC Qualifiers)
- Italy 5-0 Estonia (WC Qualifiers)
- Italy 2-0 Moldova (WC Qualifiers)
- Norway 3-0 Italy (WC Qualifiers)
Israel preview: A do-or-die game ahead
With nine points from six games in the World Cup Qualifiers, Israel are currently third in the standings. They are three points behind Italy, but also a game ahead, so they pretty much have to win on Tuesday if they want to have any chance of finishing second in the group, which would keep their hopes of reaching their second-ever World Cup alive.
Dor Peretz missing this match will be a huge blow for Israel since he scored a brace in the team's last meeting with Italy.
Predicted lineup: Da. Peretz (GK), Dasa, Baltaxa, Nachmias, Revivo, Abu Fani, E. Peretz, Khalaily, Gloukh, Solomon & Baribo
Last five matches
- Norway 5-0 Israel (WC Qualifiers)
- Israel 4-5 Italy (WC Qualifiers)
- Moldova 0-4 Israel (WC Qualifiers)
- Israel 1-0 Slovakia (International Friendly)
- Estonia 1-3 Israel (WC Qualifiers)
Player to watch: Mateo Retegui
While it was Moise Kean who scored a brace last time around against Israel, Retegui was arguably the player of the match with three assists to his name. So, with Kean out of this match due to injury, the ex-Atalanta forward will be in the spotlight for sure.
In these qualifiers, Retegui has an impressive record of three goals and four assists, so he will hope to continue his fine form on Tuesday in a crucial match for Italy and their chances of reaching the World Cup.