Italy vs Israel prediction
Italy are odds-on favourites to beat Israel for the second time in a row. (Photo by Imago)
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Both teams scored in each of Israel's last three Nations League fixtures.

Italy meet struggling Israel at the Bluenergy Stadium in Udine in a Nations League A Group 2 fixture on Monday, 14 October. Read our Nations League predictions for the clash below.

Italy vs Israel prediction: Italians should be too strong

Key Stats

  • Italy were two goals up against Belgium before they were reduced to ten men in last week’s 2-2 draw between the teams.
  • Israel have lost three games out of three in Nations League A Group 2, though they did bag a consolation goal in each defeat.
  • Italy scored at least twice in each of their first three Nations League fixtures in the section.
  • Israel’s first three Nations League matches of the new campaign averaged just 2.00 cards per contest.

Correct score prediction: Italy 3-1 Israel

Israel were swatted aside by France (4-1) in their last Nations League outing and they could lose for the fourth time on the spin in the competition when they visit Italy. The Italians are averaging 2.33 goals per game in League A Group 2 and they should have too much firepower for their subpar opponents.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Italy clear favourites

  • HOME: 1/5 (1.20) – 83.3%
  • DRAW: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.4%
  • AWAY: 12/1 (13.00) – 7.7%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Italy were on course to win their third Nations League match on the spin before they were reduced to ten men in their eventual 2-2 draw with Belgium last week, though the 1/6 favourites should find toppling Israel a more straightforward task.

Israel were demolished 4-1 by France in their last assignment and are currently rock bottom of League A Group 2 with three defeats from three games. The 12/1 underdogs area easy to oppose again here. View more or our latest football tips for the Nations League on our dedicated page.

Most recent H2Hs: Italy targeting successive wins

Italy managed to beat Israel 2-1 when the nations met in September and they have never lost a fixture against the Israelis before.

UEFA Nations League A 09/09/24

Israel

Israel

1
Italy

Italy

2

Europe - World Cup Qualifying 05/09/17

Italy

Italy

1
Israel

Israel

0

Europe - World Cup Qualifying 05/09/16

Israel

Israel

1
Italy

Italy

3

Italy preview: Pellegrini serving a ban

Matteo Darmian, Gianluca Mancini, Rafael Toloi, Nicolo Barella, Jorginho, Bryan Cristante, Manuel Locatelli, Mosise Kean and Gianluca Scamacca are among the glut of big names missing from Italy's squad for the current international break. Lorenzo Pellegrini was sent off in last week's 2-2 draw and is suspended.

Predicted lineup: Donnarumma (GK), Di Lorenzo, Bastoni, Calafiori, Cambiaso, Frattesi, Ricci, Tonali, Dimarco, Raspadori, Retegui

UEFA Nations League 23/03/25

D

Germany

Germany

3

Italy

Italy

3

UEFA Nations League 20/03/25

L

Germany

Germany

2

Italy

Italy

1

UEFA Nations League A 17/11/24

L

France

France

3

Italy

Italy

1

UEFA Nations League A 14/11/24

W

Belgium

Belgium

0

Italy

Italy

1

UEFA Nations League A 14/10/24

W

Israel

Israel

1

Italy

Italy

4

Israel preview: Visitors could be unchanged?

Shon Weissman, Eran Zahavi, Neta Lavi, Dan Glazer, Eli Dasa, Sean Goldberg and Ofir Davidzada are absent from Israel's squad. Israel used a 3-4-3 formation in their defeat against France and a similar set-up could be deployed against Italy.

Predicted lineup: Glazer (GK), Feingold, Nachimas, Baltaxa, Abada, Jabe, Abu Fani, Haziza, Gandelman, Gloukh, Baribo

Europe - World Cup Qualifying 25/03/25

L

Norway

Norway

4

Israel

Israel

2

Europe - World Cup Qualifying 22/03/25

W

Estonia

Estonia

1

Israel

Israel

2

UEFA Nations League A 17/11/24

W

Belgium

Belgium

0

Israel

Israel

1

UEFA Nations League A 14/11/24

D

France

France

0

Israel

Israel

0

UEFA Nations League A 14/10/24

L

Italy

Italy

4

Israel

Israel

1

Player to watch – Sandro Tonali

Sandro Tonali had a 87% pass completion rate before he was subbed off in the second half against Belgium last week and the midfielder’s accurate passing range could be a feature of Italy’s clash with Israel.

Italy vs Israel prediction
Sandro Tonali could set the tempo for Italy against Israel. (Photo by Imago)

Tonali happy to be back in business

Tonali’s return to action after a lengthy ban has been making headlines, though it won’t be long before the 24-year-old makes the news for his superb technique and vision. Expect Tonali to pull the strings with his usual class against Israel.


Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.