Independiente vs Velez Sarsfield prediction, odds & betting tips – 27/05/2024

Independiente and Velez Sarsfield will meet in the upcoming round of Primera Division on Monday, 27 May.

Will Independiente win for the first time this season in the league or will Velez prevent this? Read our Independiente vs Velez Sarsfield prediction to learn more about this match and check out some of our other Primera Division betting tips along the way.

Independiente vs Velez Sarsfield prediction
Independiente looking for their first win of the season against Velez – Photo by Icon Sport

Independiente vs Velez Sarsfield prediction: A close, low-scoring match

While the guests did have a much better so far, this is still a very close matchup and we can see the game ending without a winner.

Key stats

  • Five of the last six duels between Independiente and Velez have gone under 2.5 total goals.
  • Independiente have gone under 2.5 total goals in three of their last five matches across the board.
  • Velez have gone under 2.5 total goals in three of their last four games in all competitions.
  • Four of the previous seven H2H meetings between these two teams have ended without a winner.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies without a clear favourite

  • HOME: 5/4 (2.25) – 44.40%
  • DRAW: 9/5 (2.80) – 35.70%
  • AWAY: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.30%

We can see from these Independiente vs Velez Sarsfield odds that the bookies expect a close duel, with the hosts being the expected winners, but not by a huge margin.

After all, Velez have started the new season in Primera Division a bit better and they did get to the final of Copa de la Liga Profesional as well, so Independiente being the favourites is mostly thanks to their home court advantage.

Anyhow, if you liked our predictions for this game, make sure to also look at our top betting tips for today.

Last five H2Hs: No wins for Velez

Independiente have dominated this matchup lately, with three wins in the last five duels with Velez, along with a couple of draws. However, Velez have the advantage when it comes to their overall H2H record: 24-34-19.

Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional 31/01/24

Velez Sarsfield

Velez Sarsfield

0
CA Independiente

CA Independiente

1

Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional 27/08/23

CA Independiente

CA Independiente

2
Velez Sarsfield

Velez Sarsfield

1

Argentina Liga Profesional 12/02/23

Velez Sarsfield

Velez Sarsfield

0
CA Independiente

CA Independiente

0

Argentina Cup 16/09/22

Velez Sarsfield

Velez Sarsfield

0
CA Independiente

CA Independiente

2

Argentina Liga Profesional 28/08/22

CA Independiente

CA Independiente

1
Velez Sarsfield

Velez Sarsfield

1

Independiente preview: Looking for their first win in the league

While Independent have done well in Copa de la Liga Profesional and narrowly missed out on the playoffs, their fans probably hoped for a better start of the new season in the league. After all, Independiente have won just one point from the first two rounds in Primera Division.

When it comes to team news, Matias Gimenez, Ivan Marcone, Santiago Toloza, and Diego Segovia are currently out with injuries.

Predicted Lineup: Rey – Isla, Laso, Fedorco, Perez – Martinez, Gonzalez – Tarzia, Mancuello, Luna – Puch

Argentina Liga Profesional 13/06/24

W

Banfield

Banfield

1

CA Independiente

CA Independiente

2

Argentina Liga Profesional 04/06/24

D

Defensa y Justicia

Defensa y Justicia

0

CA Independiente

CA Independiente

0

Argentina Liga Profesional 26/05/24

D

Velez Sarsfield

Velez Sarsfield

1

CA Independiente

CA Independiente

1

Argentina Liga Profesional 19/05/24

D

Platense

Platense

0

CA Independiente

CA Independiente

0

Argentina Liga Profesional 11/05/24

L

CA Talleres de Cu00f3rdoba

CA Talleres de Cu00f3rdoba

3

CA Independiente

CA Independiente

1

Velez Sarsfield preview: Hoping to win twice in a row

After finishing fourth in Copa de la Liga Profesional, Velez have surprised many by reaching the final in the playoffs, where they lost to Estudiantes on penalties. So, their fans are certainly hoping for similar results in Liga Profesional, which Velez began with a loss and a win.

Meanwhile, Ricardo Centurion and Yeison Gordillo on the Velez's injury list.

Predicted Lineup: Marchiori – Garcia, V. Gomez, Fernandez, E. Gomez – Ordonez, Bouzat, Aquino – Pizzini, Romero, Fernandez

Argentina Liga Profesional 14/06/24

L

Boca Juniors

Boca Juniors

1

Velez Sarsfield

Velez Sarsfield

0

Argentina Cup 06/06/24

W

Arsenal de Sarandi

Arsenal de Sarandi

1

Velez Sarsfield

Velez Sarsfield

2

Argentina Liga Profesional 01/06/24

D

Atlu00e9tico Tucumu00e1n

Atlu00e9tico Tucumu00e1n

1

Velez Sarsfield

Velez Sarsfield

1

Argentina Liga Profesional 26/05/24

D

CA Independiente

CA Independiente

1

Velez Sarsfield

Velez Sarsfield

1

Argentina Liga Profesional 21/05/24

W

Newell's

Newell's

0

Velez Sarsfield

Velez Sarsfield

1

Player to watch: Brian Romero

With five goals in all competitions this season for Velez, including one so far in Primera Division, the experienced forward has been the team's top scorer. So, he's the player to watch in this match.

Can Romero score a header?

While Romero only scored with his head once this season, he's capable of doing it more regularly. Will we see that happen against Independiente?


Vladimir’s dreams of becoming a professional basketball player ended a long time ago, but his other dream of becoming a writer came true as he combined his love of writing and sports to become a professional content writer who covers multiple sports, including football, basketball, and tennis.