Independiente and Velez Sarsfield will meet in the upcoming round of Primera Division on Monday, 27 May.
Will Independiente win for the first time this season in the league or will Velez prevent this? Read our Independiente vs Velez Sarsfield prediction to learn more about this match and check out some of our other Primera Division betting tips along the way.
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Independiente vs Velez Sarsfield prediction: A close, low-scoring match
While the guests did have a much better so far, this is still a very close matchup and we can see the game ending without a winner.
Key stats
- Five of the last six duels between Independiente and Velez have gone under 2.5 total goals.
- Independiente have gone under 2.5 total goals in three of their last five matches across the board.
- Velez have gone under 2.5 total goals in three of their last four games in all competitions.
- Four of the previous seven H2H meetings between these two teams have ended without a winner.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies without a clear favourite
- HOME: 5/4 (2.25) – 44.40%
- DRAW: 9/5 (2.80) – 35.70%
- AWAY: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.30%
We can see from these Independiente vs Velez Sarsfield odds that the bookies expect a close duel, with the hosts being the expected winners, but not by a huge margin.
After all, Velez have started the new season in Primera Division a bit better and they did get to the final of Copa de la Liga Profesional as well, so Independiente being the favourites is mostly thanks to their home court advantage.
Anyhow, if you liked our predictions for this game, make sure to also look at our top betting tips for today.
Last five H2Hs: No wins for Velez
Independiente have dominated this matchup lately, with three wins in the last five duels with Velez, along with a couple of draws. However, Velez have the advantage when it comes to their overall H2H record: 24-34-19.
Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional 31/01/24
Velez Sarsfield
CA Independiente
Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional 27/08/23
CA Independiente
Velez Sarsfield
Argentina Liga Profesional 12/02/23
Velez Sarsfield
CA Independiente
Argentina Cup 16/09/22
Velez Sarsfield
CA Independiente
Argentina Liga Profesional 28/08/22
CA Independiente
Velez Sarsfield
Independiente preview: Looking for their first win in the league
While Independent have done well in Copa de la Liga Profesional and narrowly missed out on the playoffs, their fans probably hoped for a better start of the new season in the league. After all, Independiente have won just one point from the first two rounds in Primera Division.
When it comes to team news, Matias Gimenez, Ivan Marcone, Santiago Toloza, and Diego Segovia are currently out with injuries.
Predicted Lineup: Rey – Isla, Laso, Fedorco, Perez – Martinez, Gonzalez – Tarzia, Mancuello, Luna – Puch
Argentina Liga Profesional 11/05/25
W
Independiente Rivadavia
0
CA Independiente
1
Copa Sudamericana 07/05/25
W
Boston River
1
CA Independiente
5
Argentina Liga Profesional 03/05/25
L
Rosario Central
1
CA Independiente
0
Argentina Liga Profesional 01/05/25
L
Atlu00e9tico Tucumu00e1n
2
CA Independiente
0
Argentina Liga Profesional 28/04/25
D
Deportivo Riestra
0
CA Independiente
0
Velez Sarsfield preview: Hoping to win twice in a row
After finishing fourth in Copa de la Liga Profesional, Velez have surprised many by reaching the final in the playoffs, where they lost to Estudiantes on penalties. So, their fans are certainly hoping for similar results in Liga Profesional, which Velez began with a loss and a win.
Meanwhile, Ricardo Centurion and Yeison Gordillo on the Velez's injury list.
Predicted Lineup: Marchiori – Garcia, V. Gomez, Fernandez, E. Gomez – Ordonez, Bouzat, Aquino – Pizzini, Romero, Fernandez
Copa Libertadores 08/05/25
D
Olimpia Asuncion
1
Velez Sarsfield
1
Argentina Liga Profesional 04/05/25
L
River Plate
4
Velez Sarsfield
1
Argentina Liga Profesional 29/04/25
W
Gimnasia LP
0
Velez Sarsfield
1
Copa Libertadores 23/04/25
L
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
2
Velez Sarsfield
1
Argentina Liga Profesional 18/04/25
W
CA Talleres de Cu00f3rdoba
0
Velez Sarsfield
1
Player to watch: Brian Romero
With five goals in all competitions this season for Velez, including one so far in Primera Division, the experienced forward has been the team's top scorer. So, he's the player to watch in this match.
Can Romero score a header?
While Romero only scored with his head once this season, he's capable of doing it more regularly. Will we see that happen against Independiente?
