Iceland vs Estonia – prediction, preview & betting tips – 26/09/2026
Will Iceland beat Estonia? Image by Icon Sport/Copyright: Jonathan Moscrop, Sportimage Ltd / Alamy
🔥 Our Hot tip

Under 2.5 Goals

Two or fewer goals have been scored in the last five meetings between Iceland and Estonia

Iceland will aim to start their 2026-27 UEFA Nations League C campaign with a victory against visitors Estonia at Laugardalsvollur on Saturday.

The hosts suffered relegation from the Nations League B in 2024-25, whereas Estonia maintained their place in Nations League C after finishing third in their group.

Read our prediction, preview and betting tips for the game below, and make sure to check out our today's betting tips page for more of our expert predictions.

Iceland vs Estonia key stats

  • Estonia have scored first in three of their last four games.
  • Two or fewer goals have been scored in the last five clashes between the two sides.
  • Estonia have been level at half time with four of their last six opponents.

Iceland vs Estonia preview: The start of the Nations League

Iceland vs Estonia — Tale of the Tape

Iceland vs Estonia
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In the 2024-25 Nations League B, Iceland finished second last in their group, ending up in third place with just seven points from a possible 18 and suffering relegation.

It would be wrong to suggest that the national team have fallen short of their expectations in recent years considering their history in major competitions is limited.

However, the current side have struggled to live up to the example set by previous iterations, with the country failing to qualify for any of the four tournaments since they exited the 2018 World Cup.

Boss Arnar Gunnlaugsson could field Hakon Valdimarsson in goal due to the fact Elias Rafn Olafsson has undergone kidney surgery.

Estonia's campaign in the 2024-25 Nations League cannot be described as a success given they failed to earn promotion, though remaining in the Nations League C should not be dismissed as an achievement.

The country only took four points from 18 in that tournament, losing four times, drawing once and winning once, but they have won four of their last five games in all competitions.

In seven meetings between the two nations, Estonia have only won once, though the two have settled for stalemates in each of their past three encounters.

Head coach Jurgen Henn could give forward Alex Tamm his 22nd cap, and the attacker may be partnered by Karel Mustmaa.

Iceland vs Estonia preview form guide & betting tips

Iceland vs Estonia — Last 5 Form Guide
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Form (All Comps)
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Whispers predicts: Iceland 0-2 Estonia

Given the form of the visitors, it is surprising to see an Estonia victory priced at 9/1 (10), but it could be the way to go.

Two or fewer goals have been scored in the last five clashes between the two sides, so it makes sense to back Under 2.5 Goals at 23/20 (2.15).

Considering Estonia have been level with their opponents at half time in four of their last six games, there could be value in a bet of Draw at Half Time at 6/4 (2.5).

Estonia have scored first in three of their last four games, and that could make a prediction of Estonia to Score First at 11/4 (3.75) a sensible bet.

📈 Iceland vs Estonia preview — Whispers' Tips

> Under 2.5 Goals at 23/20 (2.15) | Likelihood: Possible

> Draw at Half Time at 6/4 (2.5) | Likelihood: Possible

> Estonia to Score First at 11/4 (3.75) | Likelihood: Outsider


An avid writer and sport fan, Lewis has combined his interests to report on events within the football world. His time at Kings College London saw him earn a BA English degree, as well as a Masters Degree studying Digital Culture and Society. Lewis is a lifelong Liverpool fan - his first ever Anfield game was a 2-0 victory against Tottenham Hotspur - and he has previously contributed for fan websites. Follow Lewis on Twitter @LewisFN00.