Two of the Bundesliga’s bottom six clubs collide when Union Berlin and Holstein Kiel meet at the Stadion An der Alten Försterei in the German Bundesliga on Sunday, 2 March. Read our German football predictions for the contest below.
Contents
- 1 Union Berlin vs Holstein Kiel prediction: Tensions could be high in the capital
- 2 Pre-game odds and win probability: Union Berlin favoured in the markets
- 3 Most recent H2Hs: Union chasing double
- 4 Union Berlin preview: Skov still sidelined
- 5 Holstein Kiel preview: Three out for visitors
- 6 Player to watch – Tom Rothe
Union Berlin vs Holstein Kiel prediction: Tensions could be high in the capital
Key Stats
- Holstein Kiel have lost six and drawn one of their last eight away assignments in the Bundesliga.
- Union Berlin’s home games have been averaging just 2.00 goals per 90 minutes this season.
- Union Berlin have picked up 2.47 cards per game in the Bundesliga this term.
- Union Berlin beat Holstein Kiel 2-0 when the teams last met in October.
Correct score prediction: Union Berlin 2-0 Holstein Kiel
Union Berlin won 2-0 when they visited Holstein Kiel in October and the Iron Ones could deliver a similar result with home advantage in Saturday’s relegation six pointer.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Union Berlin favoured in the markets
- HOME: 4/7 (1.57) – 63.6%
- DRAW: 10/3 (4.33) – 23.1%
- AWAY: 17/4 (5.25) – 19%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Union Berlin were hammered 6-0 by Borussia Dortmund last weekend, though they remain 4/7 favourites to bounce back when they host Holstein Kiel on Sunday.
Holstein Kiel have lost four and drawn two of their last six games in the league and they have only a 19% chance of snapping that run in the capital. View more of our latest football predictions and analysis on our dedicated page.
Most recent H2Hs: Union chasing double
Union Berlin beat Holstein Kiel 2-0 when the clubs last met in October and that was the teams’ first league encounter since 2019.
Europe Friendlies 05/01/25
Union Berlin
Holstein Kiel
Germany Bundesliga I 20/10/24
Holstein Kiel
Union Berlin
Europe Friendlies 22/07/23
Union Berlin
Holstein Kiel
Europe Friendlies 13/11/19
Union Berlin
Holstein Kiel
Germany Bundesliga II 01/03/19
Holstein Kiel
Union Berlin
Union Berlin preview: Skov still sidelined
Robert Skov is injured with an ankle issue though Kevin Vogt and Yannic Stein could be back in contention following minor ailments. Union could pull 12 points clear of the drop zone with a victory over bottom club Holstein Kiel on Sunday.
Predicted lineup: Ronnow (GK), Juranovic, Doekhi, Leite, Rothe, Khedira, Tousart, Wooyeong, Schafer, Hollerbach, Ilic
Germany Bundesliga I 10/05/25
L
Heidenheim
3
Union Berlin
0
Germany Bundesliga I 03/05/25
D
Werder Bremen
2
Union Berlin
2
Germany Bundesliga I 27/04/25
D
Bochum
1
Union Berlin
1
Germany Bundesliga I 19/04/25
D
VfB Stuttgart
4
Union Berlin
4
Germany Bundesliga I 12/04/25
D
Bayer Leverkusen
0
Union Berlin
0
Holstein Kiel preview: Three out for visitors
Benedikt Pichler, Alexander Bernhardsson and Carl Johansson are in the treatment room for Holstein Kiel. The visitors also have several doubts elsewhere. Holstein Kiel have collected only 13 points this season and are virtually certain to go down.
Predicted lineup: Weiner (GK), Ivezic, Zec, Komenda, Rosenboom, Knudsen, Remberg, Gigovic, Javorcek, Harres, Machino
Germany Bundesliga I 10/05/25
L
SC Freiburg
2
Holstein Kiel
1
Germany Bundesliga I 04/05/25
W
Augsburg
1
Holstein Kiel
3
Germany Bundesliga I 26/04/25
W
Borussia M'gladbach
3
Holstein Kiel
4
Germany Bundesliga I 19/04/25
D
RB Leipzig
1
Holstein Kiel
1
Germany Bundesliga I 12/04/25
L
St Pauli
2
Holstein Kiel
1
Player to watch – Tom Rothe
Tom Rothe has been a bright spark at left back for Union Berlin this season, netting twice and assisting twice in 13 starts in the Bundesliga for the Iron Ones since August.

Rothe can perform against Kiel again
Rothe had an impactful outing against Holstein Kiel back in October when the 20-year-old created one of the goals and scored the other in the Iron Ones 2-0 win. The flying fullback will be determined to make a similar splash on Sunday.