Mainz and Holstein Kiel clash at the MEWA ARENA in the German Bundesliga on Saturday, 5 April. Read our German football predictions for the tussle below.
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Mainz vs Holstein Kiel prediction: Hosts can bounce back
Key Stats
- Holstein Kiel have the Bundesliga’s worst away record this season have already been beaten nine times on the road since August.
- Holstein Kiel’s away games have been averaging a league-high 4.08 goals this term.
- Mainz cruised to a 3-0 win when they last met Holstein Kiel in November.
- Jonathan Burkardt, who scored against Holstein Kiel in November, is Mainz’s leading marksman in the league this season with 15 goals.
Correct score prediction: Mainz 3-0 Holstein Kiel
Mainz eased to a 3-0 win at Holstein Kiel in November’s reverse fixture and they could be just as comfortable against the Bundesliga’s worst travellers in Saturday’s rematch.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Holstein Kiel given little chance
- HOME: 9/20 (1.45) – 69%
- DRAW: 7/2 (4.50) – 22.2%
- AWAY: 6/1 (7.00) – 14.3%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Mainz slipped to a 3-1 loss at Dortmund in their last assignment, however, the latest probability figures suggest they have a huge 69% chance of bouncing back at the first time of asking on Saturday.
Holstein Kiel are rooted to the foot of the table and lost 3-0 to Werder Bremen last time out, so it comes as little surprise to see them priced as 6/1 underdogs here. View more of our latest football predictions and analysis on our dedicated page.
Most recent H2Hs: Mainz chasing double
Mainz cantered to a 3-0 win over Holstein Kiel in November and that was the teams’ first encounter since 2017.
Germany Bundesliga I 24/11/24
Holstein Kiel
Mainz
Germany DFB Pokal 24/10/17
Mainz
Holstein Kiel
Mainz preview: Kohr is still suspended
Dominik Kohr is suspended though Philipp Mwene returns from a one-game ban. Stefan Bell and Niklas Tauer are both slight doubts. Mainz dropped down to 4th spot following their loss at Dortmund, but are still firmly in the race for Champions League qualification.
Predicted lineup: Zentner (GK), Da Costa, Jenz, Hanche-Olsen, Caci, Sano, Amiri, Widmer, Nebel, Jae-Sung, Burkardt
Germany Bundesliga I 10/05/25
W
Bochum
1
Mainz
4
Germany Bundesliga I 04/05/25
D
Eintracht Frankfurt
1
Mainz
1
Germany Bundesliga I 26/04/25
L
Bayern Munich
3
Mainz
0
Germany Bundesliga I 19/04/25
D
Wolfsburg
2
Mainz
2
Germany Bundesliga I 12/04/25
L
TSG Hoffenheim
2
Mainz
0
Holstein Kiel preview: Nekic and Erras could return
Andu Yobel Kelati is out with a knee issue, though Ivan Nekic and Patrick Erras are doubtful. Holstein Kiel are eight points shy of safety and a finish in the relegation playoff position might be as good as it gets for the minnows before the campaign ends.
Predicted lineup Dahne (GK), Ivezic, Zec, Komenda, Rosenboom, Knudsen, Remberg, Porath, Bernhardsson, Skrzybski, Harres
Germany Bundesliga I 10/05/25
L
SC Freiburg
2
Holstein Kiel
1
Germany Bundesliga I 04/05/25
W
Augsburg
1
Holstein Kiel
3
Germany Bundesliga I 26/04/25
W
Borussia M'gladbach
3
Holstein Kiel
4
Germany Bundesliga I 19/04/25
D
RB Leipzig
1
Holstein Kiel
1
Germany Bundesliga I 12/04/25
L
St Pauli
2
Holstein Kiel
1
Player to watch – Paul Nebel
Diminutive attacking midfielder Paul Nebel has been enjoying a breakout season for Mainz and the 22-year-old scored his eighth Bundesliga goal of the campaign with his consolation effort against Dortmund last weekend.
Clever Nebel can threaten
Paul Nebel has scored eight time from an xG of just 4.50 this season, which suggests he is overperforming this season, though he is playing with a huge amount of confidence for Mainz and the former German youth international could unlock the Holstein Kiel defence on Saturday.