Bayern Munich vs Holstein Kiel prediction, odds & betting tips – 01/02/2025

League leaders Bayern Munich take on relegation candidates Holstein Kiel at the Allianz Arena in the German Bundesliga on Saturday, 1 February. Read our German football predictions for the contest below.

Bayern Munich vs Holstein Kiel prediction: One-sided fixture likely

Key Stats

• Bayern Munich thumped Holstein Kiel 6-1 when the teams last met back in September.
• Harry Kane scored a hattrick in that wide-margin Bayern triumph.
• 63% of Holstein Kiel’s Bundesliga fixtures this season have produced over 2.5 goals.
• Bayern Munich have been scoring an average of 3.33 goals per home game in the league this term.

Correct score prediction: Bayern Munich 4-0 Holstein Kiel

Bayern Munich walloped Holstein Kiel 6-1 in the teams’ reverse fixture in September and the Bundesliga leaders should be able to swat the minnows aside again in Saturday’s rematch.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Holstein Kiel given little chance

• HOME: 1/22 (1.05) – 95.7%
• DRAW: 16/1 (17.00) – 5.9%
• AWAY: 25/1 (26.00) – 3.8%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Bayern Munich’s win over Freiburg last weekend put them six points clear at the summit of the Bundesliga and Die Roten have a 95.7% chance of winning again when they host Holstein Kiel.

Holstein Kiel drew 2-2 at Wolfsburg in their last assignment and while that was a decent result, it did mean their search for a first away win of the campaign was prolonged. Holstein Kiel have been priced at a mammoth 25/1 to upset the odds in Munich. View more of our latest football predictions and analysis on our dedicated page.

Most recent H2Hs: Bayern Munich targeting second big win

Bayern Munich’s 6-1 win over Holstein Kiel in September was the clubs’ first-ever encounter in the Bundesliga.

Germany Bundesliga I 14/09/24

Holstein Kiel

1

Bayern Munich

6

Germany DFB Pokal 13/01/21

Holstein Kiel

2 (6)

Bayern Munich

2 (5)

Bayern Munich preview: Laimer should be back

Gabriel Vidovic, Hiroki Ito, Bryan Zaragoza, Daniel Peretz and Tarek Buchmann are all out of action for Bayern Munich while Dayot Upamecano, Leon Goretzka and Alphonso Davies are slight doubts. Konrad Laimer is in line to return following a recent one-game ban.

Predicted lineup: Neuer (GK), Kimmich, Dier, Min-Jae, Guerreiro, Pavlovic, Goretzka, Sane, Musiala, Gnabry, Kane

Germany Bundesliga I 10/05/25

W

Borussia M'gladbach

0

Bayern Munich

2

Germany Bundesliga I 03/05/25

D

RB Leipzig

3

Bayern Munich

3

Germany Bundesliga I 26/04/25

W

Mainz

0

Bayern Munich

3

Germany Bundesliga I 19/04/25

W

Heidenheim

0

Bayern Munich

4

UEFA Champions League 16/04/25

D

Inter Milan

2

Bayern Munich

2

Holstein Kiel preview: Holtby in line for return?

Marvin Schulz, Patrick Erras, Colin Kleine-Bekel and Carl Johansson are missing for Holstein Kiel while Nicoli Remberg is suspended and misses out. Lewis Holtby should be back in the fold meanwhile, after the veteran served the last game of his ban.

Predicted lineup: Weiner (GK), Becker, Zec, Komenda, Porath, Knudsen, Remberg, Javorcek, Kelati, Machino, Harres

Germany Bundesliga I 10/05/25

L

SC Freiburg

2

Holstein Kiel

1

Germany Bundesliga I 04/05/25

W

Augsburg

1

Holstein Kiel

3

Germany Bundesliga I 26/04/25

W

Borussia M'gladbach

3

Holstein Kiel

4

Germany Bundesliga I 19/04/25

D

RB Leipzig

1

Holstein Kiel

1

Germany Bundesliga I 12/04/25

L

St Pauli

2

Holstein Kiel

1

Player to watch – Timon Weiner

Timon Weiner has been overworked in the Holstein Kiel goal this season and the club’s number one has faced more shots (16.21) and attempts on target (5.47) per 90 minutes than any other keeper in the Bundesliga.

Weiner could be peppered again

Weiner was peppered with 22 shots, made seven saves and conceded six times when Holstein Kiel lost heavily to Bayern Munich in September and the 26-year-old is likely to feel the squeeze again when he faces the same opponents on Saturday.