Two bottom-six teams meet in the German top flight on Friday night. Our St Pauli vs Hoffenheim prediction and Bundesliga betting tips consider whether either side can take a big step towards safety by picking up all the points.
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St Pauli vs Hoffenheim prediction: Visitors to edge low-scoring contest
Key stats
- Our St Pauli vs Hoffenheim betting tips take into account that the away team’s last three matches have all produced under 2.5 goals.
- All of the last six St Pauli matches in the Bundesliga have served up two or fewer goals.
- 72% of their league games this season overall have produced under 2.5 goals.
Correct score prediction: St Pauli 0-1 Hoffenheim
St Pauli have struggled badly in the final third this season, with a miserable average of just 0.58 goals per home game in the Bundesliga.
That has to give hope to Hoffenheim who have been travelling well in 2025 and look to have found a bit more rhythm now they no longer need to play midweek games in Europe.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Hosts the favourites despite poor form
- HOME: 6/5 (2.20) – 45.5%
- DRAW: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%
- AWAY: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.3%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the St Pauli vs Hoffenheim odds, with an implied probability of 45.5% that they win this match.
They drew 1-1 at Wolfsburg last time out, with Siebe Van der Heyden grabbing their goal.
As for Hoffenheim, they head into this game following a 1-1 home draw against Heidenheim, with Haris Tabakovic their scorer.
For more from the upcoming matches, today’s football betting tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: St Pauli targeting the double
Our St Pauli vs Hoffenheim prediction suggests that, like the reverse fixture, which the Hamburg-based side won, this could end in an away win.
The clubs hadn’t met competitively since 2011 prior to that meeting in November.
Germany Bundesliga I 02/11/24
TSG Hoffenheim
St Pauli
St Pauli preview: Injury concerns for Blessin
The home team have doubts over Conor Metcalfe, Karol Mets and Robert Wagner heading into this game. Morgan Guilavogui and James Sands are also carrying injuries and are set to miss out.
Predicted Lineup: Vasilj (GK), Van der Heyden, Nemeth, Wahl, Ritzka, Irvine, Smith, Treu, Sinani, Afolayan & Weisshaupt
Germany Bundesliga I 08/03/25 D Wolfsburg 1 St Pauli 1 Germany Bundesliga I 01/03/25 L Borussia Dortmund 2 St Pauli 0 Germany Bundesliga I 22/02/25 L Mainz 2 St Pauli 0 Germany Bundesliga I 15/02/25 L SC Freiburg 1 St Pauli 0 Germany Bundesliga I 09/02/25 L RB Leipzig 2 St Pauli 0
Hoffenheim preview: Chaves serves ban
The visitors will have to cope without defender Arthur Chaves who is suspended. They are also set to be without Adam Hlozek, Christopher Lenz, Ihlas Bebou, Grischa Promel and Diadie Samassekou due to injuries.
Predicted Lineup: Baumann (GK), Gendrey, Nsoki, Ostigard, Kaderabek, Stach, Kramaric, Bischof, Becker, Tabakovic & Orban
Germany Bundesliga I 09/03/25 D Heidenheim 1 TSG Hoffenheim 1 Germany Bundesliga I 01/03/25 W Bochum 0 TSG Hoffenheim 1 Germany Bundesliga I 23/02/25 D VfB Stuttgart 1 TSG Hoffenheim 1 Germany Bundesliga I 16/02/25 W Werder Bremen 1 TSG Hoffenheim 3 Germany Bundesliga I 08/02/25 L Union Berlin 4 TSG Hoffenheim 0
Player to watch – Andrej Kramaric
The most dangerous attacking player from either of these sides this season has been Andrej Kramaric. He’s way out ahead with 12 goal contributions in the Bundesliga, consisting of seven goals and five assists.
Kramaric striking at the start of each half
The Croatian has often come out firing at the beginning of each half. 57% of his league goals have come in either the first 15 minutes, or the 15 minutes immediately after the break.