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Seeking their first away win on the road since January, Ajax journey to the Asito Stadium to face rock-bottom Heracles Almelo in round 30 of the Eredivisie on Saturday evening.
While Ajax could move within two points of the Champions League playoff places, three points here could make the start of a much-needed turnaround for the Heraclieden, who are looking to make a late push for safety.
FootballWhispers’ Heracles Almelo vs Ajax prediction takes a look at the chances of both sides getting the result this weekend, while you can click here to find more betting tips for today.
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Heracles Almelo vs Ajax key stats
- Ajax are on a run of six consecutive victories against Heracles and are unbeaten in their last nine encounters (8W 1D) since a 1-0 defeat in February 2020.
- Five of the last six meetings between Heracles and Ajax have seen at least three goals scored, with a combined 27 goals being scored across the six games.
- Heracles hold the worst defensive record in the Eredivisie this season, with a staggering 74 goals conceded already, 16 more than any other side in the division.
- Ajax have failed to taste victory in their last five Eredivisie away matches, losing once and claiming one draw since a 3-2 victory at Telstar on January 11.
Heracles Almelo vs Ajax preview: Can Heraclieden snap five-year Ajax hoodoo to launch survival push?
| Heracles Almelo | vs | Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| 18th | Position | 5th |
| 19 | Points | 48 |
| 34 | Goals For | 54 |
| 74 | Goals Against | 37 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 16th | Home Rank | 3rd |
| 18th | Away Rank | 8th |
With just five goals to go and 15 points to play for, Heracles know time is ticking away in their quest to preserve their three-year stint in the Dutch top flight, as they find themselves languishing at the bottom of the table in what has been an underwhelming campaign.
A 4-1 hammering away to Heerenveen last Sunday marked a 20th league defeat for Ernest Faber’s men, four more than any other side in the division and two more than their tally from the 2021-22 campaign when they suffered relegation to the second tier.
Mario Engles opened the scoring against the run of play to hand the visitors a 21st-minute lead at the Abe Lenstra Stadion, but strikes from Jacob Trenskow, Lasse Selvag Nordas, Maxence Rivera and a 47th-minute own goal from Remko Pasveer saw Heerenveen turn the tie on its head in style.
With 11 clean sheets in 29 matches, Ajax goalkeeper Joel Drommel currently leads the division’s Golden Glove race, three more than Feyenoord’s Timon Wellenreuther in second place.
With that result, Heracles Almelo have gone eight consecutive matches without a win, losing six and claiming two draws, and have failed to win 12 of their 13 games in all competitions since the turn of the year (2D 10L).
While a win this weekend could see the Heraclieden move within five points of 16th-placed Excelsior in the relegation playoff spot, next up is the daunting challenge of an Ajax side, who have won each of their most recent six encounters, a run stretching back to October 2021, when they played out a goalless draw at the Asito Stadium.
As for Ajax, they will be keen to move on from last Saturday’s 2-1 defeat at the hands of Twente and return to winning ways as they look to make up lost ground in their pursuit of Champions League qualification.
Mika Godts has been a standout performer for Ajax this season, with the Belgian attacker scoring 12 goals and providing 10 assists to sit top of the Eredivisie goal involvements chart.
After Wout Weghorst found the back of the net in the 32nd minute to cancel out Ramiz Zerrouki’s 18th-minute opener, Bart van Rooij finished off a well-worked team goal in the 79th minute to hand Twente all three points at the Johan Cruijff Arena.
Oscar Garcia’s men have endured a topsy-turvy run of form in recent weeks, losing twice and claiming just one win from their most recent four games, having gone unbeaten in the 12 Eredivisie matches preceding this run (6W 6D).
Ajax have lost five of their 29 Eredivisie matches while picking up 12 wins and 12 draws to collect 48 points and sit fifth in the league table, five points behind third-placed NEC Nijmegen in the Champions League playoff spot heading into the final five games.
Heracles Almelo vs Ajax form guide & betting tips
| Heracles Almelo | vs | Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| L-D-L-D-L | League Form | D-L-W-D-L |
| 2 | Points | 5 |
| 16th | Form Table | 13th |
| 3 | Goals For | 14 |
| 12 | Goals Against | 6 |
| L-D-L-D-L | Form (all comps) | L-W-D-D-L |
Whispers predicts: Heracles Almelo 1-3 Ajax
With this weekend’s result proving potentially decisive in shaping their relegation scrap, Heracles will fancy their chances against an out-of-sorts Ajax side, who appear to have run out of steam in recent weeks.
In truth, Ajax’s form has entered a decline of late, but they boast the quality and firepower needed to get the job done, and given their dominance in this fixture, we are backing them to come away with the win at 1.57.
With 27 goals scored in their last six encounters and Heracles’ porous back line, we anticipate another high-scoring contest, with Ajax to win + over 3.5 goals at 3.25 offering value.
Ajax have conceded in 19 of their 20 away matches across all competitions this season and we fancy BTTS at 1.57, while the correct score market has a correct score of 1-3 currently priced at 11.00.
> BTTS - Yes at 1.57 | Likelihood: Possible
> Ajax to win + Over 3.5 goals - Yes at 3.25 | Likelihood: Possible
> Total corners - Under 10.5 at 1.83 | Likelihood: Probable
> Correct score: 1-3 at 11.00 | Likelihood: Outsider