Heerenveen vs Ajax prediction, preview & betting tips – 17/05/2026
Ajax’s Oscar Gloukh - Photo by IMAGO / Orange Pictures
🔥 Our Hot tip

Heerenveen over 1.5 goals

Heerenveen have scored at least twice in each of their last five home matches.

A crucial final day in the Eredivisie sees Ajax travel to Abe Lenstra Stadion on Sunday to face Heerenveen, with the visitors looking to secure maximum points in a bid to enhance their chances of a top-four finish.

The Amsterdam giants are three points adrift of third-placed Twente and one behind fourth-placed NEC ahead of the closing round of the campaign.

Meanwhile, Heerenveen have already secured participation in the European play-offs and could still climb further up the standings with a positive result in front of their home supporters.

Read our prediction, preview and betting tips for the game below, and make sure to check out our today's betting tips page for more of our expert predictions.

Heerenveen vs Ajax key stats

  • Ajax have recorded draws in four of their last seven away league games (W2, L1).
  • Mika Godts has scored 17 league goals this season, finding the net in three of his last four appearances.
  • Heerenveen are unbeaten in each of their last six home matches (W5, D1).

Heerenveen vs Ajax preview: Frisians looking to frustrate inconsistent visitors

Heerenveen vs Ajax — Tale of the Tape

Heerenveen vs Ajax
8thPosition5th
50Points55
57Goals For62
53Goals Against41
4Clean Sheets9
8thHome / Away Rank5th

Heerenveen may have fallen to a disappointing 2-0 loss at NAC Breda last time out, but that result does little to overshadow what has otherwise been an impressive run in recent weeks.

Robin Veldman’s side had collected six victories from their previous eight Eredivisie fixtures before that setback, with attacking consistency playing a major role in their climb up the standings.

The Super Frisians have looked particularly dangerous at Abe Lenstra Stadion, where confidence has continued to grow following a sequence of dominant home performances.

With AZ Alkmaar still within touching distance, Heerenveen have genuine motivation to push for the highest possible finish, which should ensure another aggressive approach here.

Meanwhile, Ajax head into this encounter under pressure after slipping out of the top four following last weekend’s dramatic 2-1 defeat against FC Utrecht.

The Amsterdam side appeared to have rescued a valuable point late on through Wout Weghorst, only to concede again in stoppage time and suffer another damaging setback in their inconsistent second half of the season.

Results since the winter break have been far below expectations for a club of Ajax’s stature, with the Sons of the Gods managing just six victories in their last 16 league games (D7, L3),  leaving their European hopes hanging in the balance heading into the final fixture.

Even so, there have been encouraging signs away from home recently, with Oscar Garcia’s men winning successive league trips while producing composed attacking displays in both encounters.

Much of Ajax’s attacking threat continues to come through Mika Godts, whose finishing form has made him one of the division’s standout forwards this campaign.

Heerenveen vs Ajax form guide & betting tips

Heerenveen vs. Ajax — Last 5 Form Guide
Heerenveen vs Ajax
WLWWL
Form
LWWDL
9Points7
5thForm Table8th
8Goals For9
7Goals Against6
WLWWL
Form (All Comps)
WLWDL

Whispers predicts: Heerenveen 2-2 Ajax

Ajax possess the stronger squad on paper, but their inability to consistently control matches in recent months makes them difficult to trust at short odds.

Heerenveen’s impressive form at Abe Lenstra Stadion should allow the hosts to remain competitive throughout, making the draw at 3.90 a very appealing selection.

Goals also look likely given the attacking strengths on both sides, so BTTS and over 2.5 goals at 1.50 stands out as one of the stronger betting angles available.

Heerenveen over 1.5 goals at 1.90 also deserves consideration based on the hosts’ excellent scoring record at home, while Mika Godts to score anytime at 2.20 offers further value considering his recent form.

Punters looking towards the correct-score market may also find the 2-2 draw at 10.00 worth backing in what could develop into an open and entertaining contest.

📈 Heerenveen vs. Ajax — Whispers' Tips

> BTTS – Yes & Over 2.5 goals at 1.50 | Likelihood: Probable

> Heerenveen over 1.5 goals at 1.90 | Likelihood: Possible

> Anytime scorer – Mika Godts at 2.20 | Likelihood: Possible

> Match result – Draw at 3.90 | Likelihood: Possible

> Correct score – Heerenveen 2-2 Ajax at 10.00 | Likelihood: Outsider


Adeyeye Oluwapelumi is a writer with over four years of experience covering football and a range of global sports. A passionate Arsenal fan since 2004, he brings sharp insight and a genuine love for the game to every piece.