Gremio and Palmeiras are bound to meet in the next round of Serie A on Thursday, 4 July.
Can Gremio find a way to surprise the favoured guests or will Palmeiras notch an easy win as expected? Find that out by reading our Gremio vs Palmeiras prediction to find out, bur remember to also look at our favourite Serie A predictions.
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Gremio vs Palmeiras prediction: Palmeiras to get the points
Key stats
- Gremio have lost four of their last six matches in Serie A.
- Three of the last five meetings between Gremio and Palmeiras have gone under 2.5 total goals.
- Gremio have averaged just 1.82 total goals per game in the league this season and Palmeiras aren't much better with an average of 2.08 total goals per game.
Correct score prediction: Gremio 0-2 Palmeiras
Two of the previous five H2H duels between Gremio and Palmeiras have ended in 2-0 wins for Palmeiras and we can see that being the case once again on Thursday.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies backing Palmeiras
- HOME: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.30%
- DRAW: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.30%
- AWAY: 23/20 (2.15) – 46.50%
We can see from these Gremio vs Palmeiras odds that the guests are the expected winners, although the hosts aren't without a chance according to the bookies.
That is a bit surprising given where the two teams are in the standings, with Palmeiras already 16 points ahead, but the guests are facing some problems with many missing players and that probably influenced their odds.
In any case, if you enjoyed our predictions for this duel, remember to also check out some of our favourite betting tips for today.
Last five H2Hs: Palmeiras with the clear advantage
With four wins over Gremio in their last five meetings and just one loss, it's obvious that Palmeiras have been dominating this matchup lately. Meanwhile, Palmeiras also have the advantage in the overall H2H record: 25-17-14.
Brazil Serie A 22/09/23
Gremio
Palmeiras
Brazil Serie A 11/05/23
Palmeiras
Gremio
Brazil Serie A 31/10/21
Gremio
Palmeiras
Brazil Serie A 07/07/21
Palmeiras
Gremio
Copa do Brasil 07/03/21
Palmeiras
Gremio
Gremio preview: Can they avoid a loss for the third time in a row?
After beating Fluminense in the last round, Gremio have finally ended their poor run of seven games without a win, six of which were losses. So, given that streak, it's not surprising that Gremio are currently in the relegation zone. That being said, they are just one point behind the first team in the safe zone and they also have a couple of games in hand, so things aren't as bleak as they might seem at first glance.
Yeferson Soteldo and Mathias Villasanti remain unavailable to Gremio since they're on international duty, while Diego Costa, Lucas Mila, Andre Henrique, and Jhonata Robert are injured. Also, Dodi will miss this match to serve a suspension.
Predicted lineup: Marchesin (GK), Pedro, Geromel, Ely, Reinaldo, Edenilson, Pepe, Carballo, Gomes, Pavon & Cristaldo
Brazil Serie A 29/09/24
D
Botafogo
0
Gremio
0
Brazil Serie A 25/09/24
L
Criciuma
2
Gremio
1
Brazil Serie A 22/09/24
W
Flamengo
2
Gremio
3
Brazil Serie A 15/09/24
D
Bragantino
2
Gremio
2
Brazil Serie A 01/09/24
L
Atletico Mineiro
3
Gremio
2
Palmeiras preview: On a good path to another title
The defending Serie A champions have started the new season as expected and they currently sit only one point behind Flamengo, the league leaders. Palmeiras are also in great form at the moment with six wins in their last seven matches in the league, a streak interrupted by a somewhat surprising 3-0 loss to Fortaleza.
However, Palmeiras will have to manage without Ze Rafael, Raphael Veiga, and Gabriel Menino, who are all suspended for this game. Also, Richard Rios, Endrick, and Gustavo Gomez are at Copa America and Romulo and Lazaro are out with injuries.
Predicted lineup: Weverton (GK), Rocha, Naves, Reis, Piquerez, Fabinho, Vanderlan, Mayke, Estevao, Dudu & Lopez
Brazil Serie A 28/09/24
W
Atletico Mineiro
1
Palmeiras
2
Brazil Serie A 22/09/24
W
Vasco da Gama
0
Palmeiras
1
Brazil Serie A 15/09/24
W
Criciuma
0
Palmeiras
5
Brazil Serie A 01/09/24
W
Athletico Paranaense
0
Palmeiras
2
Brazil Serie A 24/08/24
W
Cuiaba
0
Palmeiras
5
Player to watch: Estevao
With three goals and two assists in the league this season, the 18-year-old forward has probably impressed more than his Real Madrid-bound teenage teammate Endrick.
Can Estevao score from the spot again?
One of the three goals that Estevao has scored in the league so far has come after a successful penalty kick. Given the chance, can Estevao repeat this against Gremio?
