Gremio vs Fluminense prediction, odds & betting tips 30/06/2024

🔥 Our Hot tip

Gremio to win

Gremio won their last six clashes with Fluminense

An interesting fixture is on the cards as the last two teams on the Serie A table go head-to-head on Sunday evening. View our free Gremio vs Fluminense predictions below.

Gremio vs Fluminense predictions: Both teams to concede

Key stats

  • Gremio and Fluminense have no wins in their last six respective games.
  • Unsurprisingly, neither team kept a clean sheet in their last six matches.
  • However, Gremio came out on top the last six times these teams clashed.
  • Fluminense have played five matches away from home, and lost all of them.

Correct score prediction: Gremio 2-1 Fluminense

Fluminense have lost all their away games, conceding exactly two goals on average on the road. Taking into account that Gremio have conceded in six consecutive matches, Fluminense should be able to score one goal.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies favour Gremio

  • Gremio: 21/20 (2.05) – 48.8%
  • Draw: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
  • Fluminense: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.3%

*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Fluminense have not just been the worst team in the Serie A, they've also been the worst travellers. Marcão’s troops lost all five matches they played away from home, conceding 10 times in the process.

In spite of their own recent struggles, Gremio are the expected winners at 21/20 (2.05). Teams with these odds generally have a 48.8% probability of winning.

Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Gremio vs Fluminense predictions.

It's also worth mentioning that both teams have no clean sheets in their last six respective games. Given that their last two skirmishes featured goals at both ends, BTTS – yes has an appealing look at 10/11 (1.91). That one has a 52.4% chance of landing.

Last five H2Hs: Fluminense's woes set to continue?

Despite their shortcomings, Gremio have a great track record against Fluminense, as they emerged victorious the last six times these teams met. Moreover, Fluminense have no clean sheets in the last nine meetings between these outfits.

Brazil Serie A 07/12/23

Fluminense

Fluminense

2
Gremio

Gremio

3

Brazil Serie A 13/08/23

Gremio

Gremio

2
Fluminense

Fluminense

1

Brazil Serie A 10/11/21

Gremio

Gremio

1
Fluminense

Fluminense

0

Brazil Serie A 18/07/21

Fluminense

Fluminense

0
Gremio

Gremio

1

Brazil Serie A 08/11/20

Fluminense

Fluminense

0
Gremio

Gremio

1

Team news and form guide

Gremio: Hoping to turn their fortunes around

Gremio will not be able to call upon the services of Diego Costa, as the former Chelsea and Atletico Madrid forward is recovering from a muscle injury. Andre Henrique, Jhonata Robert and Lucas Mila are also unavailable for selection.

Predicted lineup: Marchesin (GK), Reinaldo, Kannemann, Martins, Pedro, Cristaldo, Pepe, Dodi, Pavon, Galvao & Galdino.

Brazil Serie A 17/07/24

L

Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

1

Gremio

Gremio

0

Copa do Brasil 14/07/24

W

Operario PR

Operario PR

1

Gremio

Gremio

3

Brazil Serie A 10/07/24

L

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro

2

Gremio

Gremio

0

Brazil Serie A 07/07/24

L

EC Juventude

EC Juventude

3

Gremio

Gremio

0

Brazil Serie A 04/07/24

D

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

2

Gremio

Gremio

2

Fluminense: Eyeing their first away win of the season

Like their opponents, there are a few absentees for Fluminense, including Vinícius Lima, Andre Trindade and Marquinhos.

Predicted lineup: Fabio (GK), Xavier, Carlos, Santos, Marcelo, Pires, Martinelli, Terans, Ganso, Keno & Cano.

Brazil Serie A 11/07/24

D

Criciuma

Criciuma

1

Fluminense

Fluminense

1

Brazil Serie A 07/07/24

L

Fortaleza EC

Fortaleza EC

1

Fluminense

Fluminense

0

Brazil Serie A 04/07/24

D

Internacional

Internacional

1

Fluminense

Fluminense

1

Brazil Serie A 30/06/24

L

Gremio

Gremio

1

Fluminense

Fluminense

0

Brazil Serie A 27/06/24

L

Vitoria

Vitoria

1

Fluminense

Fluminense

0

Player to watch: Ganso

Gremio vs Fluminense predictions
Ganso has been booked more times than every other player in the Serie A this season. (Photo by Icon Sport)

Ganso leads Fluminense in both goals, assists and yellow cards this season. In fact, no player in Brazil's top flight has been booked as many times as the former Sevilla midfielder. In nine of Ganso's last 10 appearances for Fluminense, he either scored, registered an assist, or got a yellow card. It will be interesting to see how he performs against Gremio.


Kelechi is a huge sports fan with over 10 years of betting experience. He has written for a few publications like What Are The Odds, Mighty Tips and Betting Detectives