Fluminense will host Gremio in the second leg of their Copa Libertadores tie on Tuesday, 20 August.
Will Gremio once again get the better of Fluminense or will the hosts finally beat them this time around? Find out from our Fluminense vs Gremio prediction, but remember to also look at our other Copa Libertadores predictions.
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Fluminense vs Gremio predictions: Both teams to score in a close game
Key stats
- Gremio have only lost twice in their last nine games in all competitions and one of them was a loss after penalties.
- Fluminense are without a win in their last four matches in a row.
- Both teams have scored in three of the previous four duels between these teams.
Correct score prediction: Fluminense 1-1 Gremio
Given that Gremio have won eight times in a row against Fluminense, we can see them doing well against the same rival on Tuesday, but perhaps this time they will only get a draw, which would still put them into Copa Libertadores quarter-finals.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies favouring Fluminense
- HOME: 21/20 (2.05) – 48.80%
- DRAW: 19/10 (2.90) – 34.50%
- AWAY: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.40%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
It's clear from these Fluminense vs Gremio odds that the bookies see the hosts as the expected winners, despite the first-leg result and Gremio dominating their recent H2Hs.
After all, Fluminense are the reigning champions of Copa Libertadores and they did put up a good fight in first leg, even taking the lead before conceding a couple of goals within minutes.
Anyhow, we expect an exciting duel and if you liked our predictions for it, remember to take a peek our top betting tips for today as well.
Most recent H2Hs: Fluminense's woes set to continue?
Despite their shortcomings, Gremio have a great track record against Fluminense, as they emerged victorious the last eight times these teams met. Moreover, Gremio also have the advantage when it comes to the overall H2H record against Fluminense: 25-12-13.
Copa Libertadores 13/08/24
Gremio
Fluminense
Brazil Serie A 30/06/24
Gremio
Fluminense
Brazil Serie A 07/12/23
Fluminense
Gremio
Brazil Serie A 13/08/23
Gremio
Fluminense
Brazil Serie A 10/11/21
Gremio
Fluminense
Fluminense preview: Looking for a turnaround after the first leg
As the defending champions of South America, Fluminense would disappoint if they were eliminated in the first round of the knockout stages, but they are in a rough spot after losing 2-1 to Gremio in the first leg.
This has been a rough season overall for Fluminense since they're also in the relegation zone in Serie A, though they've improved their form recently, but they need to be at their best if they want to beat Gremio, who have been their boogey team recently since they've lost to them eight times in a row.
Meanwhile, German Cano, Marquinhos, Marcelo, Diogo Barbosa, and Matheus Martinelli are on the team's injury list ahead of this match.
Predicted lineup: Fabio (GK), Xavier, Silva, Santos, Esquerdinha, Andre, Bernal, Arias, Ganso, Keno & Kennedy
Brazil Serie A 11/05/25
L
Atletico Mineiro
3
Fluminense
2
Copa Sudamericana 09/05/25
L
San Jose de Oruro
1
Fluminense
0
Brazil Serie A 03/05/25
W
Sport Recife
1
Fluminense
2
Copa do Brasil 30/04/25
W
Aparecidense
0
Fluminense
1
Brazil Serie A 27/04/25
L
Botafogo
2
Fluminense
0
Gremio preview: In solid form recently
After a nightmarish periods of the season for Gremio, especially in Serie A where they were in the relegation zone for a while, Gremio have managed to finally find their form with four wins in their last six games in the league. On top of that, Gremio are now close to reaching Copa Libertadores quarter-finals, if they can defending a one-goal advantage from the first leg against Fluminense.
When it comes to team news, Rodrigo Ely is suspended after being sent off in the first leg, while Jhonata Robert, Andre, and Mayk are injured ahead of this game.
Predicted lineup: Marchesin (GK), Pedro, Martins, Kannemann, Reinaldo, Dodi, Pepe, Carballo, Cristaldo, Soltedo & Costa
Copa Sudamericana 13/05/25
D
Godoy Cruz
1
Gremio
1
Brazil Serie A 10/05/25
D
Bragantino
1
Gremio
1
Copa Sudamericana 08/05/25
D
Atletico Grau
0
Gremio
0
Brazil Serie A 04/05/25
W
Santos
0
Gremio
1
Copa do Brasil 01/05/25
L
CSA
3
Gremio
2
Player to watch: Franco Cristaldo
While the experienced midfielder only has one goal in Copa Libertadores this season, with four goals overall he's one of Gremio's top scorers and certainly one of their key players on offence.
Cristaldo to score a penalty?
It is a small sample size, but Cristaldo has scored once from the penalty spot already this season, so he might take the responsibility if Gremio are given the opportunity to shoot a penalty.