There’s a Catalan derby at the Estadi Olimpic on Sunday. Our Barcelona vs Girona prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether the visitors can repeat their impressive win on this ground last term.
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Barcelona vs Girona prediction: Lewandowski to score first in home win
Key stats
- Our Barcelona vs Girona betting tips take into account that the visitors have lost all four matches against top-three opponents this term by at least two goals.
- Girona have only won one of the last 11 games in all competitions.
- Hansi Flick has won 33 of his 44 games for Barcelona in all competitions, equalling Tito Vilanova’s win ratio (75%). Only Luis Enrique (76.24%) can better that.
Correct score prediction: Barcelona 3-1 Girona
Girona are just not the force they were last season when they stunned Barcelona twice, and we should get a very different outcome this time around.
The hosts are in great form and remain unbeaten in 2025. Having rested Raphinha and Robert Lewandowski on Thursday night, they should have more than enough firepower to win this one.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Barca the odds-on favourites
- HOME: 1/4 (1.25) – 80.0%
- DRAW: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.4%
- AWAY: 17/2 (9.50) – 10.5%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Barcelona vs Girona odds, with an implied probability of 80.0% that they win this match.
Ferran Torres and Dani Olmo set them on their way to a 3-0 victory over Osasuna on Thursday in a rearranged fixture.
As for Girona, they were last in action at home to Valencia a fortnight ago, drawing 1-1 with Cristhian Stuani on target.
For more from the upcoming matches in Europe, today’s football tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Goals normally flow in Catalan derby
Our Barcelona vs Girona prediction suggests we’ll get plenty of goalmouth action in this one, and all of the last three meetings have served up five or more goals.
Girona won both meetings 4-2 last season, and they are unbeaten on their last three league trips to play Barcelona.
Spain La Liga 15/09/24
Girona
Barcelona
Spain La Liga 04/05/24
Girona
Barcelona
Spain La Liga 10/12/23
Barcelona
Girona
Spain La Liga 10/04/23
Barcelona
Girona
Spain La Liga 28/01/23
Girona
Barcelona
Barcelona preview: Olmo blow for Flick
The win over Osasuna came at a cost, with Dani Olmo picking up an injury that will rule him out here. Marc Bernal, Marc-Andre ter Stegen, Marc Casado and Andreas Christensen are also out.
Predicted Lineup: Szczesny (GK), Balde, Cubarsi, Araujo, Kounde, Pedri, De Jong, Raphinha, Fermin, Ferran & Lewandowski
Spain La Liga 11/05/25 W Real Madrid 3 Barcelona 4 UEFA Champions League 06/05/25 L Inter Milan 4 Barcelona 3 Spain La Liga 03/05/25 W Valladolid 1 Barcelona 2 UEFA Champions League 30/04/25 D Inter Milan 3 Barcelona 3 Spain Copa del Rey 26/04/25 W Real Madrid 2 Barcelona 3
Girona preview: Midfield problems for Michel
The visitors are missing Donny van de Beek to suspension. Ivan Martin and Bryan Gil are injured, while Oriol Romeu is ineligible against his parent club.
Predicted Lineup: Gazzaniga (GK), Blind, Krejci, D. Lopez, A. Martinez, M. Gutierrez, Herrera, Arthur, Danjuma, Miovski & Tsygankov
Spain La Liga 10/05/25 L Villarreal 1 Girona 0 Spain La Liga 05/05/25 W Mallorca 0 Girona 1 Spain La Liga 24/04/25 D Leganes 1 Girona 1 Spain La Liga 21/04/25 L Real Betis 3 Girona 1 Spain La Liga 13/04/25 L Osasuna 2 Girona 1
Player to watch – Robert Lewandowski
Lewandowski came off the bench to add Barca’s third on Thursday. He’s La Liga’s top scorer with 23 goals in 27 appearances this term.
Lewandowski scoring early
57% of the Poland international’s league goals this term have come in the first half. He has been most impactful between the 16th and 30th minutes with six goals in that time interval.