Two teams who finished in the top five of La Liga last season meet on Saturday. Our Athletic Club vs Girona prediction and La Liga betting tips consider whether the hosts can continue their strong push for a top-four finish.
Contents
Athletic Club vs Girona prediction: Basques to edge tight game
Key stats
- Our Athletic Club vs Girona betting tips take into account that 73% of league games at San Mames this term have served up under 2.5 goals.
- 64% of Girona’s away games in La Liga have produced under 2.5 goals.
- The Catalans average just 0.91 goals per game on their travels in the league.
Correct score prediction: Athletic Club 1-0 Girona
The hosts have a doubt over key winger Nico Williams, but they’ve still got enough quality to find a way to win this game.
Girona have competed, but invariably fallen just short whenever they’ve played the stronger teams in La Liga and the Champions League this term. A repeat is likely here.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Athletic the clear favourites
- HOME: 4/6 (1.67) – 60.0%
- DRAW: 27/10 (3.70) – 27.0%
- AWAY: 4/1 (5.00) – 20.0%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Athletic Club vs Girona odds, with an implied probability of 60.0% that they win this match.
They head into this game following a 2-2 draw at Real Betis in La Liga, with Aitor Paredes and Oihan Sancet grabbing their goals.
As for Girona, they defeated Las Palmas 2-1 at home last time out, with Abel Ruiz and Yaser Asprilla scoring.
For more from the upcoming matches, today’s football tips look at some of the best picks.
Most recent H2Hs: Three wins from four at home for Los Leones
Our Athletic Club vs Girona prediction suggests Ernesto Valverde’s side can record a fourth win in their fifth home meeting with Girona in La Liga.
The last six meetings overall, have all seen both teams score, with Athletic extraordinarily missing three penalties in the reverse fixture earlier this term.
Spain La Liga 06/10/24

Girona

Athletic Bilbao
Spain La Liga 19/02/24

Athletic Bilbao

Girona
Spain La Liga 27/11/23

Girona

Athletic Bilbao
Spain La Liga 26/02/23

Athletic Bilbao

Girona
Spain La Liga 04/11/22

Girona

Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Club preview: Injury concerns for Valverde
Unai Nunez and Nico Williams are both rated doubtful for the home team, while Alvaro Djalo and Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta will definitely miss out.
Predicted Lineup: Simon (GK), Yuri, Vivian, Yeray, De Marcos, Prados, Jauregizar, Berenguer, Sancet, I. Williams & Guruzeta
Spain La Liga 11/05/25 W CD Alaves 0 Athletic Bilbao 1 UEFA Europa League 08/05/25 L Man Utd 4 Athletic Bilbao 1 Spain La Liga 04/05/25 D Real Sociedad 0 Athletic Bilbao 0 UEFA Europa League 01/05/25 L Man Utd 3 Athletic Bilbao 0 Spain La Liga 23/04/25 W Las Palmas 0 Athletic Bilbao 1
Girona preview: Full squad for Michel to pick from
There’s a slight irony, in that now Girona are out of the Champions League and have far fewer games, their significant early season injury problems have entirely cleared up.
Predicted Lineup: Gazzaniga (GK), M. Gutierrez, Blind, Krejci, A. Martinez, Martin, Herrera, Gil, Asprilla, Tsygankov & Ruiz
Spain La Liga 10/05/25 L Villarreal 1 Girona 0 Spain La Liga 05/05/25 W Mallorca 0 Girona 1 Spain La Liga 24/04/25 D Leganes 1 Girona 1 Spain La Liga 21/04/25 L Real Betis 3 Girona 1 Spain La Liga 13/04/25 L Osasuna 2 Girona 1
Player to watch – Oihan Sancet
The return to fitness of Sancet is a major boost for Athletic. No player from either side can better his tally of eight goals in 18 appearances in La Liga this term.

La Liga’s highest-scoring midfielder
While Jude Bellingham and Giovani Lo Celso have netted seven times, no midfielder in the Spanish top flight can better Sancet’s tally. The 24-year-old averages a goal every 140 minutes.