Benfica vs Sporting prediction
Zeki Amdouni celebrates a goal against Rio Ave - Photo by Imago
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Benfica & under 2.5 goals

Benfica have won seven of their 12 away games in the Primeira Liga and under 2.5 goals have been produced in 58% of their matches on the road.

Title-chasing Benfica make the trip to Gil Vicente for Friday night's action in the Portuguese Primeira Liga and we're bringing you all our tips and predictions for the game.

Gil Vicente vs Benfica prediction: A low-scoring away win?

Key Stats

  • Gil Vicente have lost each of their last five league meetings with Benfica.
  • Benfica have kept clean sheets in 48% of their matches in the Primeira Liga.
  • Under 2.5 goals have been produced in each of Gil Vicente's last six outings in all competitions.
  • Vangelis Pavlidis has scored five goals in his last seven appearances for Benfica in league and cup.

Correct score prediction: Gil Vicente 0-1 Benfica

While were are expecting Benfica to win and keep a clean sheet on Friday night, we aren't expecting any kind of goal-fest. The visitors score an average of 1.08 goals per away game and concede an average of 0.54 goals which is why we're backing a 1-0 correct score prediction in Benfica's favour.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Benfica the clear favourite

  • HOME: 7/1 (8.00) – 12.5%
  • DRAW: 19/5 (4.80) – 20.8%
  • AWAY: 2/5 (1.40) – 71.4%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Benfica are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 71.4% and recent history suggests that the visitors are likely to come away with all three points.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Benfica dominate

Friday's guests have won each of their last five league meetings with Gil Vicente, running out 5-1 winners when the pair met in Lisbon back in September.

Portugal Primeira Liga 02/03/25

Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente

0
Benfica

Benfica

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 28/09/24

Benfica

Benfica

5
Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 04/02/24

Benfica

Benfica

3
Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 26/08/23

Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente

2
Benfica

Benfica

3

Portugal Primeira Liga 29/04/23

Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente

0
Benfica

Benfica

2

Gil Vicente preview: Lost six of last seven

Gil Vicente had the home advantage against Santa Clara before the international break but failed to make it count.

The hosts dominated the overall possession stats and created a lot more goalscoring opportunities but Santa Clara scored one of their two shots on target to claim a 1-0 victory.

Friday's hosts have no fresh injury concerns for suspended players ahead of a tough game against Benfica.

Predicted lineup: Andrew (GK), Fernandes, Sa, Ze Carlos, Cruz, Teixeira, Fujimoto, Garcia, Bamba, Correia & Eduardo 

Portugal Primeira Liga 10/05/25

D

Arouca

Arouca

1

Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 04/05/25

L

Sporting

Sporting

2

Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 26/04/25

W

SC Farense

SC Farense

0

Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 19/04/25

W

Nacional

Nacional

0

Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente

3

Portugal Primeira Liga 11/04/25

L

Guimaraes

Guimaraes

1

Gil Vicente

Gil Vicente

0

Benfica preview: Won last six in the Primeira Liga

Benfica made it six league wins on the run away at Rio Ave last time out but were made to work hard for their three points.

A goal from Orkun Kokcu was all that separated the two clubs at the halfway point but Vangelis Pavlidis doubled Benfica's lead from the penalty spot in the 53rd minute. However, Rio Ave responded with two goals in the space of nine minutes to get back onto level terms and the visitors needed a late goal from Kerem Akturkoglu to win the game 3-2.

Casper Tengstedt, Tiago Gouveia, Angel Di Maria, Manu Silva and Alexander Bah could all miss the trip to Gil Vicente on Friday night due to injury.

Predicted lineup: Trubin (GK), Otamendi, Araujo, A. Silva, Fernández, Aursnes, Florentino, Kokcu, Bruma, Pavlidis & Amdouni

Portugal Primeira Liga 10/05/25

D

Sporting

Sporting

1

Benfica

Benfica

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 03/05/25

W

Estoril

Estoril

1

Benfica

Benfica

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 27/04/25

W

AVS

AVS

0

Benfica

Benfica

6

Portugal Cup 23/04/25

W

FC Tirsense

FC Tirsense

0

Benfica

Benfica

4

Portugal Primeira Liga 19/04/25

W

Guimaraes

Guimaraes

0

Benfica

Benfica

3

Player to watch: Vangelis Pavlidis

Vangelis Pavlidis made the move to Benfica in the summer following a very impressive campaign with AZ Alkmaar in the Eredivisie.

Vangelis Pavlidis player to watch
Vangelis Pavlidis celebrates a goal against Monaco – Photo by Imago

The Greek international striker scored 29 times in the league alone last season and since moving to Portugal he has found the back of the net ten times in 25 appearances in the Primeira Liga.

The Greek striker is in great form right now

Pavlidis failed to score during the international break but the Benfica front man has five goals in his last seven games for his club side and we're backing that run to continue against Rio Ave.


James developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer and now has 10+ years experience covering club and international leagues and competitions across the globe.