Gibraltar vs. Malta prediction, preview & betting tips – 16/11/2026
James Scanlon in action for Gibraltar || Credit - Imago
🔥 Our Hot tip

Under 2.5 goals

All four previous meetings between these nations have produced fewer than three goals, while Gibraltar have scored just once in their three Nations League matches this season.

Gibraltar will be looking to finish their 2026–27 UEFA Nations League campaign with a victory when they welcome Malta to Europa Point Stadium on Monday evening.

The visitors have already secured first place in League D Group 1 with seven points from three matches, while the hosts have collected two points from their three fixtures and will be hoping to finish above Andorra, who have completed their campaign with four points.

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Read our prediction, preview and betting tips for the game below, and make sure to check out our today's betting tips page for more of our expert predictions.

Gibraltar vs. Malta key stats

  • All four previous meetings between the nations have finished with under 2.5 goals.
  • Gibraltar have yet to win in the Nations League this season, recording two draws and one defeat.
  • Gibraltar have scored just one goal in the Nations League this season.

Gibraltar vs Malta preview: Can Malta finish their campaign with another victory?

Gibraltar vs Malta — Tale of the Tape

Gibraltar vs Malta
3rdPosition1st
2Points7
1Goals For4
3Goals Against2
1Clean Sheets1
3rd (H)Home / Away Rank1st (A)

Gibraltar head into Monday's fixture looking to respond after their hopes of finishing above Malta in Group D1 were ended by Friday's defeat in Andorra.

Scott Wiseman's side suffered a 2-0 loss away from home, with first-half goals from Guillaume Lopez and Albert Ubach giving Andorra their first victory of the group campaign.

That result left Gibraltar on two points after three matches, having drawn their opening two fixtures against Andorra and Malta.

Their campaign began with a goalless home draw against Andorra before they travelled to Malta and secured a 1-1 stalemate, but they were unable to build on those results when they returned to action on Friday.

Gibraltar have therefore scored only once in their three Nations League matches, showing the difficulty they have experienced in creating opportunities and converting the ones they managed to create.

Gibraltar will also be without Tjay De Barr, who is suspended after receiving a yellow card in Friday's defeat against Andorra.

Malta, meanwhile, travel to Gibraltar having already achieved their primary objective of finishing top of Group D1.

Emilio De Leo's side have collected seven points from their three group matches, recording victories over Andorra and drawing against Gibraltar in their previous meeting.

Their campaign began with a 2-1 away victory over Andorra, before they followed that result with a 1-1 draw against Gibraltar on October 1.

Malta then secured a 1-0 home win over Andorra on October 4, ensuring they remained unbeaten and moved into a commanding position at the top of the section.

Their first-place finish was confirmed on Friday when Gibraltar lost 2-0 in Andorra, leaving Malta with an unassailable lead in the group.

The result also means Malta have secured promotion to League C, with UEFA's revised 2026-27 format providing for all League D teams to move up a division.

De Leo's men will nevertheless have reasons to approach Monday's encounter seriously, as a victory would allow them to finish the campaign with a stronger points total and maintain their positive momentum.

Malta were held to a 1-1 draw by Eswatini in a friendly last time out, with Basil Tuma scoring their goal after coming off the bench.

The visitors will be without Alexander Satariano, who is suspended for the Nations League fixture after being booked in the competition.

Midfielder Jake Grech and defender Jean Borg are also unavailable, with both omitted from the November squad because of injuries.

Gibraltar vs. Malta form guide & betting tips

Gibraltar vs. Malta — Last 5 Form Guide
Gibraltar vs Malta
DDDWL
Form
WWDWD
3Goals For7
3Goals Against7
DDL
UEFA Nations League
WDW

Whispers predicts: Gibraltar 0-1 Malta

Malta have been the more convincing side in Group D1, winning twice and drawing once, while Gibraltar have failed to record a victory and have scored just one goal in three matches. Although the hosts will be keen to finish strongly, Malta to win at 3.19 (219/100) offers an attractive price.

The previous four meetings between these nations have all produced fewer than three goals, and Gibraltar's limited attacking output makes another low-scoring encounter likely. Under 2.5 goals at 1.70 (7/10) is therefore our preferred selection.

📈 Gibraltar vs. Malta — Whispers' Tips

> Under 2.5 goals at 1.70 (7/10) | Likelihood: High

> Malta win at 3.19 (11/5) | Likelihood: Medium

> Malta to score at N/A | Likelihood: High

> Correct score: Gibraltar 0-1 Malta at N/A | Likelihood: Low


Joshua Cole is a passionate football writer with a keen eye for the game’s biggest stories and hidden gems. He blends sharp analysis with engaging storytelling, covering players, matches, and trends from across the football world.