The South Madrid derby returns after a nearly five year absence on Sunday. Our Getafe vs Leganes prediction and La Liga betting tips look at which team will claim local pride.
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Getafe vs Leganes prediction: Bore draw at the Coliseum
Key stats
- Our Getafe vs Leganes betting tips take into account that the hosts are the lowest scorers in the division with just two goals so far this term.
- Five of Leganes’ six matches so far have produced under 2.5 goals.
- The visitors have gone four games without scoring.
Correct score prediction: Getafe 0-0 Leganes
Everything points to this being a tight, low-scoring derby with neither side offering much in the way of a goal threat. Both sides have been relatively solid defensively though with Getafe letting in 0.80 goals per game on average, while Leganes have let in 1.17.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Getafe the favourites to record first win
- HOME: 11/10 (2.10) – 47.6%
- DRAW: 19/10 (2.90) – 34.5%
- AWAY: 4/1 (5.00) – 20.0%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The hosts are the favourites according to the Getafe vs Leganes odds with an implied probability of 47.6% that they win this match.
Both sides were in midweek action. Getafe lost 2-1 at Betis, despite a late goal from Mauro Arambarri. Meanwhile, Leganes were beaten 2-0 at home by Athletic Club.
Today’s free football betting tips look at some of the best picks from the upcoming action around the world.
Most recent H2Hs: A low-scoring rivalry
Our Getafe vs Leganes prediction suggests it’ll be tight again, with the six previous top flight meetings in the top flight averaging just 2.00 goals per game. Getafe had the edge with three wins in that period, but the sides haven’t met since early 2020.
Europe Friendlies 19/07/23
Getafe
Leganes
Europe Friendlies 16/07/22
Leganes
Getafe
Spain La Liga 17/01/20
Leganes
Getafe
Spain La Liga 19/10/19
Getafe
Leganes
Spain La Liga 30/03/19
Getafe
Leganes
Getafe preview: Mayoral fit again
Last season’s top scorer Borja Mayoral returned for Getafe in midweek after a six month injury absence, but he may not be ready to start this. Nabil Aberdin is a doubt.
Predicted Lineup: Soria (GK), Rico, Alderete, Djene, Iglesias, Uche, Arambarri, Milla, Sola, Yildirim & Perez
Spain La Liga 28/09/24 W CD Alaves 0 Getafe 2 Spain La Liga 25/09/24 L Barcelona 1 Getafe 0 Spain La Liga 22/09/24 D Leganes 1 Getafe 1 Spain La Liga 18/09/24 L Real Betis 2 Getafe 1 Spain La Liga 14/09/24 L Sevilla 1 Getafe 0
Leganes preview: Changes expected after latest defeat
The visitors could switch back to a back four after losing on Thursday. Borja Jimenez is expected to bring some fresh legs in, but he’s missing Yvan Neyou to injury.
Predicted Lineup: Soriano (GK), Hernandez, Saenz, Sergio, Rosier, Tapia, Cisse, Raba, Oscar, Cruz & Haller
Spain La Liga 28/09/24 D Rayo Vallecano 1 Leganes 1 Spain La Liga 22/09/24 D Getafe 1 Leganes 1 Spain La Liga 19/09/24 L Athletic Bilbao 2 Leganes 0 Spain La Liga 13/09/24 L Real Betis 2 Leganes 0 Europe Friendlies 04/09/24 W Fuenlabrada 0 Leganes 3
Player to watch – Luis Milla
There’s not a lot to get excited about in the final third from either team right now. One player who does have the quality to make a decisive contribution is Luis Milla though, with the Getafe midfielder registering one assist in five matches so far.
Milla making an impact
Getafe’s problems scoring goals are despite some impressive displays from the midfielder who came close to joining Atletico Madrid in the summer. He averages 2.6 key passes per game in La Liga this term.
