Georgia vs Luxembourg prediction, odds & betting tips – 21/03/2024

21/03/24 - 17:00

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Georgia - Luxembourg

Euro 2024 Qualifying - Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena

2nd Round

Georgia and Luxembourg face off at the Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena in the semi-final of the Euro 2024 qualification play-offs on Thursday, March 21^st. Check out our expert betting tips for the clash below.

Georgia vs Luxembourg prediction: Georgia hoping to harness home advantage

Key Stats

• Georgia have lost only one of their last 11 home matches in all competitions
• Luxembourg failed to win four of their last six away tussles.
• Over 2.5 goals landed in five of Georgia’s last home fixtures.
• Kvicha Kvaratskhelia scored five times in his last four international appearances for Georgia.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Georgia favoured by the bookies

• HOME: 4/5 (1.80) – 55.6%
• DRAW: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%
• AWAY: 4/1 (5.00) – 20%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Georgia finished the last international break with a 3-1 defeat in Spain, however, they have been a more reliable force on home soil where they have lost just once in 11 assignments and they have been given a 55.6% chance of winning again in Tbilisi on Thursday.

Our free football tips for this week’s clash also favour the hosts, due to Luxembourg’s habit of coming unstuck on the road. We’ll have more international football market angles to weigh up over on our betting insights page.

Last five H2Hs: First meeting in six years

International Match 05/06/18

Luxembourg

1

Georgia

0

Georgia and Luxembourg have never met in a competitive fixture before, though they have met in friendly encounters before, most recently in 2018 when Luxembourg edged out the Georgians in a 1-0 triumph.

Georgia preview: Kvaratskhelia the star attraction

Davit Khocholava, Giorgi Aburjania and Saba Lobzhanidze are injured and absent from the Georgian squad. Napoli star and Georgian talisman Khvicha Kvaratskhelia is on the roster, however, and could have a big impact.

Predicted lineup: Marmardashvili – Kakabadze, Kvirkvelia, Kashia, Lochoshvili, Azarovi – Chakvetadze, Kvekveskiri, Kochorashvili – Mikautadze, Kvaratskhelia

UEFA Nations League B 19/11/24

L

Czech Republic

2

Georgia

1

UEFA Nations League B 16/11/24

D

Ukraine

1

Georgia

1

UEFA Nations League B 14/10/24

L

Albania

1

Georgia

0

UEFA Nations League B 11/10/24

L

Ukraine

1

Georgia

0

UEFA Nations League B 10/09/24

W

Albania

0

Georgia

1

Luxembourg preview: Vincent Thill missing at the back

Dirk Carlson and Vincent Thill are missing from the Luxembourg squad, though Luc Holtz's selection looks strong elsewhere. Gerson Rodrigues is the top scorer in the Luxembourg roster with 20 goals.

Predicted lineup: Moris – Jans, Korac, Chanot, M. Martins – S. Thill, Barreiro, Olesen, C. Martins – Sinani, Rodrigues

UEFA Nations League C 18/11/24

D

Northern Ireland

2

Luxembourg

2

UEFA Nations League C 15/11/24

L

Bulgaria

1

Luxembourg

0

UEFA Nations League C 15/10/24

D

Belarus

1

Luxembourg

1

UEFA Nations League C 12/10/24

D

Bulgaria

0

Luxembourg

0

UEFA Nations League C 08/09/24

L

Belarus

1

Luxembourg

0

Player to watch – Kvicha Kvaratskhelia

Explosive Napoli winger Kvicha Kvaratskhelia will be the biggest name on the pitch on Thursday in Tbilisi by a distance and the wide attacker has the skills to win the game on his own for Georgia if he gets the right service.

Kvaratskhelia regularly produces the goods for Georgia

23-year-old Kvaratskhelia is the leading scorer in Georgia’s ranks and the Napoli superstar has scored 15 times in 28 appearances for his country. Five of those goals arrived in his last four outings for the Georgians and Kvaratskhelia should carry plenty of threat again on Thursday.