Genoa vs Sampdoria prediction, odds & betting tips – 25/09/2024

Genoa meet local rivals Sampdoria in the Derby della Lanterna at the Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris in the second round of the Coppa Italia on Tuesday, 25 September. Check out our Coppa Italia betting tips for the clash below.

Genoa vs Sampdoria prediction: Hosts to triumph on derby day?

Key Stats

• Serie B outfit Sampdoria are winless on the road so far this season.
• Genoa have lost just twice in six matches in league and cup so far this term.
• Sampdoria conceded two or more goals in each of their last three away assignments.
• Three of the last four meetings between these derby rivals featured at least four cards.

Correct score prediction: Genoa 3-1 Sampdoria

Sampdoria conceded an alarmingly-high seven goals in their last three away games and their leaky defending could be their undoing again in the Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris on Tuesday. La Samp notched six times themselves in the same matches however, so expect goals at both ends here.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Genoa priced as favourites

• HOME: 6/5 (2.20) – 45.5%
• DRAW: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
• AWAY: 7/2 (4.50) – 22.2%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Genoa were beaten by Venezia in their last outing in Serie A, though they have held Inter and Roma to draws in the league this term, which highlights how tricky an opponent they can be.

Alberto Gilardino’s troops should have too much class for local rivals Sampdoria in this week’s Coppa Italia skirmish and they are generously priced at 6/5 to get the job done. You can view more of our latest Italian football tips by clicking the link.

Most recent H2Hs: First meeting for two years

Genoa and Sampdoria are familiar foes and the Derby della Lanterna has a rich history of previous encounters between the clubs, though this week’s tussle will be the rivals’ first meeting since April 2022.

Italy Serie A 30/04/22

Sampdoria

1

Genoa

0

Italy Serie A 10/12/21

Genoa

1

Sampdoria

3

Italy Serie A 03/03/21

Genoa

1

Sampdoria

1

Coppa Italia 26/11/20

Sampdoria

1

Genoa

3

Italy Serie A 01/11/20

Sampdoria

1

Genoa

1

Genoa preview: Trio of confirmed absentees for hosts

Ruslan Malinovskyi, David Ankeye and Brooke Norton-Cuffy are out of action for Genoa through injury while Junior Messias and Fabio Miretti are both rated as two more possible doubts. Head Coach Alberto Gilardino could make changes to the XI that lost to Venezia at the weekend.

Predicted lineup: Gollini (GK), De Winter, Bani, Vasquez, Sabelli, Malinovskyi, Badelj, Frendrup, Martin, Ekuban, Vitinha

Italy Serie A 11/05/25

D

Napoli

2

Genoa

2

Italy Serie A 05/05/25

L

AC Milan

2

Genoa

1

Italy Serie A 27/04/25

L

Como

1

Genoa

0

Italy Serie A 23/04/25

L

Lazio

2

Genoa

0

Italy Serie A 13/04/25

D

Verona

0

Genoa

0

Sampdoria preview: La Samp need to raise their game

Sampdoria managed to collect just five points from their first six matches of the new Serie B campaign, though they did manage to eke out a 1-0 win over Sudtiroal in their last assignment, which would have raised the confidence levels in their ranks.

Predicted lineup: Silvestri (GK), Bereszynski, Romagnoli, Veroli, Venuti, Benedetti, Yepes, Bellemo, Ioannou, Tutino, Coda

Italy Serie B 13/05/25

D

Juve Stabia

0

Sampdoria

0

Italy Serie B 09/05/25

W

Salernitana

0

Sampdoria

1

Italy Serie B 04/05/25

D

Catanzaro

2

Sampdoria

2

Italy Serie B 01/05/25

D

Cremonese

0

Sampdoria

0

Italy Serie B 25/04/25

L

Carrarese

1

Sampdoria

0

Player to watch – Morten Frendrup

Danish midfielder Morten Frendrup has been a whirlwind of energy in central areas for Genoa this season and the 23-year-old’s endeavour out of possession has made him a key player for Il Grifone

Frendrup provides physicality

Frendrup has been averaging 2.80 tackles, 1.20 interceptions and 1.60 fouls per game for Genoa in Serie A this term, so expect the anchorman’s combative qualities to be on show in the Derby della Lanterna against Sampdoria.