Freiburg vs St Pauli prediction, odds & betting tips – 28/09/2024

Freiburg vs St Pauli prediction
Freiburg will expect to pick up three points at home to St. Pauli this weekend. (Photo by Imago)
🔥 Our Hot tip

Freiburg to win

Freiburg have collected nine points from the first 12 on offer in the Bundesliga.

Freiburg welcome St Pauli to the Europa-Park Stadion to contest a German Bundesliga fixture on Saturday, 25 September. Read our German football predictions for the clash below.

Freiburg vs St Pauli prediction: Expect visitors to struggle again

Key Stats

  • Freiburg have collected nine points from the first 12 on offer in the Bundesliga this season.
  • In contrast, St. Pauli have put just one point on board having lost three times in four matches.
  • St. Pauli failed to score in three of their first four Bundesliga fixtures of the campaign.
  • Vincenzo Grifo scored twice in Freiburg’s last fixture over Heidenheim.

Correct score prediction: Freiburg 2-0 St Pauli

Freiburg have started the season in fine form and they should be able to continue their early surge at winless St. Pauli’s expense. The newly-promoted outfit failed to score in three of their first four games and they could draw another blank here.

Pre-game odds and win probability: St Pauli given little chance

  • HOME: 8/13 (1.62) – 61.9%
  • DRAW: 31/10 (4.10) – 24.4%
  • AWAY: 4/1 (5.00) – 20%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Freiburg eased to an impressive 3-0 win over Heidenheim in their last outing and the 8/13 favourites could find the sailing just as smooth against an underwhelming St. Pauli side on Saturday.

St. Pauli have found the going tough since their promotion to the Bundesliga and the 4/1 underdogs could lose for the fourth time in five fixtures this weekend. Read more of our top football predictions and German football tips via the link.

Most recent H2Hs: First meeting two years

Freiburg haven’t played St. Pauli since the teams met in the DFB Pokal in 2022. Freiburg have won each of their last three home meetings with St. Pauli.

Germany DFB Pokal 19/10/22

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

2
St Pauli

St Pauli

1

Europe Friendlies 07/10/21

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

3
St Pauli

St Pauli

0

Germany Bundesliga II 10/04/16

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

4
St Pauli

St Pauli

3

Germany Bundesliga II 25/10/15

St Pauli

St Pauli

1
SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

0

Europe Friendlies 14/07/15

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

0
St Pauli

St Pauli

0

Freiburg preview: Seven out for hosts

Several players are currently sidelined for Freiburg due to injuries: Kiliann Sildillia (muscle injury), Merlin Röhl (ankle injury, Max Rosenfelder (back injury), Maximilian Philipp, Michael Gregoritsch, Daniel-Kofi Kyereh and Manuel Gulde are all expected to miss out on Saturday.

Predicted lineup: Atubolu (GK), Kubler, Ginter, Lienhart, Gunter, Eggestein, Osterhage, Doan, Dinkci, Grifo, Adamu

Germany Bundesliga I 28/09/24

L

St Pauli

St Pauli

3

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

0

Germany Bundesliga I 21/09/24

W

Heidenheim

Heidenheim

0

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

3

Germany Bundesliga I 14/09/24

W

Bochum

Bochum

1

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

2

Europe Friendlies 06/09/24

W

Basel

Basel

0

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

6

Germany Bundesliga I 01/09/24

L

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich

2

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

0

St Pauli preview: Visitors have injury issues

Robert Wagner is doubtful due to a sore throat, though Maurides, Simon Zoller, Sascha Burchert and Sören Ahlers are all confirmed absentees. St. Pauli picked up an unexpected point at home to RB Leipzig in their last assignment (0-0).

Predicted lineup: Vasilj (GK), Wahl, Smith, Mets, Saliakas, Irvine, Boukhalfa, Treu, Afolayan, Saad, Eggestein

Germany Bundesliga I 28/09/24

W

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

0

St Pauli

St Pauli

3

Germany Bundesliga I 22/09/24

D

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

0

St Pauli

St Pauli

0

Germany Bundesliga I 15/09/24

L

Augsburg

Augsburg

3

St Pauli

St Pauli

1

Germany Bundesliga I 30/08/24

L

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

1

St Pauli

St Pauli

0

Germany Bundesliga I 25/08/24

L

Heidenheim

Heidenheim

2

St Pauli

St Pauli

0

Player to watch – Vincenzo Grifo

Italian forward Vincenzo Grifo is a Freiburg cult hero and the 31-year-old has been in impactful early-season form for the Breisgau-Brasilianer.

Freiburg vs St Pauli prediction
Vincenzo Grifo scored twice in Freiburg's last away game at Heidenheim. (Photo by Imago)

Grifo can produce another moment of magic

Grifo scored a brilliant brace for Freiburg in the club’s 3-0 win at Heidenheim last weekend and the Italian has now chipped in with four goal involvements (2G, 2A) in as many appearances in the Bundesliga since the summer. Grifo has scored against St. Pauli before (April 2016) and he could trouble the same team on Saturday.


Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.