St Pauli and Freiburg go head-to-head for three points at the Millerntor-Stadion in the German Bundesliga on Saturday, 15 February. Read our German football predictions for the fixture below.
Contents
- 1 St Pauli vs Freiburg prediction: Goals could be at a premium
- 2 Pre-game odds and win probability: St Pauli favoured in the markets
- 3 Most recent H2Hs: Revenge on the agenda for Freiburg
- 4 St Pauli preview: Three could return
- 5 Freiburg preview: Gregoritsch could be back
- 6 Player to watch – Matthias Ginter
Key Stats
- Seven of St Pauli’s last eight games in the Bundesliga have featured under 2.5 goals.
- Freiburg won each of their last two Bundesliga fixtures 1-0.
- Freiburg scored exactly one goal in four of their last five Bundesliga matches.
- Six players were carded when St Pauli and Freiburg last met in September.
Correct score prediction: St Pauli 0-1 Freiburg
Freiburg secured 1-0 wins over Bochum and Heidenheim in their last two assignments and they could beat another Bundesliga bottom dweller by the same scoreline when they visit St Pauli.
Pre-game odds and win probability: St Pauli favoured in the markets
- HOME: 31/20 (2.55) – 39.2%
- DRAW: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
- AWAY: 19/10 (2.90) – 34.5%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
St Pauli were beaten 2-0 by RB Leipzig in their last Bundesliga test, however, with home advantage to harness, they have been priced as 31/20 favourites to win on Saturday.
Freiburg are chasing a third win on the spin this weekend and they look like the more attractive option at 19/10 to triumph here. Read more of our latest football predictions and German football analysis on our dedicated page.
Most recent H2Hs: Revenge on the agenda for Freiburg
Freiburg lost 3-0 in a dismal showing against St Pauli in September and that was the teams’ first encounter since 2022 and their first league meeting since 2016.
Germany Bundesliga I 28/09/24
SC Freiburg
St Pauli
Germany DFB Pokal 19/10/22
SC Freiburg
St Pauli
Europe Friendlies 07/10/21
SC Freiburg
St Pauli
Germany Bundesliga II 10/04/16
SC Freiburg
St Pauli
Germany Bundesliga II 25/10/15
St Pauli
SC Freiburg
St Pauli preview: Three could return
St Pauli could be without the services of Manolis Saliakas, Sascha Burchert and Soeren Ahlers, though Conor Metcalfe, Karol Mets and Simon Zoller could all return to the fold. St Pauli dropped down to 14th position following last week's loss at RB Leipzig.
Predicted lineup: Vasilj (GK), Wahl, Smith, Nemeth, Van der Heyden, Irvine, Sands, Treu, Guilavogui, Weißhaupt, Eggestein
Germany Bundesliga I 12/04/25
W
Holstein Kiel
1
St Pauli
2
Germany Bundesliga I 06/04/25
D
Borussia M'gladbach
1
St Pauli
1
Germany Bundesliga I 29/03/25
L
Bayern Munich
3
St Pauli
2
Europe Friendlies 19/03/25
D
Hertha Berlin
0
St Pauli
0
Germany Bundesliga I 14/03/25
W
TSG Hoffenheim
0
St Pauli
1
Freiburg preview: Gregoritsch could be back
Florent Muslija, Robert Wagner and Daniel Kofi-Kyereh are all out of action for Freiburg through injury though Manuel Gulde, Max Rosenfelder and Michael Gregoritsch could be fit enough to play a part.
Predicted lineup: Atubolu (GK), Sildillia, Ginter, Lienhart, Gunter, Hofler, Eggestein, Dinkci, Doan, Grifo, Holer
Germany Bundesliga I 12/04/25
W
Borussia M'gladbach
1
SC Freiburg
2
Germany Bundesliga I 05/04/25
L
Borussia Dortmund
4
SC Freiburg
1
Germany Bundesliga I 30/03/25
L
Union Berlin
2
SC Freiburg
1
Europe Friendlies 20/03/25
L
Karlsruher SC
2
SC Freiburg
1
Germany Bundesliga I 15/03/25
D
Mainz
2
SC Freiburg
2
Player to watch – Matthias Ginter
Freiburg secured clean sheets in each of their last two Bundesliga fixtures and stalwart Matthias Ginter played a big part on each occasion.
Ginter is a keystone defender
German international Ginter is an influential presence at centre half for Freiburg and the 31-year-old has been averaging 3.70 clearances per game in the Bundesliga this season. The experienced campaigner’s leadership at the back could drive Freiburg on to more success on Saturday.