Mainz will take on Freiburg in the Bundesliga on Saturday, 15 March in a match between the two biggest overperformers in Germany this season.
Mainz come into the match in third position and with just nine games of the season to go, they have a great chance of finishing inside the top four and qualifying for next season's Champions League.
Freiburg are also in the hunt for those positions. They are currently in fifth place, but a win on Saturday would see them move level on points with Mainz.
As part of this week's round of Bundesliga betting tips, check out our Mainz vs Freiburg prediction below.
Contents
Mainz vs Freiburg prediction: The visitors to walk away with something
Key Stats
- Freiburg are unbeaten in their last three Bundesliga away matches.
- Mainz haven't beaten Freiburg in any of their last seven attempts.
- Under 2.5 goals have been scored in five of Freiburg's last six matches.
Correct score prediction: Mainz 1-1 Freiburg
Both of these teams are in brilliant form coming into this match with Mainz unbeaten in their last five and Freiburg unbeaten in their last six so a draw is very much on the cards. If it does end up this way, then it will be Freiburg's third consecutive draw in the Bundesliga.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Freiburg are the underdogs
- HOME: 19/20 (1.95) – 51.3%
- DRAW: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
- AWAY: 14/5 (3.80) – 26.3%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Mainz comes into this one as the odds-on favourites which is slightly surprising given their recent record against Freiburg. Ladbrokes have given the home team a 51.3% chance of winning the match while Freiburg have been given just a 26.3% chance of coming out on top.
Visit our football predictions page to see more of our latest tips.
Most recent H2Hs: Advantage Freiburg
Freiburg's recent record against Mainz is imperious and too good to ignore when it comes to predicting the outcome of the match. They are unbeaten in their last seven meetings with Mainz but the fact five of those matches finished all square pushes us more towards the spoils being shared on Saturday. Mainz's last triumph over Freiburg was in March 2021.
Germany Bundesliga I 03/11/24
SC Freiburg
Mainz
Germany Bundesliga I 21/04/24
SC Freiburg
Mainz
Germany Bundesliga I 03/12/23
Mainz
SC Freiburg
Germany Bundesliga I 19/03/23
Mainz
SC Freiburg
Germany Bundesliga I 01/10/22
SC Freiburg
Mainz
Mainz preview: Closing in on history
Mainz have never played in the UEFA Champions League before which means this group of players are now just nine matches away from creating history for the club. There are a few obstacles in the way during the run-in but creating a six-point gap between themselves and the team currently in fifth position would be a huge step towards their goals.
Predicted lineup: Zentner (GK), Kohr, Jenz, Costa, Caci, Amiri, Sano, Mwene, Weiper, Nebel, Burkadt
Germany Bundesliga I 07/03/25
W
Borussia M'gladbach
1
Mainz
3
Germany Bundesliga I 01/03/25
W
RB Leipzig
1
Mainz
2
Germany Bundesliga I 22/02/25
W
St Pauli
0
Mainz
2
Germany Bundesliga I 16/02/25
W
Heidenheim
0
Mainz
2
Germany Bundesliga I 08/02/25
D
Augsburg
0
Mainz
0
Freiburg preview: Chasing the same prize
Like their opponents, Freiburg have also never qualified for the Champions League before but they have come close in recent years. In 2021/22 and 2022/23, they missed out on the top four by three points but there is hope that they have learned from the mistakes they made in the run-in in both of those seasons.
Predicted lineup: Atubolu (GK), Sildillia, Lienhart, Ginter, Gunter, Osterhage, Eggestein, Doan, Rohl, Grifo, Holer
Germany Bundesliga I 08/03/25
D
RB Leipzig
0
SC Freiburg
0
Germany Bundesliga I 02/03/25
D
Augsburg
0
SC Freiburg
0
Germany Bundesliga I 21/02/25
W
Werder Bremen
0
SC Freiburg
5
Germany Bundesliga I 15/02/25
W
St Pauli
0
SC Freiburg
1
Germany Bundesliga I 08/02/25
W
Heidenheim
0
SC Freiburg
1
Player to watch: Jonathan Burkardt
Jonathan Burkardt is having the best season of his young career so far with 14 Bundesliga goals in 21 appearances for Mainz. The 24-year-old is a big reason why the club are performing at the levels they are doing and if he can finish the season in the same kind of form then they should finish inside the top four.