Freiburg vs Mainz prediction, odds & betting tips – 21/04/2024

SC Freiburg
21/04/24 - 18:30

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Mainz

SC Freiburg - Mainz

Germany Bundesliga I - Europa-Park-Stadion

Freiburg vs Mainz prediction
Mainz have yet to win a single away game this season – Photo by Icon Sport

Top-six chasers Freiburg welcome relegation candidates Mainz to the Europa-Park Stadion to contest a Bundesliga fixture on Sunday, 21 April. Check out our Bundesliga betting tips for the fixture below.

Freiburg vs Mainz prediction: Hosts to halt Mainz’s revival?

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Freiburg vs Mainz Predictions
Our pick

🔥 Hot Tip

Freiburg to Win

⚽ Correct Score prediction

Freiburg 1-0 Mainz

⚽ Anytime goalscorer prediction

Michael Gregoritsch

Key Stats

  • Mainz haven’t won a single Bundesliga away fixture so far this season.
  • Freiburg managed to win two of their last three assignments in the league.
  • Five of the last six meetings between these clubs produced under 2.5 goals.
  • Michael Gregoritsch scored in two of the last three encounters between Freiburg and Mainz.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Markets favour Freiburg

  • HOME: 31/20 (2.55) – 39.2%
  • DRAW: 12/5 (3.40) – 29.4%
  • AWAY: 8/5 (2.60) – 38.5%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Freiburg dug out a 1-0 win over Darmstadt last weekend to strengthen their late push for a top six finish and the bookies have given them a 39.2% chance of beating another relegation contender when Mainz visit the Europa-Park Stadion on Sunday.

Our free football tips have backed Freiburg to edge their visitors out. Mainz have been doing the business at home of late, though their results on the road remain wretched and alongside failing to win 100% of their away fixtures this term, they have lost four of their last five tests on their travels.

Last five H2Hs: Freiburg have had the upper hand

Germany Bundesliga I 03/12/23

Mainz

Mainz

0
SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

1

Germany Bundesliga I 19/03/23

Mainz

Mainz

1
SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

1

Germany Bundesliga I 01/10/22

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

2
Mainz

Mainz

1

Germany Bundesliga I 12/02/22

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

1
Mainz

Mainz

1

Germany Bundesliga I 18/09/21

Mainz

Mainz

0
SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

0

Freiburg eked out a 1-0 win at Mainz back in December and that was their second win in three editions of this fixture. Freiburg are unbeaten in previous with Mainz overall and haven’t lost against them since March 2021.

Freiburg preview: Sallai suspended in midfield

Philipp Lienhart, Matthias Ginter, Noah Weißhaupt, Kenneth Schmidt and Daniel-Kofi Kyereh are out injured while Roland Sallai is suspended and won't be involved either. Freiburg still have a shot at finishing in the top six this season.

Predicted lineup: Atubolu – Kubler, Keitel, Gulde – Doan, Eggestein, Hofler, Gunter – Rohl, Grifo, Gregoritsch

Germany Bundesliga I 18/05/24

L

Union Berlin

Union Berlin

2

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

1

Germany Bundesliga I 11/05/24

D

Heidenheim

Heidenheim

1

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

1

Germany Bundesliga I 04/05/24

D

Cologne

Cologne

0

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

0

Germany Bundesliga I 27/04/24

L

Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg

2

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

1

Germany Bundesliga I 21/04/24

D

Mainz

Mainz

1

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

1

Mainz preview: Two defenders out of Mainz

Maxim Leitsch and Stefan Bell are both injured at present for Mainz while Nelson Weiper is a slight doubt and could also be absent. Mainz came from a goal down to thump Hoffenheim 4-1 in their last assignment.

Predicted lineup: Zentner – Korh, van den Berg, Hanche-Olsen – Caci, Barreiro, Amiri, Mwene – Gruda, Jae-Sung, Burkardt

Europe Friendlies 12/07/24

W

FC Basara Mainz

FC Basara Mainz

0

Mainz

Mainz

8

Europe Friendlies 06/07/24

W

TSV Langenlonsheim-Laubenheim

TSV Langenlonsheim-Laubenheim

0

Mainz

Mainz

13

Germany Bundesliga I 18/05/24

W

Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg

1

Mainz

Mainz

3

Germany Bundesliga I 11/05/24

W

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

0

Mainz

Mainz

3

Germany Bundesliga I 05/05/24

D

Heidenheim

Heidenheim

1

Mainz

Mainz

1

Freiburg vs Mainz prediction
Ritsu Doan won the game for Freiburg last weekend – Photo by Icon Sport

Player to watch – Ritsu Doan

Fan favourite Ritsu Doan thrilled supporters again last weekend when he notched the only goal in Freiburg’s 1-0 win at Darmstadt, taking his tally for the campaign up to five in the Bundesliga this term.

Doan’s energy could be key again

25-year-old Japanese international Doan has an undrainable battery and his running power could be a major feature of Sunday’s game again. The versatile midfielder has been doing some good work as a right-wing back of late and his powerful surges should be difficult to defend against again.


Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.