France take on Italy at the Parc de Princes in a showpiece Nations League A Group 2 showdown on Friday, 6 September. Read our Nations League predictions for the match below.
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France vs Italy prediction: Les Bleus to prevail?
Key Stats
- France have won each of their last three meetings with Italy.
- Both teams found the net in each of France and Italy’s last three encounters.
- Six of France’s last seven fixtures featured under 2.5 goals.
- Italy failed to score in two of their last three matches.
Correct score prediction: France 1-0 Italy
France’s recent fixtures have been low on action with under 2.5 goals landing in six of their last seven assignments. However, a single goal for Les Bleus could be enough to secure a win over an Italian outfit that scored just once in three games at Euro 2024.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Markets favour hosts
- HOME: 4/6 (1.67) – 60%
- DRAW: 14/5 (3.80) – 26.3%
- AWAY: 4/1 (5.00) – 20%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
France’s loss to Spain in the semi-final of Euro 2024 was their first defeat in nine fixtures, though they look decently priced at 4/6 to bounce back with a win on Friday.
Italy were frustratingly under par when exiting the same tournament winless from the group stage, while their 4/1 price in the match result markets suggests they will be up against it again in Paris. View more of our latest football tips on our dedicated page.
Most recent H2Hs: France have had the edge
France have won each of their last three meetings with Italy, though all three encounters were friendly fixtures. The last time the nations met competitively, the Italians came out on top at Euro 2008 in the competition’s group stage (2-0).
International Match 01/06/18
France
Italy
International Match 01/09/16
Italy
France
France preview: Olise hoping to win his first cap
Benjamin Pavard, Lucas Hernandez, Adrien Rabiot and Kingsley Coman are all missing from France's squad for the upcoming internationals. Loic Bade, Manu Kone and Michael Olise are all in line to be capped for the first time.
Predicted lineup: Maignan (GK), Kounde, Upamecano, Saliba, Hernandez, Kante, Tchouameni, Griezmann, Dembele, Mbappe, Kolo Muani
Euro 2024 09/07/24
L
Spain
2
France
1
Euro 2024 05/07/24
W
Portugal
0 (3)
France
0 (5)
Euro 2024 01/07/24
W
Belgium
0
France
1
Euro 2024 25/06/24
D
Poland
1
France
1
Euro 2024 21/06/24
D
Netherlands
0
France
0
Italy preview: Visitor’s squad is inexpeirenced
Italy's squad contains 11 players who have won five caps or less, though Caleb Okoli and Marco Bescianini are the only uncapped players in Luciano Spalletti's selection. Italy will hope to perform with more energy and aggression than they did at Euro 2024.
Predicted lineup: Donnarumma (GK), Di Lorenzo, Calafiori, Bastoni, Udogie, Ricci, Fagioli, Pellegrini, Zaccagni, Kean, Scamacca
Euro 2024 29/06/24
L
Switzerland
2
Italy
0
Euro 2024 24/06/24
D
Croatia
1
Italy
1
Euro 2024 20/06/24
L
Spain
1
Italy
0
Euro 2024 15/06/24
W
Albania
1
Italy
2
International Match 09/06/24
W
Bosnia-Herzegovina
0
Italy
1
Player to watch – Michael Olise
Michael Olise has enjoyed a monumental few months. The winger left Crystal Palace for Bayern Munich in the summer before becoming a silver medallist at the Olympics in Paris shortly after, and now he is in line to win his first senior cap for France.
Olise realising his potential
Olise probably won’t start for France against Italy this week, though the 22-year-old could see action as a second-half substitute and the creative midfielder has the passing range to find gaps in the Italian defence if the game becomes stretched late on.
