Italy take on France at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in a showpiece Nations League A Group 1 showdown on Sunday, 17 November. Read our Nations League predictions for the clash in Milan below.
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Italy vs France prediction: Expect goals at both ends in Milan
Key Stats
- Four of Italy’s five games in this season’s Nations League have featured goals at both ends.
- Italy have dropped only two of the 15 points on offer in the Nations League this term.
- France have been conceding one goal per game on average in the UNL this season.
- Italy beat France 3-1 in Paris when the nations last met in September.
Correct score prediction: Italy 1-1 France
Both Italy and France are in good form in the Nations League and the group’s big hitters could cancel each other out in Milan. France have been conceding just one goal per game on average in the section, so a low-scoring draw could be the outcome to back here.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Les Bleus are slight favourites
- HOME: 7/4 (2.75) – 36.4%
- DRAW: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.3%
- AWAY: 13/8 (2.63) – 38.1%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Italy claimed three big points with a win at Belgium in midweek (1-0) and they are currently top of the pile in Nations League A Group 1. However, despite their lofty position, they are 7/4 underdogs ahead of Sunday’s showdown.
France dropped two points at home to Israel on Thursday evening, though they created more than enough chances to win on that occasion and they are still favourites to beat Italy at a price of 13/8. View more of our latest football tips for the Nations League on our dedicated page.
Most recent H2Hs: France out for revenge
France were well beaten by Italy (3-1) in Paris in September, however, Les Bleus won three meetings on the spin with the Italians before that.
UEFA Nations League A 06/09/24
France
Italy
International Match 01/06/18
France
Italy
International Match 01/09/16
Italy
France
Italy preview: Hosts could be unchanged
Samuele Ricci and Riccardo Calafiori are both out injured for Italy. The Italians made good use of a 3-5-1-1 formation to beat Belgium in midweek and they could lean on their more defensive tactical traits again when they host France on Sunday.
Predicted lineup: Donnarumma (GK), Di Lorenzo, Buongiorno, Bastoni, Cambiaso, Frattesi, Barella, Tonali, Dimarco, Raspadori, Retegui
UEFA Nations League 23/03/25
D
Germany
3
Italy
3
UEFA Nations League 20/03/25
L
Germany
2
Italy
1
UEFA Nations League A 17/11/24
L
France
3
Italy
1
UEFA Nations League A 14/11/24
W
Belgium
0
Italy
1
UEFA Nations League A 14/10/24
W
Israel
1
Italy
4
France preview: Several big stars missing
Kylian Mbappe, Ousmane Dembélé, Ferland Mendy, Aurelien Tchouameni, Wesley Fofan and Loic Balde are all missing from the French squad and won't be involved on Sunday. Les Blues lacked cutting edge in their draw against Israel in midweek.
Predicted lineup: Maignan (GK), Kounde, Konate, Upamecano, Hernandez, Kante, Camavinga, Olise, Zaire-Emery, Barcola, Kolo Muani
UEFA Nations League 23/03/25
W
Croatia
0
France
2
UEFA Nations League 20/03/25
L
Croatia
2
France
0
UEFA Nations League A 17/11/24
W
Italy
1
France
3
UEFA Nations League A 14/11/24
D
Israel
0
France
0
UEFA Nations League A 14/10/24
W
Belgium
1
France
2
Player to watch – Gianluigi Donnarumma
Gianluigi Donnarumma made three key saves in Italy’s 1-0 win at Belgium in midweek and the Italian number one might need to be at his very best again to thwart a talented French attack in Milan.
Donnarumma is a major presence
PSG goalkeeper Gianluigi Donnarumma has already amassed 70 caps for Italy, making the 25-year-old one of the most experienced players in the Azzurri squad. Donnarumma’s top-level experience should count for plenty again when Italy take on France on Sunday.