Penarol will host Flamengo in the second leg of Copa Libertadores quarter-finals on Thursday, 26 September.
Will Penarol be able to secure their lead from the first leg in Brazil or will Flamengo overturn the deficit? Read our Penarol vs Flamengo prediction if you want to know more about the game, but also check our other Copa Libertadores predictions.
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Penarol vs Flamengo prediction: Another low-scoring duel ahead
Key stats
- Flamengo have gone under 2.5 total goals in three of their last four matches.
- Penarol are on a four-game winning streak.
- Flamengo have just one win in their last five matches in all competitions.
Correct score prediction: Penarol 1-0 Flamengo
Flamengo have been in a shaky form recently and they've struggled with injuries to some of their key players, so Penarol have a great chance to secure another win against them, and we can see them taking that chance for another minimal victory.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Bookies favouring Flamengo
- HOME: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.30%
- DRAW: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.30%
- AWAY: 6/5 (2.20) – 45.50%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
We can see from the Penarol vs Flamengo odds that the guests are the expected winners, but not by a huge margin, which is understandable after the result in the first game in Brazil.
In fact, we were a bit surprised to see Flamengo still favoured to win, given their struggles recently and the great run of form in which Penarol find themselves at the moment.
In any case, if you're looking for more of our best predictions, check out these betting tips for today.
Most recent H2Hs: Penarol dominating the matchup
In addition to the win for Penarol last week, these two teams have met in 2019 in the group stages of Copa Libertadores and we saw one win for Penarol and one draw. Overall, Penarol and Flamengo have met seven times before, with Penarol notching five wins, along with one draw and one win for Flamengo.
Copa Libertadores 19/09/24
Flamengo
Penarol
Copa Libertadores 09/05/19
Penarol
Flamengo
Copa Libertadores 04/04/19
Flamengo
Penarol
Penarol preview: Can they defend the first-leg advantage?
To the surprise of many, Penarol have stunned Flamengo in Brazil with a 1-0 victory and they now sit in the driver's seat as they look to secure their place in the semi-finals of Copa Libertadores. Penarol are in great form at the moment, with four wins in a row in all competitions, so they will enter the rematch at home with a lot of confidence.
Predicted lineup: Aguerre (GK), Milans, Coelho, Mendez, Rodriguez, Olivera, Ramirez, Garcia, Batista, Darias & Silvera
Uruguay Clausura 30/09/24
D
Racing Club de Montevideo
0
Penarol
0
Copa Libertadores 26/09/24
D
Flamengo
0
Penarol
0
Uruguay Clausura 22/09/24
W
Cerro
0
Penarol
5
Copa Libertadores 19/09/24
W
Flamengo
0
Penarol
1
Uruguay Clausura 14/09/24
W
Rampla Juniors
0
Penarol
4
Flamengo preview: Hoping to overturn the tie
The shocking loss in the first leg with Penarol at home puts Flamengo in a tough position heading into the second leg in Uruguay as they need to get a win to have a chance of making the Copa Libertadores semi-finals. Flamengo have struggled with their form lately, only notching one win in their last five games in all competitions.
Another problem for Flamengo and perhaps the main reason for their poor form is a long list of absentees, especially on the offensive end where their top scorer Pedro is out for the season. Also injured at this time are Matias Vina, Everton, Michael, Luiz Araujo, and Gabriel Barbosa.
Predicted lineup: Rossi (GK), Franca, Bruno, Pereira, Lucas, Pulgar, De la Cruz, Gerson, De Arrascaeta, Carlinhos & Henrique
Copa do Brasil 03/10/24
W
Corinthians
0
Flamengo
1
Brazil Serie A 29/09/24
W
Athletico Paranaense
0
Flamengo
1
Copa Libertadores 26/09/24
D
Penarol
0
Flamengo
0
Brazil Serie A 22/09/24
L
Gremio
3
Flamengo
2
Copa Libertadores 19/09/24
L
Penarol
1
Flamengo
0
Player to watch: Maximiliano Silvera
With six goals in Copa Libertadores this season, Silvera has been one of the top scorers in the competition and while he failed to score in the first leg against Flamengo, he did provide the crucial assist for the winning goal.
