Fiorentina and The New Saints will meet at the start of the new Europa Conference League edition, on Thursday, 3 October.
Will the hosts secure a win as expected or can the guests cause a huge upset in this match? Read our Fiorentina vs TNS prediction to find that out but don't for get to also check our other Europa Conference League betting tips.
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Fiorentina vs TNS prediction: An easy win for Viola
Key stats
- TNS have gone over 3.5 total goals in three of their previous five games.
- In their last three games, TNS have averaged 5.00 total goals per game.
- TNS have already lost by four or more goals once this season in Europe, in the Champions League qualifiers against Ferencvaros in Hungary.
Correct score prediction: Fiorentina 4-0 TNS
The Welsh team can be very pleased to make it to the league phase of the Europa Conference League, but they'll likely be cannon fodder for other teams, starting with Fiorentina, who are the two-time finalists of this competition. It is hard to determine how many goals will Viola score, but our vote goes for four goals.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Fiorentina the absolute favourites
- HOME: 1/50 (1.04) – 96.20%
- DRAW: 18/1 (19.00) – 5.30%
- AWAY: 33/1 (34.00) – 2.90%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
It's clear from these Fiorentina vs TNS odds that the hosts are the expected winners. In fact, based on these odds, bookies don't see any other outcome as possible really.
This is understandable since TNS will be the first-ever Welsh team to play in a group stage of any European competition, while Fiorentina are an established team in European football.
In any case, if you like our predictions for this match, make sure to also check out some of our favourite betting tips for today.
Most recent H2Hs: No previous meetings
This will be the first time that Fiorentina and TNS will play each other. In fact, this will be the first time for Fiorentina to meet with a Welsh team and the first time for TNS to play against a team from Italy.
Fiorentina preview: Only one loss since the season started
While Fiorentina's fans can be happy about the fact that their team only lost once this season, they also notched a couple of wins only, one of which was a win over Puskas Academy after a penalty shootout to secure their place in the Europa Conference League group stages. All of their other games have ended in draws, which is why Viola are only in 11th place in Serie A right now.
Marin Pongracic and Rolando Mandragora are injured ahead of this duel, while Luca Ranieri and Pietro Comuzzo are suspended, but Fiorentina will likely rest some of their regular starters as well.
Predicted lineup: Terracciano (GK), Kayode, Quarta, Moreno, Biraghi, Adli, Richardson, Ikone, Beltran, Sottil & Kouame
UEFA Conference League 03/10/24
W
T.N.S.
0
Fiorentina
2
Italy Serie A 29/09/24
D
Empoli
0
Fiorentina
0
Italy Serie A 22/09/24
W
Lazio
1
Fiorentina
2
Italy Serie A 15/09/24
L
Atalanta
3
Fiorentina
2
Italy Serie A 01/09/24
D
Monza
2
Fiorentina
2
TNS preview: Can they avoid a disaster in Italy?
The New Saints have made history books multiple times with long winning streaks in domestic competitions, but they were always far from any success in Europe. This season, however, they managed to secure a place in a group stage of an European competition for the first time in their history and in the history of Wales, after they eliminated FK Panevezys in the final round of the Europa Conference League qualifiers.
Meanwhile, Jordan Williams will have to miss TNS's debut in the Conference League to serve a suspension.
Predicted lineup: Roberts (GK), Daniels, Bodenham, Davies, Redmond, Brobbel, Smith, D. Williams, Holden, Bradley & Oteh
UEFA Conference League 03/10/24
L
Fiorentina
2
T.N.S.
0
Wales Premier League 27/09/24
W
Newtown
1
T.N.S.
6
Wales Premier League 24/09/24
L
Bala Town
3
T.N.S.
2
Wales Premier League 20/09/24
L
Penybont
2
T.N.S.
1
Wales League Cup 17/09/24
W
Airbus UK
0
T.N.S.
1
Player to watch: Riccardo Sottil
While Sottil has only scored one goal this season, it was an important goal in the first duel against Puskas Academy, which ultimately helped Voila reach the league phase. In any case, Sottil has the quality to do well, especially against a team like TNS, so he's our player to watch here.