Fiorentina vs Pafos FC prediction, odds & betting tips – 28/11/2024

Fiorentina will host Pafos in the fourth round of the Europa Conference League on Thursday, 28 November.

Will Viola take advantage of playing at home to notch another win or will Pafos surprise them to keep their winning streak alive? Read our Fiorentina vs Pafos FC prediction to find that out.

Fiorentina vs Pafos FC prediction: A close contest in Italy

Key Stats

• Just like Fiorentina, Pafos have gone over 2.5 total goals in six of their last nine matches across the board.
• Fiorentina have averaged 3.67 total goals per game in the Conference League so far.
• Pafos enter this game on a five-game winning streak, including a win over APOEL over the weekend in the Cyprian league, a team that Fiorentina lost to in the Conference League.

Correct score prediction: Fiorentina 2-2 Pafos FC

While Fiorentina have been in fantastic form recently, winning nine of their last 10 games, Pafos have also done very well lately, winning five in a row. With this in mind, we expect to see an exciting game and we wouldn't be surprised if Pafos are able to avoid a loss in Italy.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Fiorentina the clear favourites

• HOME: 4/11 – 73.30%
• DRAW: 4/1 – 20.00%
• AWAY: 7/2 – 13.30%

*Odds from 7Bet, subject to change

It's clear from these Fiorentina vs Pafos FC odds that the hosts are the expected winners by a big margin, which is not really a surprise if we look at Fiorentina's form this season.

On top of that, Fiorentina are the better team on paper and will have the advantage of playing at home. That being said, Pafos FC have also been amazing this season in all competitions and we feel they have been underestimated a bit by the bookies, based on the odds.

Anyhow, if you liked our tips for this game, don't forget to also take a look at our other betting tips for today.

Most recent H2Hs: First time to meet each other

These two teams have never met before and Fiorentina have only played against Cyprian teams once before, which was actually earlier this month in the Conference League, when Viola lost to APOEL 2-1.

On the other hand, Pafos FC have met four times with Italian teams and have lost all four of those games.

Fiorentina preview: Can they keep their great form running?

With nine wins in their last 10 games in all competitions, Fiorentina have been quite impressive lately. Thanks to this great run and seven wins in a row in Serie A, Fiorentina are now just one point behind currently league leaders Napoli. With a couple of wins in the Conference League, Viola are on a good way to securing the knockout stages of the competition in which they've played two finals in a row, losing both.

When it comes to team news, Fiorentina's captain Cristiano Biraghi and Amir Richardson are out with injuries, while Albert Gudmundsson is questionable.

Predicted lineup: Terracciano (GK), Kayode, Moreno, Martinez Quarta, Parisi, Adli, Mandragora, Ikone, Bove, Sottil & Kouame

Italy Serie A 12/05/25

L

Venezia

2

Fiorentina

1

UEFA Conference League 08/05/25

D

Real Betis

2

Fiorentina

2

Italy Serie A 04/05/25

L

Roma

1

Fiorentina

0

UEFA Conference League 01/05/25

L

Real Betis

2

Fiorentina

1

Italy Serie A 27/04/25

W

Empoli

1

Fiorentina

2

Pafos FC preview: Hoping to extend their winning streak

The team that's only a decade old has been making headlines in Cyprus lately since they are currently undefeated in their domestic league, sitting atop of the standings with 10 wins in 11 matches, including a win over the reigning champions and the most-decorated team in the country, APOEL. On top of that, Pafos have also won two of their three Conference League matches, confirming their great form this season.

Predicted lineup: Ivusic (GK), Bruno, Luckassen, Goldar, J. Silva, Tankovic, Sunjic, Dragomir, Correia, Jairo & Jaja

Cyprus Division 1 12/05/25

D

Apoel Nicosia

1

Pafos FC

1

Cyprus Cup 07/05/25

W

Apollon Limassol

0

Pafos FC

2

Cyprus Division 1 04/05/25

W

Aris Limassol

0

Pafos FC

4

Cyprus Cup 30/04/25

W

Apollon Limassol

2

Pafos FC

4

Cyprus Division 1 26/04/25

L

Omonia Nicosia

3

Pafos FC

0

Player to watch: Jonathan Ikone

The French forward has been in great form in the Conference League, scoring three goals to help Fiorentina get six points from three games. Given that he's failed to yet score in the Serie A, where he usually comes in off the bench, he'll look to prove himself again in the game against Pafos FC.