Basel vs Fiorentina Prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 18/05/2023

Basel
18/05/23 - 20:00

Finished

1

-

3

Fiorentina

Basel - Fiorentina

UEFA Conference League - St. Jakob-Park

2nd Round

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change

Basel and Fiorentina collide at the St. Jakob-Park in the Europa Conference League on Thursday, May 18th. Basel hold a 2-1 lead from the first-leg ahead of the second part of the sides’ semi-final double-header. Read our Europa Conference League predictions and betting tips along with the latest odds for the fixture below in our detailed match preview.

Today's Predictions for Basel vs Fiorentina

Basel hold all the aces ahead of their Conference League semi-final clash with Fiorentina in Switzerland on Thursday. Read our top Basel vs Fiorentina predictions for this week’s fixture below and when you’re finished here, head over to our football betting tips page for more expert picks.

Basel Double Chance

Basel fought back brilliantly from a goal down to win 2-1 in Florence last week in their Conference League semi-final firs-leg meeting with Fiorentina, but despite their heroics, the bookies have sided against them in the markets for Thursday’s return fixture. Indeed, Basel are close to evens in the double chance realm and having lost just one at home in the competition this term, they look like excellent value. La Viola need to push forward in search of parity this week and Basel could take the chance to counter-attack their way to glory. Back the hosts to avoid defeat here.

Both Teams to Score

Basel and Fiorentina traded blows and swapped goals in Italy last week and we’re tipping both teams to score to land again in the teams’ second-leg on Thursday in Switzerland. Basel have been reliable performers in that market right throughout their Conference League campaign and both teams managed to register in 70% of their last ten matches in the tournament. BTTS also landed in each of La Viola’s last four tests on the UECL and our second Basel vs Fiorentina prediction anticipates more of the same.

Top Betting Odds and Stats for Basel vs Fiorentina

Check out our selection of key stats for Thursday’s contest featuring Basel – Fiorentina below alongside a tool to help you choose the best odds.

Head to Head

11/05/23

UEFA Conference League CON

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

Basel

Basel

1

2

26/11/15

UEFA Europa League UEL

Basel

Basel

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

2

2

17/09/15

UEFA Europa League UEL

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

Basel

Basel

1

2

Last Five - Basel

12/04/25

Switzerland Super League SSL

FC Zurich

FC Zurich

Basel

Basel

0

4

W

06/04/25

Switzerland Super League SSL

Lugano

Lugano

Basel

Basel

0

2

W

03/04/25

Switzerland Super League SSL

Grasshoppers

Grasshoppers

Basel

Basel

1

2

W

30/03/25

Switzerland Super League SSL

Winterthur

Winterthur

Basel

Basel

0

2

W

16/03/25

Switzerland Super League SSL

Young Boys

Young Boys

Basel

Basel

2

1

L

Last Five - Fiorentina

13/04/25

Italy Serie A Serie A

Parma

Parma

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

0

0

D

10/04/25

UEFA Conference League CON

NK Celje

NK Celje

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

1

2

W

05/04/25

Italy Serie A Serie A

AC Milan

AC Milan

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

2

2

D

30/03/25

Italy Serie A Serie A

Atalanta

Atalanta

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

0

1

W

16/03/25

Italy Serie A Serie A

Juventus

Juventus

Fiorentina

Fiorentina

0

3

W

Let's take a closer look at the latest markets, Basel vs Fiorentina odds and probability figures ahead of Thursday’s clash below.

Basel odds: 16/5 (4.20) – 23.8%

Draw odds: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%

Fiorentina odds: 149/100 (2.49) – 40.2%

Visitors Fiorentina have been priced as the bookmakers’ expected winners this week, with the implied probability of an away win coming in at 40.2%. Elsewhere, odds of 8/13 (1.62) are on the books for over 2.5 goals on Thursday and that eventuality has an implied probability of 61.9%. Over 2.5 goals has landed in each of Basel’s last five Conference League fixtures.

Basel vs Fiorentina Team News & Injuries

Read all of the latest injury updates, Basel vs Fiorentina lineups and team news for Thursday’s Europa Conference League battle below.

Basel

Riccardo Calafiori is listed as a doubt for Basel, though the defender could shake off a muscle complaint in time to feature on Thursday. Wouter Burge, Kakim Adams Nuhi and Taulant Xhaka are all suspended domestically, though they are free to play in the Conference League.

Predicted Lineup for Basel: Hitz – Lang, Adams, Pelmard – Ndoye, Diouf, Xhaka, Burger, Calafiori – Augustin, Amdouni

Fiorentina

Salvatore Sirigu is Fiorentina's only injury concern and apart from their injured keeper, La Viola's squad looks strong ahead of Thursday's game. Fiorentina beat Udinese 2-0 at the weekend while resting several of their star players.

Predicted Lineup for Fiorentina: Terracciano – Dodo, Martinez, Ranieri, Biraghi – Bonaventura, Amrabat, Mandragora – Ikone, Gonzalez, Cabral

Player to Watch – Zeki Amdouni

22-year-old attacker Zeki Amdouni netted the game’s winning goal in Basel’s 2-1 semi-final first-leg win at Fiorentina last week and the young Swiss forward could be one to watch closely when the teams meet again on Thursday. Amdouni has already scored six times in the Conference League overall this term.

Starting Lineups

Official lineups are usually released approximately one hour before kick-off.

Basel

Basel
3-4-3
1
Marwin Hitz
ch
5
Michael Lang
ch
15
Kasim Adams
gh
21
Andy Pelmard
fr
27
Dan Ndoye
ch
34
Taulant Xhaka
al
23
Wouter Burger
nl
33
Riccardo Calafiori
it
10
Jean-Kevin Augustin
fr
9
Zeki Amdouni
ch
8
Andy Diouf
fr
Substitutes
17
Andi Zeqiri
ch
16
Nils De Mol
ch
7
Liam Millar
ca
19
Darian Males
ch
20
Fabian Frei
ch
28
Hugo Vogel
fr
14
Bradley Fink
ch
18
Emmanuel Essiam
gh
13
Mirko Salvi
ch
30
Anton Kade
de
90
Hugo Novoa
es

Fiorentina

Fiorentina
4-3-3
1
Pietro Terracciano
it
2
Dodo
br
4
Nikola Milenkovic
rs
98
Igor
br
3
Cristiano Biraghi
it
5
Giacomo Bonaventura
it
34
Sofyan Amrabat
ma
17
Gaetano Castrovilli
it
10
Nico Gonzalez
ar
9
Arthur Cabral
br
77
Josip Brekalo
hr
Substitutes
8
Riccardo Saponara
it
32
Alfred Duncan
gh
8
Luka Jovic
rs
72
Antonin Barak
cz
99
Christian Kouame
ci
11
Jonathan Ikone
fr
23
Lorenzo Venuti
it
31
Michele Cerofolini
it
16
Luca Ranieri
it
38
Rolando Mandragora
it
28
Lucas Martinez Quarta
ar
7
Riccardo Sottil
it

Basel vs Fiorentina Coverage and Frequently Asked Questions

Basel vs Fiorentina prediction

Where will Thursday’s game be played?

St. Jakob-Park will host Basel’s clash with Fiorentina this week.

What time does this fixture kick off?

The game is scheduled to start at 20:00 BST.

Is this fixture being shown live on TV?

Basel’s encounter with Fiorentina will be shown live on BT Sport 4. Make sure to check out our expert Basel vs Fiorentina prediction near the top of this preview.