Finland vs Belarus prediction, preview & betting tips – 29/09/2026
Photo by LaPresse / Icon Sport
🔥 Our Hot tip

Belarus or draw

Finland have won just one of their last four matches.

Finland will take on Belarus in the UEFA Nations League on Tuesday, 29 September, with both teams looking to pick up crucial points in the battle for promotion from Group C1.

While promotion is the ultimate aim for both nations, a strong performance in the competition could also earn them a place in the Euro 2028 playoffs.

Read our prediction, preview and betting tips for the game below, and make sure to check out our today's betting tips page for more of our expert predictions.

Finland vs Belarus key stats

  • Finland have won just two matches in 2026.
  • Belarus have lost just one of their last seven matches in all competitions.
  • Fewer than three goals have been scored in each of the last four meetings between Finland and Belarus.

Finland vs Belarus preview: Visitors to come away with something

Finland vs Belarus — Tale of the Tape

Finland vs Belarus
1stPosition3rd
3Points0
7Goals For0
0Goals Against2
1Clean Sheets0
N/AHome / Away RankN/A

Finland enjoyed a brilliant start to this season's UEFA Nations League with an emphatic 7-0 win over San Marino on Saturday.

While the Finns were always expected to beat San Marino, the manner of the victory should have breathed plenty of confidence into the squad ahead of Tuesday night as they look to make it two wins from two games.

The win mattered beyond the context of the Nations League, too. Before Saturday, Jacob Friis' side had won just one match this year, and pressure was beginning to mount on the former Viborg boss.

Friis is expected to select the same XI that started the win over San Marino, with no fresh injuries or suspensions. Their two biggest absentees are Naatan Skytta and Niklas Pyyhtia.

As for Belarus, their Nations League campaign began with a disappointing but expected 2-0 defeat at the hands of Albania.

Given that Albania are the favourites to win Group C1, the result won't have stung too hard, but they must now respond against Finland, a nation they haven't faced in eight years.

Belarus have never qualified for a major international tournament before, and realistically, a strong performance in this group provides them with a likelier route to a Euro 2028 playoff than the main qualifying group will.

Manager Viktor Goncharenko has been in charge since the beginning of the year and has enjoyed a solid tenure thus far, with a W3, D1, L1 record. On Tuesday, he has no fresh injury concerns and may go in unchanged.

Finland vs Belarus form guide & betting tips

Finland vs Belarus — Last 5 Form Guide
Finland vs Belarus
WLLLW
Form
WWWDL
11Goals For9
7Goals Against6
W
Nations League
L

Whispers predicts: Finland 1-1 Belarus

Belarus have lost just one match since last October's international break. Belarus or draw has been best priced at 5/4.

Historically, matches between these two nations have consistently been low-scoring affairs. Under 2.5 goals has been priced at 1/2.

Joel Pohjanpalo scored a hat-trick against San Marino at the weekend. Pohjanpalo to score anytime has been priced at 6/4.

📈 Finland vs Belarus — Whispers' Tips

> Belarus or draw at 5/4 (2.25) | Likelihood: Possible

> Under 2.5 goals at 1/2 (1.50) | Likelihood: Probable

> Joel Pohjanpalo to score anytime at 6/4 (2.50) | Likelihood: Possible


Andy is a freelance Sports Journalist with ten years of experience covering football in the United Kingdom and abroad for various publications including the Manchester Evening News, UtdReport and Football Whispers. Andy also has a keen interest in basketball, cricket, golf and tennis and has covered major sporting events such as the Masters in Augusta.