Fenerbahce welcome Galatasaray to the Chobani Stadium Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu on Monday for the Turkish Super Lig’s fiercest rivalry.
A great deal is at stake, with the Yellow Canaries sitting just one point behind the visitors in the standings. Victory here would see them end the matchweek at the summit.
After reading our Fenerbahce vs Galatasaray prediction, you can also check out other football predictions for today.
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Fenerbahce vs Galatasaray prediction: Both sides difficult to separate
Key Statistics
- Galatasaray are unbeaten in their last three meetings with Fenerbahce in all competitions (W2, D1).
- Galatasaray have avoided defeat on their last three league visits to Fenerbahce’s ground (W2, D1).
- Fenerbahce have not scored more than one goal in any of the last eight meetings between the sides.
- Fenerbahce are unbeaten in their last 11 matches in all competitions (W8, D3).
- Fenerbahce are the only unbeaten side in the Super Lig this season (W9, D4).
Correct score prediction: Fenerbahce 1–1 Galatasaray
The Yellow Canaries come into this derby in strong form, yet form often means little in this rivalry, which is heavily influenced by psychology, an area in which Fenerbahce have struggled over the past decade.
Galatasaray typically rise to the occasion in these major domestic fixtures regardless of their momentum, although we believe Fenerbahce should do enough to avoid defeat this time.
Pre-game odds and implied probabilities: Hosts hold a slight edge
- Fenerbahce: 6/5 (2.20) – 45.5%
- Draw: 27/10 (3.70) – 27.0%
- Galatasaray: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.3%
*Odds via Ladbrokes, subject to change*
These probabilities highlight how tight the derby is expected to be, with Fenerbahce marginal favourites. The narrow margins suggest volatility and leave all three outcomes firmly in play.
However, our hot tip of over 4.5 cards is well-priced at 4.5 odds, making it great value.
Most recent head-to-head: Galatasaray stronger in recent years
These sides have faced each other 281 times in competitive matches. Fenerbahce lead historically with 101 wins to Galatasaray’s 88.
However, Galatasaray have had the better of recent meetings, winning three of the last six encounters, while Fenerbahce have managed just one victory in that period.
Tu00fcrkiye Cup 02/04/25
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Tu00fcrkiye Super Lig 24/02/25
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Tu00fcrkiye Super Lig 21/09/24
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Tu00fcrkiye Super Lig 19/05/24
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Turkey Super Cup 07/04/24
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Fenerbahce preview: Yellow Canaries in red-hot form
Fenerbahce’s 1-1 draw against Ferencvaros in Thursday’s Europa League clash extended their unbeaten run to 11 matches in all competitions.
During this spell, they have played seven league matches, winning six and drawing one. Domenico Tedesco’s side remain the only unbeaten team in the Super Lig after 13 matches (W9, D4), and they carry significant confidence into this showdown with their fiercest rivals.
Fenerbahce have not lifted a league title in over a decade, and a win here could be pivotal, not only for the table but also for belief.
Almost the entire squad is available, with Caglar Soyuncu the only confirmed absentee due to a knee injury. Yigit Efe Demir is doubtful after being forced off in Thursday’s match.
Predicted line-up: Ederson, Semedo, Skriniar, Oosterwolde, Brown, Fred, Asensio, Nene, Talisca, Akturkoglu, En-Nesyri.
Fenerbahce’s last five results
- 27.11.25 – Fenerbahce 1–1 Ferencvaros
- 23.11.25 – Rizespor 2-5 Fenerbahce
- 09.11.25 – Fenerbahce 4-2 Kayserispor
- 06.11.25 – Plzen 0-0 Fenerbahce
- 02.11.25 – Besiktas 2-3 Fenerbahce
Galatasaray preview: Cracks beginning to appear in Cimbom’s armour
Galatasaray began the season superbly, winning nine and drawing one of their first 10 league matches. Their only defeat across all competitions during that period came against Eintracht Frankfurt in the Champions League.
However, their level has dipped in recent weeks. They first saw their unbeaten league start ended by Kocaelispor, and despite responding with a hard-fought 3-2 win over Genclerbirligi, they fell 1-0 to Union SG at Rams Park in the Champions League on Tuesday.
Two defeats in their last three matches show clear issues emerging, largely due to a growing injury and suspension list.
Cimbom are currently without nine players, a number that could rise to 10 depending on Ismail Jakobs’ recovery after he picked up a knock against Union SG.
Their most significant absentee is Victor Osimhen, sidelined with a hamstring injury, while Yunus Akgun, Berkan Kutlu, Kaan Ayhan, Wilfried Singo and Mario Lemina also remain out.
Eren Elmali and Metehan Baltaci are suspended after being found guilty of betting violations in Turkish football, while Roland Sallai is suspended following a red card in their last league outing.
Predicted line-up: Cakir, Unyay, Bardakci, Sanchez, Karatas, Torreira, Gundogan, Sane, Sara, Yilmaz, Icardi.
Galatasaray’s last five results
- 25.11.25 – Galatasaray 0-1 Royale Union SG
- 22.11.25 – Galatasaray 3-2 Genclerbirligi
- 09.11.25 – Kocaelispor 1-0 Galatasaray
- 05.11.25 – Ajax 0-3 Galatasaray
- 01.11.25 – Galatasaray 0-0 Trabzonspor
Player to Watch: Marco Asensio
Asensio’s role under Tedesco changes depending on the tactical setup, yet his impact remains consistent. The former Real Madrid attacker has scored six league goals, just one fewer than top scorer Youssef En-Nesyri.
Whether through creativity or finishing, Asensio is expected to be a decisive figure in this high-stakes derby.