Volendam vs Ajax prediction, odds & betting tips – 05/05/2024

05/05/24 - 13:30

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FC Volendam - Ajax

Netherlands Eredivisie - Kras Stadion

Volendam will play host to Ajax in the upcoming Eredivisie round on Sunday, 5 May.

Will Volendam get the three points to keep hope of survival alive or will Ajax get a win they need in the race for the Europa League? Make sure to read our Volendam vs Ajax prediction to find out.

Volendam vs Ajax prediction: Ajax to get the three points

Key Stats

• Ajax have won three of the previous five duels with Volendam, twice by two goals or more.
• Volendam have lost 10 of their 15 games at home this season in the Eredivisie.
• Both teams have scored in four of the previous five H2H duels between these two teams.
• We saw both teams score in 12 of 15 games that Ajax played away from home in the league so far.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Ajax favoured by the bookies 

• HOME: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.40%
• DRAW: 17/4 (5.25) – 19.00%
• AWAY: 1/3 (1.33) – 75.00%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

We can see from these Volendam vs Ajax odds that the guests are the expected winners, which makes sense looking at the standings where Ajax are 30 points ahead of Volendam.

That being said, Ajax have struggled a lot this season and they enter this game with just one win in their last four league matches. However, Volendam are close to being relegated, so Ajax are still the favourites with a good reason.

In any case, if you enjoyed our tips for this duel, check out our latest betting tips for today as well.

Last five H2Hs: No wins for Sparta Rotterdam

Netherlands Eredivisie 02/11/23

Ajax

2

FC Volendam

0

Netherlands Eredivisie 27/09/23

Ajax

0

FC Volendam

0

Netherlands Eredivisie 26/01/23

Ajax

1

FC Volendam

1

Others 07/12/22

Ajax

5

FC Volendam

4

Netherlands Eredivisie 08/10/22

FC Volendam

2

Ajax

4

With four wins in their last five duels with Sparta, along with one draw, PSV have clearly been the dominant team in this matchup recently. The situation is the same when it comes to their overall H2H record too: 73-29-22 in favour of PSV Eindhoven.

Volendam preview: Little hope left of survival

At the moment, Volendam sit in the second-last place in the standings, with 19 points from 31 matches. They are six points behind RKC Waalwijk, who are currently in the spot that leads to relegation playoffs, and seven points behind the safe zone. With three games left in the season, Volendam need a miracle to stay up, but mathematically, they aren't relegated yet.

When it comes to team news, Diego Gustavo, Xavier Mbuyamba, and Joey Antonioli are out with injuries right now.

Predicted Lineup: Backhaus – Payne, Mirani, Flint, Cox – Twigt – Booth, Roux, Driel, Johnson – Hoeve

Netherlands Eerste Divisie 07/02/25

L

ADO Den Haag

2

FC Volendam

1

Netherlands Eerste Divisie 31/01/25

L

FC Den Bosch

3

FC Volendam

0

Netherlands Eerste Divisie 24/01/25

W

Maastricht

1

FC Volendam

3

Netherlands Eerste Divisie 17/01/25

W

Vitesse

0

FC Volendam

4

Netherlands Eerste Divisie 10/01/25

W

FC Eindhoven

1

FC Volendam

3

Ajax preview: Fighting for a spot in the Europa League

After their draw with Excelsior at home in the last round, Ajax's position in the standings is now in danger. Right now, they are fifth, which would take them into the Europa League next season. However, they are only two points ahead of NEC Nijmegen, so the team from Amsterdam will have to do well in the remaining three games to secure their place in Europe.

Meanwhile, Steven Bergwijn and Benjamin Tahirovic are suspended ahead of this match, while Brian Brobbey, Kristian Hlynsson, Diant Ramaj, and Olivier Aertssen are out with injuries. On top of that, Steven Berghuis and Gaston Avila are also doubtful.

Predicted Lineup – Rulli – Rensch, Sutalo, Kaplan, Hato – Van den Boomen, Mannsverk, Taylor – Godts, Akpom – Rijkhoff

Netherlands Eredivisie 09/02/25

W

Fortuna Sittard

0

Ajax

2

Netherlands Eredivisie 02/02/25

W

Feyenoord

1

Ajax

2

UEFA Europa League 30/01/25

W

Galatasaray

1

Ajax

2

UEFA Europa League 23/01/25

L

Rigas FS

1

Ajax

0

Netherlands Eredivisie 19/01/25

W

Heerenveen

0

Ajax

2

Player to watch: Chuba Akpom

While the experienced English forward only started in five games this season, he did appear in 22 games overall in the Eredivisie and he managed to score 10 goals. Only Brian Brobbey has scored more goals for Ajax this season and he's out for this match, so Akpom will have to take on more responsibility.

Akpom to score in the second half?

Nine of the 10 goals that Akpom scored in the league this season have come in the second halves of matches, which makes sense given that he was mostly used as a super-sub. With him likely starting against Volendam, will he again score in the second half?