PSV Eindhoven vs Excelsior Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips 13/01/2024

PSV
13/01/24 - 20:00

Finished

3

-

1

Excelsior

PSV - Excelsior

Netherlands Eredivisie - Philips Stadion

On paper, this is the most one-sided game of the weekend. PSV Eindhoven are laying host to Excelsior having not lost a home game all season, while the visitors have tasted victory just twice on their travels in the Eredivisie.

PSV Eindhoven vs Excelsior prediction – Betting tips & odds

Hot tip – Over 2.5 goals

  • Just one PSV league game this season has involved under 2.5 goals
  • Just four of the 16 meetings between these two have produced below 2.5 goals

PSV Eindhoven have won every single league game this season which is incredibly ominous for the rest of the league. The league leaders have also scored at least two goals in every match in the Eredivisie, so over 2.5 goals looks very likely.

Latest odds

Head to Head

08/04/23

Netherlands Eredivisie Netherlands

PSV

PSV

Excelsior

Excelsior

4

0

28/08/22

Netherlands Eredivisie Netherlands

Excelsior

Excelsior

PSV

PSV

1

6

02/03/19

Netherlands Eredivisie Netherlands

Excelsior

Excelsior

PSV

PSV

0

2

07/12/18

Netherlands Eredivisie Netherlands

PSV

PSV

Excelsior

Excelsior

6

0

07/02/18

Netherlands Eredivisie Netherlands

PSV

PSV

Excelsior

Excelsior

1

0

Last Five - PSV

24/02/24

Netherlands Eredivisie Netherlands

PEC Zwolle

PEC Zwolle

PSV

PSV

1

7

W

20/02/24

UEFA Champions League UCL

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

PSV

PSV

1

1

D

16/02/24

Netherlands Eredivisie Netherlands

Heracles

Heracles

PSV

PSV

0

2

W

11/02/24

Netherlands Eredivisie Netherlands

FC Volendam

FC Volendam

PSV

PSV

1

5

W

03/02/24

Netherlands Eredivisie Netherlands

Ajax

Ajax

PSV

PSV

1

1

D

Last Five - Excelsior

25/02/24

Netherlands Eredivisie Netherlands

Vitesse

Vitesse

Excelsior

Excelsior

2

1

L

17/02/24

Netherlands Eredivisie Netherlands

Sparta Rotterdam

Sparta Rotterdam

Excelsior

Excelsior

4

2

L

10/02/24

Netherlands Eredivisie Netherlands

FC Twente

FC Twente

Excelsior

Excelsior

3

0

L

02/02/24

Netherlands Eredivisie Netherlands

Almere City FC

Almere City FC

Excelsior

Excelsior

2

1

L

27/01/24

Netherlands Eredivisie Netherlands

FC Utrecht

FC Utrecht

Excelsior

Excelsior

1

1

D


Win probability

Home: 1/20 (1.05) – 95.2%

Draw: 23/2 (12.5) – 8%

Away: 28/1 (29.0) – 3.4%

Betting on the straight outcome of this game appears pretty pointless given the odds. So, backing PSV to win with over 4.5 goals in the match is more interesting and offers better odds of 11/10 (2.1) and has a jaw-dropping 47.6% chance of landing.

Elsewhere, you could perhaps think Excelsior may cause a brief upset. In that case, you can find PSV to win from behind at 7/1 (8.0) although it only yields a 12.5% chance of coming in, which is no surprise given they've conceded just six all season and three of them came against Ajax and Feyenoord respectively.

PSV Eindhoven vs Excelsior prediction – Other tips

PSV Eindhoven 4-0 Excelsior

  • PSV have won by this scoreline on six occasions in the league this season
  • Excelsior have shipped four goals on three separate occasions

PSV to score the first goal between 1-10 minutes

  • After a winter break to refresh, PSV will be ready to get going and put on a show in front of their fans
  • Excelsior will immediately be sat back holding out for a 0-0 inviting pressure onto themselves

PSV Eindhoven vs Excelsior team news

PSV Eindhoven

PSV are expected to walk all over Excelsior at home this weekend and they should have way too much for the visitors, especially given Ismael Saibari is the only AFCON-related absence for PSV this month, as he aims to negotiate a group that Morocco are widely expected to win.

Predicted lineup: Benitez – Dest, Boscagli, Schouten, Teze – Veerman, Saibari – Lozano, Til, Bakayoko – De Jong

Excelsior

Excelsior have only won three league games this season with the last one coming against Sparta Rotterdam back in October. Since then, they have shipped four goals in three separate games and not tasted victory, so this is not the game they needed after the winter break.

Predicted lineup: Van Gassel – Smeulers, Widell, Nieuwpoort, Horemans – El Yaakoubi, Naujoks, Baas – Driouech, Parrott, Lamprou

Confirmed lineups will appear here around 60 minutes before kickoff.

PSV

PSV
4-3-3
18
Olivier Boscagli
fr
3
Jordan Teze
nl
10
Malik Tillman
us
20
Guus Til
nl
11
Johan Bakayoko
be
1
Walter Benitez
ar
5
Ramalho
br
22
Jerdy Schouten
nl
23
Joey Veerman
nl
9
Luuk De Jong
nl
8
Sergino Dest
us
Substitutes
32
Yorbe Vertessen
be
2
Shurandy Sambo
nl
24
Boy Waterman
nl
14
Ricardo Pepi
us
26
Isaac Babadi
nl
31
Tygo Land
nl
17
Mauro Junior
br
7
Noa Lang
nl
4
Armando Obispo
cw
16
Joel Drommel
nl
30
Patrick Van Aanholt
nl

Excelsior

Excelsior
4-3-3
7
Lazaros Lamprou
gr
16
Sven Nieuwpoort
nl
33
Julian Baas
nl
15
Noah Naujoks
nl
1
Stijn Van Gassel
nl
10
Kenzo Goudmijn
nl
2
Siebe Horemans
be
9
Troy Parrott
ie
12
Arthur Zagre
fr
4
Redouan El Yaakoubi
nl
14
Couhaib Driouech
nl
Substitutes
22
Mimeirhel Benita
nl
19
Nikolas Agrafiotis
nl
30
Derensili Sanches Fernandes
nl
18
Norbert Alblas
nl
28
Ian Smeulers
nl
11
Oscar Uddenas
se
32
Siem De Moes
nl
35
Cedric Hatenboer
an

Player to watch – Johan Bakayoko

The young Belgian is wanted by some of Europe's top clubs and it's no surprise given the season he is having in the Eredivisie.

Bakayoko has 10-goal involvements to his name across his last 10 league games which included a goal and an assist against rivals FC Twente, so he will be one of many dangermen Excelsior have to look out for.

Remember to check out more of the free betting tips we offer.


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Aaron Hindhaugh

Aaron is a multi-skilled sports content writer and media professional. He is a specialist in both Men's and Women's football, along with golf.