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Excelsior - AZ
Netherlands Cup - Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
8th Round
Prediction 1
Half time AZ
7/8 (1.88)
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Odds from
Prediction 2
Under 2.5 goals
31/20 (2.55)
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Odds from
* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.
Excelsior hosts their fellow Eredivisie side AZ in the KNVB Beker on Tuesday January 11th.
Excelsior vs AZ: Our top betting tips
AZ are travelling away from home in this clash but they are still deemed to be big favourites to win the match. Will Excelsior be able to prove the bookmakers wrong or are AZ simply too good for them? Find out with our Excelsior vs AZ match preview with free tips, predictions and odds mentioned along the way.
Contents
AZ to lead at the break
We kick off our tips for this game by backing AZ to lead their hosts at the interval. AZ to win this game is the obvious match result bet, however, we're not tempted by that owing to the odds on offer. By tipping AZ to be in front at half-time though, we've increased our odds significantly and still have sound logic for believing this bet will come in. Why is that exactly? Well, Excelsior have trailed at the break in three of their last four matches!
Lacking goals
Our next tip for this all-Eredivisie cup clash is an under 2.5 total goals bet. Excelsior have gone south of the 2.5 cut off in four of their last five games. In that time they've seen a total of 10 goals giving them a game average of just 2.0 goals. AZ meanwhile have seen three of their past four matches fall under the 2.5 threshold with a total of eight goals in that period. Like Excelsior, that's a 2.0 average goals per game. With both teams showing form on the low scoring side along with odds of 31/20 (2.55) we believe this ‘under' bet carries some really strong value.
Here are the key stats & form guide for Excelsior vs AZ
Head to Head
23/10/22
Netherlands Eredivisie Netherlands
Excelsior
AZ
2
1
15/05/19
Netherlands Eredivisie Netherlands
Excelsior
AZ
4
2
15/12/18
Netherlands Eredivisie Netherlands
AZ
Excelsior
2
1
03/03/18
Netherlands Eredivisie Netherlands
Excelsior
AZ
1
2
24/09/17
Netherlands Eredivisie Netherlands
AZ
Excelsior
0
2
Last Five - Excelsior
29/01/23
Netherlands Eredivisie Netherlands
Ajax
Excelsior
4
1
L
25/01/23
Netherlands Eredivisie Netherlands
FC Utrecht
Excelsior
1
0
L
20/01/23
Netherlands Eredivisie Netherlands
FC Volendam
Excelsior
0
2
W
14/01/23
Netherlands Eredivisie Netherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
Excelsior
1
0
L
11/01/23
Netherlands Cup Netherlands
AZ
Excelsior
4
1
L
Last Five - AZ
28/01/23
Netherlands Eredivisie Netherlands
FC Utrecht
AZ
5
5
D
25/01/23
Netherlands Eredivisie Netherlands
Go Ahead Eagles
AZ
1
4
W
22/01/23
Netherlands Eredivisie Netherlands
Fortuna Sittard
AZ
1
3
W
14/01/23
Netherlands Eredivisie Netherlands
Heerenveen
AZ
0
2
W
11/01/23
Netherlands Cup Netherlands
Excelsior
AZ
1
4
W
So, that gives you some insight to how the different bookmakers see the action unfolding. How though do the bookies odds translate into probabilities ahead of this game? Let's find out.
Excelsior odds: 19/4 (5.75) – 17%
Draw odds: 7/2 (4.50) – 22%
AZ odds: 3/7 (1.43) – 70%
As you can see, Az Alkmaar are the big favourites to win in the KNVB Beker tonight but what other predictions are the bookmakers making? Well, if you fancy backing a First Goalscorer in this cup tie then the most likely player in that market is Evangelos Pavlidis of AZ who is currently priced at 4/1 (5.00) – 20%. The bookies are also edging towards Both Teams Scoring in tonight's match as you can get odds of 5/7 (1.71) – 58.3% on that market, while BTTS – No has odds of 13/10 (2.30) – 43.5%.
Check out the predicted lineups ahead of Excelsior vs AZ
Excelsior
Excelsior ended a run of three straight competitive defeats with a win over Groningen at the weekend, which has edged them further away from the Eredivisie relegation slots. With a confidence-boosting win and breathing space now on their side, they can come into this cup clash and give it 100%. Expect an unchanged lineup from the weekend.
Predicted lineup – van Gassel (GK), Horemans, el Yaakoubi, Nieuwpoort, Tjoe a On, Baas, Fein, Azarkan, Goudmijn, Driouech, van Duinen
AZ
On the league front, AZ are very much in the title race as things stand and that is likely to impact how they approach this game. They'll want to advance in the KNVB Beker, for sure, but a few changes are likely to be made to their XI.
Predicted lineup – Verhulst (GK), de Wit, Beukema, Kerkez, Sugawara, Clasie, Reijnders, Evjen, Karlsson, Pavlidis, van Brederode
Starting Lineups
Excelsior
AZ
*Starting lineups are usually announced one hour prior to kick off.
Player to watch
AZ have a few players in their side who know where the goal is but the player we're particularly excited to watch in this game is 24-year-old Greek striker, Vangelis Pavlidis. The front man notched 18 goals last season fresh after two years of hitting double figures with Willem II. This year he's scored four league goals from seven appearances. Bring in his output in all competitions and his stats are pretty scary; 12 goals and six assists in 18 games. Excelsior will do well to get through 90 minutes without Pavlidis having an impact.
A quickfire FAQ on Excelsior vs AZ
- Where is the match being played? – Van Donge & De Roon Stadium
- Who do the bookmakers have as favourites? – AZ
- What time does the match kick off? 17:45 GMT
