Excelsior vs AZ prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 11/01/2023

Excelsior vs AZ prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 11/01/2023
11/01/23 - 17:45

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Excelsior vs AZ prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 11/01/2023

Excelsior - AZ

Netherlands Cup - Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

8th Round

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change.

Excelsior hosts their fellow Eredivisie side AZ in the KNVB Beker on Tuesday January 11th.

Excelsior vs AZ: Our top betting tips

AZ are travelling away from home in this clash but they are still deemed to be big favourites to win the match. Will Excelsior be able to prove the bookmakers wrong or are AZ simply too good for them? Find out with our Excelsior vs AZ match preview with free tips, predictions and odds mentioned along the way.

AZ to lead at the break

We kick off our tips for this game by backing AZ to lead their hosts at the interval. AZ to win this game is the obvious match result bet, however, we're not tempted by that owing to the odds on offer. By tipping AZ to be in front at half-time though, we've increased our odds significantly and still have sound logic for believing this bet will come in. Why is that exactly? Well, Excelsior have trailed at the break in three of their last four matches!

Place the bet >>

Lacking goals

Our next tip for this all-Eredivisie cup clash is an under 2.5 total goals bet. Excelsior have gone south of the 2.5 cut off in four of their last five games. In that time they've seen a total of 10 goals giving them a game average of just 2.0 goals. AZ meanwhile have seen three of their past four matches fall under the 2.5 threshold with a total of eight goals in that period. Like Excelsior, that's a 2.0 average goals per game. With both teams showing form on the low scoring side along with odds of 31/20 (2.55) we believe this ‘under' bet carries some really strong value.

Place the bet >>

Here are the key stats & form guide for Excelsior vs AZ

Head to Head

23/10/22

Netherlands Eredivisie Netherlands

Excelsior

AZ

2

1

15/05/19

Netherlands Eredivisie Netherlands

Excelsior

AZ

4

2

15/12/18

Netherlands Eredivisie Netherlands

AZ

Excelsior

2

1

03/03/18

Netherlands Eredivisie Netherlands

Excelsior

AZ

1

2

24/09/17

Netherlands Eredivisie Netherlands

AZ

Excelsior

0

2

Last Five - ExcelsiorExcelsior vs AZ prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 11/01/2023

29/01/23

Netherlands Eredivisie Netherlands

Excelsior vs AZ prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 11/01/2023

Ajax

Excelsior vs AZ prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 11/01/2023

Excelsior

4

1

L

25/01/23

Netherlands Eredivisie Netherlands

Excelsior vs AZ prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 11/01/2023

FC Utrecht

Excelsior vs AZ prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 11/01/2023

Excelsior

1

0

L

20/01/23

Netherlands Eredivisie Netherlands

Excelsior vs AZ prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 11/01/2023

FC Volendam

Excelsior vs AZ prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 11/01/2023

Excelsior

0

2

W

14/01/23

Netherlands Eredivisie Netherlands

Excelsior vs AZ prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 11/01/2023

Sparta Rotterdam

Excelsior vs AZ prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 11/01/2023

Excelsior

1

0

L

11/01/23

Netherlands Cup Netherlands

Excelsior vs AZ prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 11/01/2023

AZ

Excelsior vs AZ prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 11/01/2023

Excelsior

4

1

L

Last Five - AZExcelsior vs AZ prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 11/01/2023

28/01/23

Netherlands Eredivisie Netherlands

Excelsior vs AZ prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 11/01/2023

FC Utrecht

Excelsior vs AZ prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 11/01/2023

AZ

5

5

D

25/01/23

Netherlands Eredivisie Netherlands

Excelsior vs AZ prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 11/01/2023

Go Ahead Eagles

Excelsior vs AZ prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 11/01/2023

AZ

1

4

W

22/01/23

Netherlands Eredivisie Netherlands

Excelsior vs AZ prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 11/01/2023

Fortuna Sittard

Excelsior vs AZ prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 11/01/2023

AZ

1

3

W

14/01/23

Netherlands Eredivisie Netherlands

Excelsior vs AZ prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 11/01/2023

Heerenveen

Excelsior vs AZ prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 11/01/2023

AZ

0

2

W

11/01/23

Netherlands Cup Netherlands

Excelsior vs AZ prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 11/01/2023

Excelsior

Excelsior vs AZ prediction, Odds and Betting Tips 11/01/2023

AZ

1

4

W

So, that gives you some insight to how the different bookmakers see the action unfolding. How though do the bookies odds translate into probabilities ahead of this game? Let's find out.

Excelsior odds: 19/4 (5.75) – 17%

Draw odds: 7/2 (4.50) – 22%

AZ odds: 3/7 (1.43) – 70%

As you can see, Az Alkmaar are the big favourites to win in the KNVB Beker tonight but what other predictions are the bookmakers making? Well, if you fancy backing a First Goalscorer in this cup tie then the most likely player in that market is Evangelos Pavlidis of AZ who is currently priced at 4/1 (5.00) – 20%. The bookies are also edging towards Both Teams Scoring in tonight's match as you can get odds of 5/7 (1.71) – 58.3% on that market, while BTTS – No has odds of 13/10 (2.30) – 43.5%.

Check out the predicted lineups ahead of Excelsior vs AZ

Excelsior

Excelsior ended a run of three straight competitive defeats with a win over Groningen at the weekend, which has edged them further away from the Eredivisie relegation slots. With a confidence-boosting win and breathing space now on their side, they can come into this cup clash and give it 100%. Expect an unchanged lineup from the weekend.

Predicted lineup – van Gassel (GK), Horemans, el Yaakoubi, Nieuwpoort, Tjoe a On, Baas, Fein, Azarkan, Goudmijn, Driouech, van Duinen

AZ

On the league front, AZ are very much in the title race as things stand and that is likely to impact how they approach this game. They'll want to advance in the KNVB Beker, for sure, but a few changes are likely to be made to their XI.

Predicted lineup – Verhulst (GK), de Wit, Beukema, Kerkez, Sugawara, Clasie, Reijnders, Evjen, Karlsson, Pavlidis, van Brederode

Starting Lineups

Excelsior

22
Lazaros Lamprou
gr
9
Reda Kharchouch
nl
8
Kenzo Goudmijn
nl
4
Redouan El Yaakoubi
nl
23
Peer Koopmeiners
nl
24
Nathan Markelo
nl
33
Julian Baas
nl
14
Couhaib Driouech
nl
2
Siebe Horemans
be
18
Norbert Alblas
nl
34
Serano Seymor
nl
Substitutes
35
Bob Roodenburg
nl
29
Mike Van Duinen
nl
19
Raphael Eyongo
nl
5
Adrian Fein
de
10
Marouan Azarkan
nl
6
Joshua Eijgenraam
nl
17
Maxime Awoudja
de
1
Stijn Van Gassel
nl
7
Nikolas Agrafiotis
nl
38
Pascal Kuiper
nl

AZ

5
Milos Kerkez
hu
12
Hobie Verhulst
nl
2
Yukinari Sugawara
jp
31
Sam Beukema
nl
3
Pantelis Chatzidiakos
gr
9
Vangelis Pavlidis
gr
11
Jesper Karlsson
se
7
Jens Odgaard
dk
10
Dani De Wit
nl
8
Jordy Clasie
nl
6
Tijani Reijnders
nl
Substitutes
25
Riechedly Bazoer
nl
45
Rome Jayden Owusu Oduro
gh
22
Maxim Dekker
nl
34
Mees De Wit
nl
18
Hakon Evjen
no
54
Daniel Deen
nl
17
Yusuf Barasi
nl
19
Myron Van Brederode
nl
27
Zinho Vanheusden
be
23
Mayckel Lahdo
se
30
Djordje Mihailovic
us

*Starting lineups are usually announced one hour prior to kick off.

Player to watch

AZ have a few players in their side who know where the goal is but the player we're particularly excited to watch in this game is 24-year-old Greek striker, Vangelis Pavlidis. The front man notched 18 goals last season fresh after two years of hitting double figures with Willem II. This year he's scored four league goals from seven appearances. Bring in his output in all competitions and his stats are pretty scary; 12 goals and six assists in 18 games. Excelsior will do well to get through 90 minutes without Pavlidis having an impact.

A quickfire FAQ on Excelsior vs AZ

Excelsior vs AZ prediction

  • Where is the match being played? – Van Donge & De Roon Stadium
  • Who do the bookmakers have as favourites? – AZ
  • What time does the match kick off?  17:45 GMT