Everton vs Newcastle prediction, odds & betting tips – 05/10/2024

Everton vs Newcastle prediction
Newcastle United players celebrating their winning goal against Wimbledon - Photo by Imago
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BTTS - Yes

Each of Everton's last five matches across all competitions have ended with both teams scoring.

The Toffees claimed their first league win of the season last weekend against Crystal Palace and will be looking to build upon that result when Newcastle make the trip to Goodison Park for Saturday's late kick-off in the Premier League.

Everton vs Newcastle prediction: Goals at either end of the pitch?

Key Stats

  • Both teams have scored in five of Newcastle's last six outings in all competitions.
  • Over 2.5 goals have been produced in four of Everton's last six matches.
  • At least three goals have been scored in three of Newcastle's last five fixtures.

Correct score prediction: Everton 1-2 Newcastle

While Everton secured their firs league win of the campaign last time out, the Toffees didn't play well in that game and against a better side they probably would have lost. With that in mind, and with Newcastle winning three of their last five matches, we're backing a narrow 2-1 away win on Saturday.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Newcastle the bookmakers' pick

  • HOME: 47/20 (3.35) – 29.9%
  • DRAW: 14/5 (3.80) – 26.3%
  • AWAY: 23/20 (2.15) – 46.5%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Newcastle are the expected winner of this game with a probability of 46.5% and we tend to agree with the bookmakers on this selection.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: Level pegging

With two wins, one draw and two defeats apiece, the last five league meetings between Everton and Newcastle have been evenly split.

England Premier League 02/04/24

Newcastle

Newcastle

1
Everton

Everton

1

England Premier League 07/12/23

Everton

Everton

3
Newcastle

Newcastle

0

England Premier League 27/04/23

Everton

Everton

1
Newcastle

Newcastle

4

England Premier League 19/10/22

Newcastle

Newcastle

1
Everton

Everton

0

England Premier League 17/03/22

Everton

Everton

1
Newcastle

Newcastle

0

Everton preview: Ended their winless run

The Everton faithful will be relieved to have seen their side come from behind for the first time under Sean Dyche to win their first game of the season last weekend.

Dwight McNeil scored two excellent goals in the second half to earn the Toffees a 2-1 win against Crystal Palace but they were the team's only two shots on target.

Youssef Chermiti, Armando Broja and Seamus Coleman are expected to miss the Newcastle game through injury and we're backing Dyche to make one change to the team that started against Palace with Jack Harrison coming in for Jesper Lindstrom.

Predicted lineup: Pickford (GK), Young, Tarkowski, Mykolenko, Branthwaite, Doucoure, Mangala, Harrison, Calvert-Lewin, McNeil & Ndiaye

England Premier League 28/09/24

W

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace

1

Everton

Everton

2

England Premier League 21/09/24

D

Leicester

Leicester

1

Everton

Everton

1

England EFL Cup 17/09/24

L

Southampton

Southampton

1 (6)

Everton

Everton

1 (5)

England Premier League 14/09/24

L

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

3

Everton

Everton

2

England Premier League 31/08/24

L

Bournemouth

Bournemouth

3

Everton

Everton

2

Newcastle preview: Only lost one of last six

The Magpies claimed a 1-0 win in their rearranged EFL Cup tie against Wimbledon in midweek to make it three wins from their last five in all competitions.

Eddie Howe's side are bound to be in good confidence following their draw with Man City last time out but a trip to Goodison Park is rarely easy for any opponent.

Sven Botman, Jamaal Lascelles, Callum Wilson, Lewis Miley, Alexander Isak and Matt Targett are all doubts for the trip to Merseyside this weekend due to injury.

Predicted lineup: Pope (GK), Trippier, Schar, Burn, Hall, Murphy, Guimaraes, Barnes, Tonali, Joelinton & Gordon

England EFL Cup 01/10/24

W

AFC Wimbledon

AFC Wimbledon

0

Newcastle

Newcastle

1

England Premier League 28/09/24

D

Man City

Man City

1

Newcastle

Newcastle

1

England Premier League 21/09/24

L

Fulham

Fulham

3

Newcastle

Newcastle

1

England Premier League 15/09/24

W

Wolverhampton

Wolverhampton

1

Newcastle

Newcastle

2

England Premier League 01/09/24

W

Tottenham

Tottenham

1

Newcastle

Newcastle

2

Player to watch: Anthony Gordon

Anthony Gordon came through the academy at Everton and worked his way into the first team before leaving when the club was at a low point to sign for Newcastle.

Anthony Gordon in action for Newcastle – Photo by Imago

Gordon has developed since leaving Goodison Park, becoming a regular for Newcastle and earning his first caps for England. The 23-year-old Liverpool fan scored 11 goals in the league last season for the Magpies and has netted twice in his opening six appearances of the 2024/25 campaign.

Will Gordon return to haunt his former employers?

We're backing Gordon to put in another classy performance against Everton this weekend to show the Everton fans just what they are missing.


A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time betting tips writer for a few years. Following that, James joined Football Whispers in December 2020 and has been a permanent fixture ever-since, currently covering the Premier League amongst other things