Everton vs Brentford prediction, odds & betting tips – 27/04/2024

Everton
27/04/24 - 17:30

Finished

1

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Brentford

Everton - Brentford

England Premier League - Goodison Park

Everton vs Brentford prediction
Brentford lost 3-1 at home to Everton in September – Photo by Icon Sport

Here are our Premier League predictions for Saturday's late kick-off between Everton and Brentford. The Toffees are edging closer and closer to Premier League safety following a run of three straight home wins that culminated in midweek with a 2-0 victory in the Merseyside derby but Brentford are no pushovers and will be looking to spoil the Goodison Park party.

Everton vs Brentford predictions: Hosts to edge close game

Everton vs Brentford Predictions
Our pick

🔥 Hot Tip

Everton to Win

⚽ Correct Score prediction

Everton 1-0 Brentford

⬆️ Over 2.5 Goals prediction

No

Key Stats

  • Everton have won three of their last five games against Brentford in league and cup and the hosts head into this weekend's game having won their last three fixtures at Goodison Park.
  • This Everton team don't score a lot of goals but have managed to keep clean sheets in each of their last three home games which is why we're backing Sean Dyche's men to win 1-0 this weekend.
  • Under 2.5 goals have been produced in four of Everton's and three of Brentford's last six fixtures, while four of the pair's last seven head-to-heads have also witnessed fewer than three goals.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Everton the slight favourite

  • HOME: 29/20 (2.45) – 40.8%
  • DRAW: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.8%
  • AWAY: 19/10 (2.90) – 34.5%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Everton are the expected winners of this game with a probability of 40.8%, and we agree with the bookmakers' selection.

The Toffees secured a memorable 2-0 win at home to Liverpool in midweek, while Brentford smashed Luton 5-1 in their last league game.

For more football betting tips on the game, check out the Anytime Goalscorer market. You could back Dominic Calvert-Lewin to score in this game at 5/2 (3.50) which has a probability of 28.6%, while a bet on his teammate Youssef Chermiti to score his first goal for the club has odds of 14/5 (3.80) with a probability of 26.3%,

Last five H2Hs: Brentford lead

England Premier League 23/09/23

Brentford

Brentford

1
Everton

Everton

3

England Premier League 11/03/23

Everton

Everton

1
Brentford

Brentford

0

England Premier League 27/08/22

Brentford

Brentford

1
Everton

Everton

1

England Premier League 15/05/22

Everton

Everton

2
Brentford

Brentford

3

England FA Cup 05/02/22

Everton

Everton

4
Brentford

Brentford

1

The Bees have won eight, drawn three and lost six of their last 17 meetings with Everton in all competitions but it was the Toffees who won 3-1 in September's reverse league fixture.

Team news and form guide

Everton: Won last three at home

Nathan Patterson, Bamidele Alli, Beto, Lewis Dobbin, Seamus Coleman and Vitalii Mykolenko make up the main injury concerns for Everton ahead of the Brentford game.

Predicted lineup: Pickford (GK), Godfrey, Tarkowski, Young, Branthwaite, Gueye, Doucouré, Harrison, Garner, Calvert-Lewin & McNeil

England Premier League 19/05/24

L

Arsenal

Arsenal

2

Everton

Everton

1

England Premier League 11/05/24

W

Sheff Utd

Sheff Utd

0

Everton

Everton

1

England Premier League 03/05/24

D

Luton

Luton

1

Everton

Everton

1

England Premier League 27/04/24

W

Brentford

Brentford

0

Everton

Everton

1

England Premier League 24/04/24

W

Liverpool

Liverpool

0

Everton

Everton

2

Brentford: No clean sheets in last three on the road

The Bees look set to be without the services of Joshua Dasilva, Aaron Hickey, Rico Henry and Ben Mee through injury, while Neal Maupay cannot play against his parent club but Ivan Toney could make his return to the side.

Predicted lineup: Flekken (GK), Ajer, Reguilón, Pinnock, Collins, Wissa, Jensen, Janelt, Mbeumo, Damsgaard & Lewis-Potter

England Premier League 19/05/24

L

Newcastle

Newcastle

4

Brentford

Brentford

2

England Premier League 11/05/24

W

Bournemouth

Bournemouth

1

Brentford

Brentford

2

England Premier League 04/05/24

D

Fulham

Fulham

0

Brentford

Brentford

0

England Premier League 27/04/24

L

Everton

Everton

1

Brentford

Brentford

0

England Premier League 20/04/24

W

Luton

Luton

1

Brentford

Brentford

5

Player to watch – Dominic Calvert-Lewin

Dominic Calvert-Lewin scored his sixth league goal of the campaign as Everton beat Liverpool 2-0 on Wednesday night and is now the club's joint-top goalscorer this season.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin player to watch
Can Dominic Calvert-Lewin lead Everton to their fourth straight home win? – Photo by Icon sport

The former England man who has had issues with injuries and as well his own form this season, looked back to his best in midweek and will be hoping to end the season strongly.

Will the Merseyside derby hero strike again?

Another goal or two in the final four league games would likely see Calvert-Lewin finish the campaign as the club's sole top goalscorer and that would be some achievement considering the recent dark days the striker has undergone which include a total of seven league goals in his last two campaigns combined.


A lifelong Evertonian, James started writing for an Everton fan site in the mid-2000s and then developed his own blog covering football transfers from across Europe's big leagues before becoming a regular match preview and betting tips writer for Biggest Free Bets. James moved to Free Super Tips next, and then Racing Post, where he worked as a full-time writer for a few years, taking on extra responsibilities such as creating the schedule and assigning out work. Following that, James wrote for a number of websites including Fore Bet before joining Football Whispers in December 2020.