With the quarter finals over, there are now just four sides left at Euro 2024, all of whom are just two games from glory.
Spain followed up their 4-1 obliteration of Georgia with a last-gasp 2-1 win over hosts Germany. They are led by the Euros' youngest ever player Lamine Yamal representing the future vision of his country, as they continue to shed their reputation for endless passing and patient build-up play. Spain are the only side left to have won all of their games.
That said, the Euro 2024 outright winner odds underwent some interesting shifts over the course of the last 16, particularly the Netherlands. Ronald Koeman's side exploded into life with a 3-0 win over Romania after a stuttering group stage, and eliminated a feisty Turkey side after coming from behind.
France continue to look defensively impermeable, with another clean sheet against Portugal.
England are still rated second favourites, despite needing penalties to defeat the spirited Swiss.
Our Euro 2024 winner prediction – Spain
Regardless of England being on the softer side of the knockout bracket, our pick to win the 2024 European Championships is still Luis de la Fuente’s Spain. When the tournament opened, La Furia Roja were priced at 8/1, but they have since tumbled to as low as 2/1.
Spain played well at Euro 2020, but lacked bite and speed in attack. This time they have the dynamic duo of Lamine Yamal and Nico Williams on the flanks, and it's proving a huge asset, with each beating their respective markers an average of four times per game this tournament.
Rodri has translated his superb Manchester City form to Euro 2024, and has anchored the midfield to perfection. His presence is augmented by Fabian Ruiz, who is emerging as a contender for player of the tournament, with another goal and assist against Georgia.
Pedri will sadly miss the last two games after suffering an injury against Germany, but Dani Olmo shone in his absence, scoring and assisting from the bench.
With the likes of Ferran Torres, Grimaldo and Mikel Merino able to make a difference from the bench, Spain are able to sustain their threat all the way into extra time, as Germany discovered.
Other than Spain, Germany had been the other form side at Euro 2024. The confidence in the Spanish camp will be sky-high, and we back them to go all the way.
What are the current Euro 2024 outright winner odds?
Spain – 2/1
Spain’s superb form has seen them finally overtake bookies’ favourites England, despite being on the tougher side of the draw.
The only side to take maximum points from the group stage, Spain thumped a determined Georgia side 4-1, and bested the Germans.
A real attack vs defence scenario beckons in the semi-final, however, as they take on France, who have conceded just a single goal this tournament.
England – 11/4
Despite their struggles at the Euro 2024 finals, England are still just two games from a first major honour since 1966.
Aided by a fortuitous draw, England find themselves in the semi-finals against the Netherlands.
Jude Bellingham rescued his nation with a spectacular overhead kick equaliser against Slovakia, but despite being looking somewhat re-energised, the Three Lions still needed late brilliance to stay in the game.
This time, it was Bukayo Saka, playing out of position at wing-back who delivered an Arjen Robben-esque finish from range to equalise against Switzerland
The Netherlands will be England's toughest test yet, and will pose far more of a threat to an English defence that has faced relatively little stress so far.
France – 3/1
France are having a truly bizarre Euro 2024. Didier Deschamps's side are yet to score from open play, with their three goals coming from two own goals and a penalty.
This is despite having an embarrassment of attacking riches including Kylian Mbappe, Antoine Griezmann, Ousmane Dembele and Kingsley Coman.
On the plus side, Les Bleus' defence has looked rock solid, with William Saliba and co recording yet another clean sheet against Portugal. They have conceded just one goal – a Robert Lewandowski penalty.
France's defence will be put to the test against top scorers Spain, and the bookmakers back La Furia Roja to finally break French resistance, as Les Bleus are rated at 4/5 to exit at the semi-final stage.
Netherlands – 5/1
Dark horses once again, the Dutch have grown into the tournament, having come third in Group D.
Xavi Simons and Cody Gakpo lead the assist and goal charts respectively, with Memphis Depay linking the play effectively as a false nine.
With incredible quality at the back, and growing confidence in attack, the Dutch will be a stern test for whoever they face.
The Netherlands are underdogs against England, and are priced at 8/11 to suffer semi-final heartbreak.
But the Three Lions have not faced a side of the Netherlands' calibre yet this tournament. Could Koeman's side catch them off guard?
