The city derby between Estudiantes and Gimnasia La Plata awaits us in the upcoming round of the Primera Division on Sunday, 28 July.
With both teams eager to prove their worth in the derby of La Plata, who will get the points from this match? Read our Estudiantes vs Gimnasia LP prediction to learn more about the game, but remember to also check out our top Primera Division predictions.
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Estudiantes vs Gimnasia LP prediction: A low-scoring, close duel
Key stats
- Estudiantes have averaged just 1.43 total goals per game in the league this season.
- Four of the previous five meetings between Estudiantes and Gimnasia have ended in draws.
- Estudiantes have drawn in four of their last six matches in all competitions.
Correct score prediction: Estudiantes 1-1 Gimnasia LP
With so many of their H2H duels recently ending in draws, we can see that happening again when Estudiantes and Gimnasia meet on Sunday, along with both teams scoring which happened in three of the previous five meetings between these teams.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Estudiantes the more likely winners
- HOME: 8/11 (1.73) – 57.90%
- DRAW: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.30%
- AWAY: 10/3 (4.33) – 23.10%
We can see from these Estudiantes vs Gimnasia LP odds that the bookies see the hosts as the expected winners, which is not really a surprise since both teams are in poor form at the moment, but Estudiantes have the home-court advantage.
In fact, that is pretty much the only reason why they're favoured in this game since they've failed to find a win in their last six games, but Gimnasia have lost three of their last four league matches.
So, we can expect an interesting game and if you like our tips for it, remember to also look at our favourite betting tips for today.
Most recent H2Hs: So many draws
With four of the last five meetings between Estudiantes and Gimnasia la Plata ending in draws, it's clear that no team have the advantage in recent years. However, Estudiantes have done better when it comes to their overall H2H record against city rivals: 23-32-16.
Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional 25/02/24
Gimnasia LP
Estudiantes LP
Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional 01/10/23
Estudiantes LP
Gimnasia LP
Argentina Liga Profesional 19/03/23
Gimnasia LP
Estudiantes LP
Argentina Liga Profesional 05/06/22
Estudiantes LP
Gimnasia LP
Argentina Liga Profesional 20/03/22
Gimnasia LP
Estudiantes LP
Estudiantes preview: Can they finally win a game?
After six matches without a win in all competitions, Estudiantes are dealing with a very poor run of form, probably the worst they've had this season yet. So, not only are they currently 16th in the Primera Division standings, but Estudiantes have also finished in the last place in their Copa Libertadores group.
Meanwhile, Javier Altamirano, Mauro Mendez, Santiago Flores, Enzo Perez, and Eros Mancuso are out with injuries, while Nehuen Benedetti is on international duty.
Predicted lineup: Mansilla (GK), Benedetti, Rodriguez, Fernandez, Meza, Neves, Piatti, Ascacibar, Cetre, Carrillo & Palacios
Argentina Liga Profesional 31/08/24
L
CA Talleres de Cu00f3rdoba
1
Estudiantes LP
0
Argentina Liga Profesional 27/08/24
D
Boca Juniors
1
Estudiantes LP
1
Argentina Liga Profesional 18/08/24
L
Atlu00e9tico Tucumu00e1n
2
Estudiantes LP
0
Argentina Liga Profesional 11/08/24
L
CA Independiente
2
Estudiantes LP
0
Argentina Liga Profesional 02/08/24
W
Newell's
1
Estudiantes LP
4
Gimnasia LP preview: Too inconsistent lately
With three losses in their last four matches in the league, Gimnasia have also struggled lately. However, in the last six rounds, Gimnasia have also added a couple of wins and a draw to make this recent run bearable. Overall, Gimnasia are 12th in the standings after the first seven round in Primera Division.
When it comes to team news, Cristian Colman, Lautaro Chavez, Nicolas Colazo, Leandro Mamut, and Ivo Mammini are injured at the time.
Predicted lineup: Insfran (GK), Pintado, Cortazzo, Canto, Rodriguez, Bolivar, Blasis, Castro, Dominguez, Abaldo & Castillo
Argentina Liga Profesional 02/09/24
W
Argentinos Jrs
0
Gimnasia LP
1
Argentina Liga Profesional 26/08/24
W
Belgrano
0
Gimnasia LP
1
Argentina Cup 22/08/24
W
Barracas Central
0
Gimnasia LP
1
Argentina Liga Profesional 17/08/24
D
River Plate
1
Gimnasia LP
1
Argentina Liga Profesional 10/08/24
W
Racing Club
0
Gimnasia LP
1
Player to watch: Rodrigo Castillo
With three goals and two assists in the league this season, Castillo has been the key player on the offensive end for Gimnasia, along with Abaldo who also has three goals.
Castillo to score first?
While it is a rather small sample size, the 25-year-old attacker has scored first in two of the three matches in which he has scored. Can he score the first goal in the city derby of La Plata?
