Porto will take on Estrela de Amadora in the Primeira Liga on Monday, 16 December as the hosts look to get back on track after their draw with Famalicao last weekend.
The Dragons slipped down to third in the league table as a result of that draw but with Sporting Lisbon continuing to struggle, they are still very much alive in the title race.
Estrela de Amadora, meanwhile, are just a point above the relegation zone and could slip into the bottom three if they lose on Monday.
As part of our latest round of Primeira Liga betting tips, check out our Porto vs Estrela prediction below.
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Porto vs Estrela prediction: The hosts to win with ease
Key stats
- Porto are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.
- Estrela de Amadora's last two results against members of the ‘big three' finished in a 7-0 loss to Benfica and a 5-1 loss to Sporting Lisbon.
- Seven of Estrela's last nine matches have produced more than two goals.
Correct score prediction: Porto 4-1 Estrela
Porto have been very good at home this season, winning all seven of their league matches at the Estadio do Dragao. Estrela, meanwhile, have the worst away record in the division and are yet to win on the road this season. Both of those stats indicate that this should be a very comfortable night for the hosts and 4-1 feels about right.
Pre-game odds and win probability: The hosts go in as huge favourites
- HOME: 1/7 (1.14) – 87.5%
- DRAW: 7/1 (8.00) – 12.5%
- AWAY: 16/1 (17.00) – 5.9%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The Porto vs Estrela odds suggest that this match is a foregone conclusion with the hosts priced as the heavy favourites by the majority of bookmakers. Ladbrokes have given Porto an 87.5% chance of winning the match on Monday night while Estrela have been given just a 5.9% chance of picking up the three points.
Check out our betting tips today page for more Primeira Liga predictions this week.
Most recent H2Hs: Advantage Porto
Porto are the big favourites for this match but it isn't only due to the performances of both teams this season. Porto have won six of their last seven matches against Estrela de Amadora and beat them by a combined score of 3-0 across last season's two league fixtures. Estrela's last win over Porto came in the cup back in 2009.
Portugal Primeira Liga 17/02/24
FC Porto
Estrela
Portugal Primeira Liga 15/09/23
Estrela
FC Porto
Porto preview: Still a lot to play for
Despite Porto failing to win two of their last three league matches, they are actually in a stronger position than they were this time last month. If they win on Monday night then they could move to within two points of Sporting Lisbon if the league leaders fail to win on Saturday.
Predicted lineup: Costa (GK), Fernandes, Perez, Otavio, Moura, Eustaquio, Gonzalez, Pepe, Vieira, Galeno, Aghehowa
Portugal Primeira Liga 11/05/25
W
Boavista
1
FC Porto
2
Portugal Primeira Liga 02/05/25
W
Moreirense
1
FC Porto
3
Portugal Primeira Liga 26/04/25
L
Estrela
2
FC Porto
0
Portugal Primeira Liga 18/04/25
W
Famalicao
1
FC Porto
2
Portugal Primeira Liga 12/04/25
W
Casa Pia
0
FC Porto
1
Estrela de Amadora preview: Need some away form
Estrela de Amadora are in just their second season in the top flight in 15 years but they are in serious danger of relegation if they can't improve their form on the road. While that's unlikely to change on Monday, a resolute performance could give them something to build on.
Predicted lineup: Brigido (GK), Ferro, Lopes, Lima, Veiga, Cordeiro, Moreira, Varela, Ruiz, Kikas, Cabral
Portugal Primeira Liga 11/05/25
L
AVS
1
Estrela
0
Portugal Primeira Liga 05/05/25
L
Rio Ave
2
Estrela
0
Portugal Primeira Liga 26/04/25
W
FC Porto
0
Estrela
2
Portugal Primeira Liga 19/04/25
L
Arouca
1
Estrela
0
Portugal Primeira Liga 13/04/25
L
SC Farense
1
Estrela
0
Player to watch: Fabio Vieira
With Arsenal struggling for creativity in the Premier League, Mikel Arteta will perhaps be regretting sending Fabio Vieira out on loan to Porto. The Portuguese playmaker produced 14 league assists for Porto in the season before his move to Arsenal in 2022 and is now starting to show signs that those levels could soon be returning.