Estrela vs Benfica prediction, odds & betting tips – 16/08/2025
Vangelis Pavlidis in action for Benfica - Photo by Imago
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Benfica Win

Benfica have won their last five meetings.

Estrela will welcome Benfica to Estadio Jose Gomes on Saturday, in matchday two of the 2025-26 Primeira Liga season.

The home side drew their opening fixture 1-1 against Estoril last weekend, while the visiting side will be hoping to lay down the marker in their first encounter of the season, as they look to wrestle the title from Sporting Lisbon this season.

Estrela vs Benfica prediction: Benfica to claim a win in their opening match?

Key stats

  • Benfica have won in their last five head-to-head meetings.
  • Estrela are winless in their last three matches across all competitions.
  • Benfica have won eight and drawn two of their last 10 away matches across all competitions.

 Correct score prediction: Estrela 0-2 Benfica

Benfica should be the favourites to claim all three points when both sides clash on Saturday. The home side drew 1-1 away to Estoril on the opening weekend. However, the gulf in class between both sides will be the difference when they lock horns this weekend.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Benfica are overwhelming favourites with bookmakers

  • HOME: 12/1 (13.00) – 7.70%
  • DRAW: 6/1 (7.00) – 14.30%
  • AWAY: 1/5 (1.20) – 83.30%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

As expected, Benfica are favoured by bookmakers to claim all three points after 90 minutes on Saturday. The former champions have dominated meetings between the two sides, and considering the quality of the Eagles, it is not surprising that they have been installed as the favourites for Saturday's clash.

The hosts are priced at odds of 12/1 (13.00), which represents an implied probability of 7.70%, while the visitors have odds of 1/5 (1.20), meaning an implied probability of 83.30%, Benfica are sure bet to take a victory back home.

For a draw, the bookies have pegged the odds at 6/1 (7.00), meaning a probability of 14.30%.

Do not forget that you can check out our dedicated Football Betting Tips Today page for more insight.

Most recent H2Hs: Can the Eagles make it five wins in a row?

As mentioned earlier, Benfica have won the last five meetings between both sides, and they stand a good chance of making it fifth in a row when they clash this weekend.

Their most recent meeting in February ended in a 3-2 victory for Bruno Lage's team.

Portugal Primeira Liga 02/02/25

Estrela

Estrela

2
Benfica

Benfica

3

Portugal Cup 23/11/24

Benfica

Benfica

7
Estrela

Estrela

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 24/08/24

Benfica

Benfica

1
Estrela

Estrela

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 29/01/24

Estrela

Estrela

1
Benfica

Benfica

4

Portugal Primeira Liga 19/08/23

Benfica

Benfica

2
Estrela

Estrela

0

Estrela preview: Looking for their first win in five against Benfica?

The hosts have endured a barren spell against the more illustrious visitors in their five most recent meetings, and they will be desperate to end that wretched run on Saturday.

Several players are in contention for places in the starting XI,  but left winger and new signing, Ianis Stoica, will be one of the first names on the team sheet.

Predicted lineup: Ribeiro (GK), Patrick, Drame, Chernev, Nilton, Godoy, Sola, Moreira, Stoica, Kikas& Ronaldo

Portugal Primeira Liga 11/05/25

L

AVS

AVS

1

Estrela

Estrela

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 05/05/25

L

Rio Ave

Rio Ave

2

Estrela

Estrela

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 26/04/25

W

FC Porto

FC Porto

0

Estrela

Estrela

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 19/04/25

L

Arouca

Arouca

1

Estrela

Estrela

0

Portugal Primeira Liga 13/04/25

L

SC Farense

SC Farense

1

Estrela

Estrela

0

Benfica preview: Lage to ring changes

There is a little chance that Bruno Lage might tinker with his side due to fatigue, as they have been involved in the UEFA Champions League qualifiers.

So, we are not expecting the Eagles to field a full-strength team on Saturday

Predicted lineup: Trubin(GK), Dedic, Otamendi, Silva, Obrador, Florentino, Barreiro, Aursnes, Prestianni, Schjelderup & Pavlidis

Portugal Primeira Liga 10/05/25

D

Sporting

Sporting

1

Benfica

Benfica

1

Portugal Primeira Liga 03/05/25

W

Estoril

Estoril

1

Benfica

Benfica

2

Portugal Primeira Liga 27/04/25

W

AVS

AVS

0

Benfica

Benfica

6

Portugal Cup 23/04/25

W

FC Tirsense

FC Tirsense

0

Benfica

Benfica

4

Portugal Primeira Liga 19/04/25

W

Guimaraes

Guimaraes

0

Benfica

Benfica

3

Player to watch: Vangelis Pavlidis

Vangelis Pavlidis
Can Vangelis Pavlidis emerge as the top scorer for Benfica in the 2025-26 season? – Photo by Imago

The Greek forward was Benfica's top scorer last season with 19 goals in the league and a total of 30 across all competitions last term. Although he is yet to hit the ground running this season, he is surely the favoured striker, and he could carry on from where he stopped in the last campaign.

 


Ademola is a passionate sports writer and betting expert with a degree in Plant Science and a Masters degree in Plant Ecology.