Sweden vs Estonia prediction, odds & betting tips 19/11/2023

Sweden
19/11/23 - 17:00

Finished

2

-

0

Estonia

Sweden - Estonia

Euro 2024 Qualifying - Friends Arena

 

* Betting odds were correct at the time of publication but are subject to change

Sweden host Estonia on Sunday 19th November in the final round of Euro 2024 qualifiers. Both sides are unable to qualify for next summer's tournament which means nothing other than pride is on the line. For Sweden, this qualifying campaign has been particularly disappointing as they have qualified for the last six European Championships so their absence next summer is bitterly disappointing for their supporters. Ahead of the match between Sweden vs Estonia, check out our football betting tips.

Sweden vs Estonia prediction & free betting tips

Sweden have had a miserable qualifying campaign but this final match at least provides them with a chance to put a smile on their supporter's faces before World Cup qualifying commences next year. We expect them to have too much for Estonia who will do well to create many goalscoring opportunities.

Also, check out some of our other European Championship predictions and betting tips.

Sweden -1 handicap

  • Sweden have won by two goals or more in three of their last seven matches.
  • Estonia are winless in their last nine matches.
  • Sweden defeated Estonia 5-0 the last time the two sides faced.

Sweden to keep a clean sheet

  • Estonia haven't scored a goal in any of their last five competitive matches.
  • Estonia have scored just two goals against Sweden in their last six encounters.
  • Sweden are playing their final home game of Euro 2024 qualifying so will want to put in a convincing display.

Sweden vs Estonia odds, H2H stats, and recent form

Head to Head

09/09/23

Euro 2023 Qualifying Euro

Estonia

Estonia

Sweden

Sweden

0

5

31/03/21

International Match International

Sweden

Sweden

Estonia

Estonia

1

0

07/01/18

International Match International

Sweden

Sweden

Estonia

Estonia

1

1

06/01/16

International Match International

Sweden

Sweden

Estonia

Estonia

1

1

04/09/14

International Match International

Sweden

Sweden

Estonia

Estonia

2

0

Last Five - Sweden

08/06/24

International Match International

Serbia

Serbia

Sweden

Sweden

3

0

L

05/06/24

International Match International

Denmark

Denmark

Sweden

Sweden

2

1

L

25/03/24

International Match International

Albania

Albania

Sweden

Sweden

0

1

W

21/03/24

International Match International

Portugal

Portugal

Sweden

Sweden

5

2

L

12/01/24

International Match International

Estonia

Estonia

Sweden

Sweden

1

2

W

Last Five - Estonia

11/06/24

International Match International

Lithuania

Lithuania

Estonia

Estonia

1 (3)

1 (4)

W

08/06/24

International Match International

Faroe Islands

Faroe Islands

Estonia

Estonia

1

4

W

04/06/24

International Match International

Switzerland

Switzerland

Estonia

Estonia

4

0

L

26/03/24

International Match International

Finland

Finland

Estonia

Estonia

2

1

L

21/03/24

Euro 2024 Qualifying Euro

Poland

Poland

Estonia

Estonia

5

1

L

Sweden odds: 2/15 (1.13) – 88.2%

Draw odds: 15/2 (7.50) – 11.8%

Estonia odds: 14/1 (15.00) – 6.7%

Despite their poor showing in Euro 2024 qualifying, Sweden are huge favourites here with the bookmakers suggesting they have a win probability of 88.2%. Estonia are winless in qualifying so it's hardly a surprise that there is just a 6.7% chance of them coming out on top against Sweden.

Sweden vs Estonia lineups and latest team news

Sweden

Any time Sweden line up without Alexander Isak there is cause for concern given how reliant they are on the Newcastle forward for goals. Isak hasn't featured in either of the previous two international breaks and Sweden missed him badly against Azerbaijan on Thursday night.

Without Isak, much of Sweden's attacking threat comes through Dejan Kulusevski but the Spurs winger has struggled to replicate his club form for his country in recent seasons. Victor Lindelof will skipper the team as he looks to restore some pride in the shirt after the embarrassing defeat in Baku.

Predicted lineup

Olsen – Krafth, Lindelof, Helander, Augustinsson – Svanberg, Cajuste, Ekdal – Forsberg, Gyokeres, Kulusevski

Estonia

Estonia will head to Sweden with a glimmer of hope after watching them get pumped 3-0 by Azerbaijan. The Swedes are undoubtedly fragile and Estonia will feel there is a window of opportunity here to spring an upset and secure a famous result.

Arsenals' Karl Hein will be key for the visitors in between the sticks as will the five defenders who will likely line up in front of him. Manager, Thomas Haberli will set up to frustrate Sweden and if recent results are to go by, then he may well have some joy.

Predicted lineup

Hein –  Lilander, Paskotsi, Tamm, Mets, Pikk – Tunjov, Poom, Vetkal,Vastsuk – Anier

Starting lineups

Sweden

Sweden
4-4-2
1
Robin Olsen
se
2
Emil Krafth
se
3
Victor Lindelof
se
4
Filip Helander
se
6
Ludwig Augustinsson
se
21
Dejan Kulusevski
se
9
Jens-Lys Cajuste
se
8
Albin Ekdal
se
10
Emil Forsberg
se
17
Viktor Gyokeres
se
7
Viktor Claesson
se
Substitutes
19
Mattias Svanberg
se
14
Linus Wahlqvist
se
16
Hugo Larsson
se
23
Kristoffer Nordfeldt
se
18
Samuel Gustafson
se
13
Ken Sema
se
15
Hjalmar Ekdal
se
12
Viktor Johansson
se
11
Marcus Rohden
se
20
Kristoffer Olsson
se
22
Robin Quaison
se
5
Isak Hien
se

Estonia

Estonia
3-4-2-1
12
Karl Hein
ee
6
Rasmus Peetson
ee
16
Joonas Tamm
ee
18
Karol Mets
ee
13
Maksim Paskotsi
ee
4
Mattias Kait
ee
20
Markus Poom
ee
3
Artur Pikk
ee
21
Bogdan Vastsuk
ee
7
Georgi Tunjov
ee
9
Oliver Jurgens
ee
Substitutes
22
Andre Karl Vallner
ee
8
Henri Anier
ee
11
Alex Matthias Tamm
ee
1
Matvei Igonen
ee
23
Vlasiy Sinyavskiy
ee
2
Marten Kuusk
ee
5
Mark Oliver Roosnupp
ee
17
Martin Miller
ee
19
Edgar Tur
ee
15
Michael Lilander
ee
10
Sergey Zenjov
ee

Sweden vs Estonia prediction


Andy is a freelance Sports Journalist with ten years of experience covering football in the United Kingdom and abroad for various publications including the Manchester Evening News, UtdReport and Football Whispers. Andy also has a keen interest in basketball, cricket, golf and tennis and has covered major sporting events such as the Masters in Augusta.