An interesting fixture will be on the cards when Elche and Rayo Vallecano lock horns in the 17th round of La Liga at Estadio Martinez Valero on Sunday, 21 December 2025.
View our free Elche vs Rayo Vallecano predictions below.
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Elche vs Rayo Vallecano predictions: Low-scoring affair
Key stats
- Rayo Vallecano's last five La Liga games went below the 2.5-goal threshold.
- At least five cards were awarded in four of Rayo Vallecano's last five league matches.
- Elche have averaged 3.0 corners per game in the Spanish top flight this season.
Correct score prediction: Elche 0-0 Rayo Vallecano
The spoils were shared in four of Rayo Vallecano's last five La Liga matches, three of which ended goalless. Keeping in mind that three of Elche's last four home games ended in stalemates, we believe that both teams will be on level terms at the end of this match.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Elche priced as favourites
- HOME: 7/5 (2.40) – 41.7%
- DRAW: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.3%
- AWAY: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.2%
*Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Rayo Vallecano cruised to a comfortable 3-0 victory over Drita in the UEFA Conference League a few days ago, extending their unbeaten run to three matches.
Elche, on the other hand, advanced to the Round of 16 of the Copa del Rey by defeating La Liga 2 side Eibar. That was their third victory in four games across all competitions.
Ahead of this encounter, Elche and Rayo Vallecano are 11th and 13th in La Liga, respectively.
On that note, Elche are the expected winners at 7/5 (2.40). Teams with these odds generally have a 41.7% probability of winning.
Don’t forget to check out more of our best betting tips and predictions after you’ve dissected our Elche vs Rayo Vallecano predictions.
Moreover, only one team has averaged fewer corners per game than Elche's average of 3.0 in La Liga this season. For this reason, under 4.5 Elche corners has an appealing look at 1/1 (2.00). That one has a 50% chance of landing.
Most recent H2Hs: Even contest
Both teams have three wins apiece in Elche's last six meetings with Rayo Vallecano. Interestingly, Elche have not lost a home game against Rayo Vallecano since January 1991. They are unbeaten in 11 H2Hs at this stadium since then (W8, D3).
Spain La Liga 29/04/23
Elche
Rayo Vallecano
Spain La Liga 03/10/22
Rayo Vallecano
Elche
Spain La Liga 18/02/22
Elche
Rayo Vallecano
Spain La Liga 17/10/21
Rayo Vallecano
Elche
Spain Copa del Rey 16/01/21
Rayo Vallecano
Elche
Elche preview: No new injury concerns
Grady Diangana is the only absentee for Elche ahead of this clash. This should give head coach Eder Armesto a good opportunity to put out his best starting XI for this contest.
Predicted lineup: Pena (GK), Nunez, Affengruber, Chust, Bigas, Aguado, Valera, Neto, Febas, Santiago & Mir.
Last five matches
- Eibar 0-1 Elche
- Mallorca 3-1 Elche
- Elche 3-0 Girona
- Quintanar 1-2 Elche
- Getafe 1-0 Elche
Rayo Vallecano preview: Few absentees
Rayo, on the other hand, will be missing quite a number of players for this game due to injury and international involvement. They include Oscar Trejo (hamstring), Abdul Mumin (knee), Alemao (leg pain), Andrei Ratiu (suspension), Jorge De Frutos (knee), Randy Nteka (AFCON), and Pathe Ciss (AFCON).
Predicted lineup: Batalla (GK), Balliu, Lejeune, Mendy, Chavarria, Gumbau, Valentin, Perez, Palazon, Espino & Garcia.
Last five matches
- Rayo 3-0 Drita
- Rayo 0-0 Real Betis
- Jagiellonia 1-2 Rayo
- Espanyol 1-0 Rayo
- Real Avila 1-2 Rayo
Player to watch: Rafa Mir
Rafa Mir put in a man-of-the-match performance in Elche's last home game, scoring a brace in their 3-0 victory over Girona. The former Valencia forward has six La Liga goals and will look to add to his tally this weekend.