Elche will take on Girona in La Liga on Sunday, 7 November, with both teams needing a win for different reasons.
The hosts know that a win would likely take them into the top half of the league table, while the visitors need the points to try and get out of the bottom three.
As part of this week's round of La Liga betting tips, check out our Elche vs Girona prediction below.
Contents
Elche vs Girona prediction: A low-scoring affair
Key Stats
- Three of Elche's last four matches have produced fewer than three goals.
- Three of Girona's last four matches have produced fewer than three goals.
- Elche are yet to lose a match at home this season.
Correct score prediction: Elche 1-0 Girona
Elche are yet to lose a match on home soil this season, while Girona are yet to win one on the road, so all signs point towards an Elche victory here, even if it's only by a small margin.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Great value on a home win
- HOME: 23/20 (2.15) – 46.5%
- DRAW: 5/2 (3.50) 28.6%
- AWAY: 9/4 (3.25) – 30.8%
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
The Elche vs Girona odds are slightly surprising in that Elche have been priced at greater than evens despite their impressive home form this season. Ladbrokes have given the hosts a 46.5% chance of winning the match, while Girona have been given a 30.8% chance of victory.
You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.
Most recent H2Hs: Advantage Girona
One reason why Elche haven't been priced as runaway favourites for this match will likely be their recent record against Girona. The Catalonians have won each of their last three matches against Elche, who have won just one of the last five H2Hs.
Spain Copa del Rey 06/01/24
Elche
Girona
Spain La Liga 16/04/23
Girona
Elche
Spain La Liga 08/11/22
Elche
Girona
Spain Segunda 23/08/20
Girona
Elche
Spain Segunda 20/08/20
Elche
Girona
Elche preview: A clean bill of health
In what is Elche's first season back in the top flight in two years, the club look more equipped than ever to avoid a relegation battle. What is undoubtedly helping them is their fitness record, and they have zero injury concerns ahead of this one.
Predicted lineup: Pena (GK), Petrot, Affengruber, Nunez, Fort, Neto, Febas, Aguado, Valera, Silva, Mir
Last five results
- Quintanar 1-2 Elche
- Getafe 1-0 Elche
- Elche 2-2 Real Madrid
- Elche 1-1 Real Sociedad
- Barcelona 3-1 Elche
Girona preview: Issues everywhere
While Elche are having brilliant luck when it comes to injuries this season, Girona are suffering badly. Juan Carlos, Cristhian Stuani, Abel Ruiz, Donny van de Beek, Portu, and Vladyslav Krapyvtsov are all ruled out of this one, while Thomas Lemar and David Lopez are considered 50/50.
Predicted lineup: Gazzaniga (GK), Rincon, Reis, Blind, Moreno, Martinez, Tsygankov, Witsel, Martin, Gil, Vanat
Last five results
- Ourense 2-1 Girona
- Girona 1-1 Real Madrid
- Real Betis 1-1 Girona
- Girona 1-0 Alaves
- Getafe 2-1 Girona
Player to watch: Andre Silva
Andre Silva started the La Liga season in brilliant form for Elche, scoring four goals in his first seven league appearances for the season. However, he has now gone six games without a goal, and he will want to nip that in the bud as soon as possible.