Ecuador will host Paraguay in the upcoming round of the World Cup Qualifiers in South America on Thursday, 10 October.
With both teams still coveting their chances to qualify, who will emerge victorious from this duel? Read our Ecuador vs Paraguay prediction and preview to find that out and more.
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Ecuador vs Paraguay prediction: Both teams to score in a win for Ecuador
Key stats
- The team that hosted the game has won five times in the last six meetings between Ecuador and Paraguay.
- Both teams have scored in seven of the previous 10 H2H duels between these teams.
- We saw both teams score in five of the last eight Ecuador matches in all competitions.
Correct score prediction: Ecuador 3-1 Paraguay
We saw in previous duels between these teams that the home-court advantage is quite important and we expect that to be showcased on Thursday as well, with Ecuador winning the match in a confident manner.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Ecuador the more likely winners
- HOME: 3/5 (1.60) – 62.50%
- DRAW: 13/5 (3.60) – 27.80%
- AWAY: 11/2 (6.50) – 15.40%
It is clear from these Ecuador vs Paraguay odds that the bookies see the hosts as the expected winners, which isn't that surprising given that they're currently ahead of Paraguay by two points in the WC Qualifiers table, even with a three-point deduction they suffered.
On top of that, Ecuador are the better team on paper, as evidenced by FIFA rankings where they are 27th, while Paraguay are 57th. Finally, they will host this game, so it's clear why they're favoured to win it.
In any case, if you liked our predictions for this duel, check our other football betting tips for today.
*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change
Most recent H2Hs: A tightly-contested matchup
In the last five meetings between Ecuador and Paraguay, each team has won twice (at home), along with one draw. However, Paraguay have a significant advantage if we look at their overall H2H record against Ecuador: 22-6-12.
South America - World Cup Qualifying 24/03/22
Paraguay
Ecuador
South America - World Cup Qualifying 02/09/21
Ecuador
Paraguay
South America - World Cup Qualifying 23/03/17
Paraguay
Ecuador
South America - World Cup Qualifying 24/03/16
Ecuador
Paraguay
Ecuador preview: Looking for another win at home
With 11 points from eight rounds of WC Qualifiers, after the three-point deduction they have received at the start of the cycle, Ecuador are currently fourth in the standings and on a good path to secure their place at the biggest stage of international football. They have particularly been impressive at home with three wins and one draw, so their fans can certainly feel optimism ahead of Ecuador's duel against Paraguay.
Meanwhile, Carlos Gruezo and Jhegson Mendez will miss this match through injuries.
Predicted lineup: Galindez (GK), Torres, Pacho, Hincapie, Preciado, Franco, Caicedo, Estupinan, Mercado, Valencia & Paez
South America - World Cup Qualifying 26/03/25
D
Chile
0
Ecuador
0
South America - World Cup Qualifying 21/03/25
W
Venezuela
1
Ecuador
2
South America - World Cup Qualifying 19/11/24
W
Colombia
0
Ecuador
1
South America - World Cup Qualifying 15/11/24
W
Bolivia
0
Ecuador
4
South America - World Cup Qualifying 15/10/24
D
Uruguay
0
Ecuador
0
Paraguay preview: Hoping for their first away win in the group
With two draws and two losses in away matches in the WC Qualifiers, Paraguay have struggled to secure points when playing away from home, which doesn't bode well for their next meeting with Ecuador. Overall, Paraguay are seventh in the standings with nine points and pretty much in play for direct qualification to the World Cup.
When it comes to team news, Alvaro Campuzano will miss this game as he recovers from an injury.
Predicted lineup: Fernandez (GK), Caceres, Balbuena, Alderete, Alonso, Villasanti, Bobadilla, Gomez, Enciso, Almiron & Pitta
South America - World Cup Qualifying 26/03/25
D
Colombia
2
Paraguay
2
South America - World Cup Qualifying 20/03/25
W
Chile
0
Paraguay
1
South America - World Cup Qualifying 19/11/24
D
Bolivia
2
Paraguay
2
South America - World Cup Qualifying 14/11/24
W
Argentina
1
Paraguay
2
South America - World Cup Qualifying 15/10/24
W
Venezuela
1
Paraguay
2
Player to watch: Enner Valencia
While he's close to turning 35, Valencia remains one of Ecuador's key players, especially on the offensive end. The experienced forward is Ecuador's captain and top scorer with 42 goals in 91 appearances.
