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Ecuador realistically must beat Germany to have a chance of progressing into the World Cup 2026 knockouts when they meet in their final Group E game in New Jersey on Thursday night.
La Tri only have one point from their first two matches, and four points should be enough to reach the knockout stage.
Meanwhile, Germany are already through with two wins and six points, guaranteeing them top spot in the group.
Read our prediction, preview and betting tips for the game below, and make sure to check out our today's betting tips page for more of our expert predictions, as well as our best fifa world cup betting offers.
Ecuador vs. Germany key stats
- Ecuador have lost just once in 21 games in all competitions (W8, D12).
- Germany are chasing a record-equalling 12th successive win across all competitions.
- Germany won the previous two H2Hs, with the last coming in 2013.
Ecuador vs. Germany preview: La Tri to crash out of World Cup?
| Ecuador | vs | Germany |
|---|---|---|
| 23 | FIFA Ranking | 10 |
| Enner Valencia (107) | Most Caps | Manuel Neuer (126) |
| Enner Valencia (49) | Most Goals | Kai Havertz (24) |
| 805 | Total Caps | 878 |
| 95 | Total Goals | 114 |
| 0 | Uncapped Players | 0 |
There were high hopes for Ecuador heading into the World Cup having finished second in CONMEBOL qualifying only behind world champions Argentina.
However, they will be disappointed with picking up one point from Ivory Coast and debutants Curacao, meaning they realistically must beat Germany to go through.
La Tri can take encouragement from losing just once in 21 games in all competitions, although that was against Ivory Coast.
Sebastian Beccacece's squad does not have any fresh concerns, so they will field their strongest possible XI here, with reliance on their strong defence that conceded just five goals in World Cup qualifying, and top scorer Enner Valencia up front, searching for his 50th senior international goal.
Germany will be tough to keep out though, and they are searching for a record-equalling 12th successive victory.
Die Mannschaft are already through to the World Cup knockouts, surprisingly the first time they have done so since 2014, when they won it.
Germany are only one behind Brazil in terms of World Cup titles (four), but they will want more convincing performances than the narrow 2-1 win against Ivory Coast last time out, where they nicked the three points late on.
Julian Nagelsmann is sweating on the fitness of Nico Schlotterbeck, who go injured in that match, but he may be tempted to rotate his XI with top spot in the group already guaranteed.
Ecuador vs. Germany form guide & betting tips
| Ecuador | vs | Germany |
|---|---|---|
DWWLD |
Form | WWWWW |
| 6 | Goals For | 17 |
| 3 | Goals Against | 4 |
LD |
World Cup 2026 | WW |
Whispers predicts: Ecuador 1-1 Germany
Germany are 20/21 (1.95) favourites to win, but given we are expecting them to rotate being already through to the knockouts, it could give a chance for Ecuador to get a positive result.
A Draw at 16/5 (4.20) therefore appeals to us, but will likely not be enough for Ecuador to progress.
Germany have kept just one clean sheet in their last six matches, which have all seen both teams score, so BTTS – Yes at 3/4 (1.75) could also come through.
In terms of player bets, Denis Undav was the hero against Ivory Coast with a match-winning brace, and he could get a chance to start here.
Undav to score anytime at 7/4 (2.75) is our final pick, while our prediction of a 1-1 draw is available at 15/2 (8.50).
> BTTS – Yes at 3/4 (1.75) | Likelihood: Probable
> Undav to score anytime at 7/4 (2.75) | Likelihood: Possible
> Draw at 16/5 (4.20) | Likelihood: Outsider