Chile vs Ecuador prediction
Chile hoping for an upset against Ecuador - Photo by Imago
🔥 Our Hot tip

Ecuador to win

Ecuador have won three in a row and are undefeated in their last six games.

Chile and Ecuador will meet in the next round of the South American World Cup qualifiers on Wednesday, 26 March.

Will the hosts get the points to stay in the race for a spot in the playoffs or will the guests put a serious dent in those hopes? Find that out and more from our Chile vs Ecuador prediction and preview.

Chile vs Ecuador predictions: Not many goals expected

Key Stats

  • Chile are last in the WC qualifiers standings, with just nine points from 13 games.
  • The last three H2H duels between these teams have gone under 2.5 total goals.
  • Ecuador have gone under 2.5 total goals in seven of their last nine matches in all competitions.

Correct score prediction: Chile 0-1 Ecuador

While Chile still have a chance to reach seventh place in the table and earn a spot in the intercontinental playoffs, they are currently last in the standings and have been struggling in these qualifiers.

On the other hand, Ecuador have bene great, they're second in the standings, and on a good run of form, so we can see them beating Chile in this match, with the difference between them being 13 points.

Pre-game odds and win probability: No clear favourites in this game

  • HOME: 6/4 (2.50) – 40.00%
  • DRAW: 2/1 (3.00) – 33.30%
  • AWAY: 21/10 (3.10) – 32.30%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Looking at the Chile vs Ecuador odds, it's clear that the bookies don't have a clear favourite.

That being said, the hosts are the expected winners by a small margin, which is a bit surprising just by looking at the standings where Ecuador are second and Chile last.

You can find all our predictions for today's games on our football betting tips page.

Most recent H2Hs: A tied matchup in recent years

In the last five duels between Chile and Ecuador, we saw each team win twice, along with one draw. That being said, Chile have done better if we look at their overall H2H record against Ecuador: 29-13-12.

South America - World Cup Qualifying 21/11/23

Ecuador

Ecuador

1
Chile

Chile

0

South America - World Cup Qualifying 17/11/21

Chile

Chile

0
Ecuador

Ecuador

2

South America - World Cup Qualifying 05/09/21

Ecuador

Ecuador

0
Chile

Chile

0

Copa America 22/06/19

Ecuador

Ecuador

1
Chile

Chile

2

South America - World Cup Qualifying 06/10/17

Chile

Chile

2
Ecuador

Ecuador

1

Chile preview: Can they move up from the last place in the table?

After 13 rounds of these WC qualifiers, Chile sit at the bottom of the standings with nine points. That being said, the team in the seventh place, which leads to intercontinental playoffs, is just four points ahead and with five rounds left to be played, Chile fans can still hope that their team can turn things around, especially after they've won four points from their last three games in the group.

Meanwhile, Chile are without a few important players who will miss this match with injuries, such as Fabian Hormazabal, Marcelo Morales, Marcelino Nunez, Erick Pulgar, and Williams Alarcon.

Also, Alexis Sanchez missed Chile's previous match against Paraguay a few days ago, so he remains questionable for this one too.

Predicted lineup: Cortes (GK), Loyola, Maripan, Diaz, Suazo, Vidal, Echeverria, Pizarro, Sanchez, Vargas & Cepeda

South America - World Cup Qualifying 26/03/25

D

Ecuador

Ecuador

0

Chile

Chile

0

South America - World Cup Qualifying 20/03/25

L

Paraguay

Paraguay

1

Chile

Chile

0

International Match 08/02/25

W

Panama

Panama

1

Chile

Chile

6

South America - World Cup Qualifying 20/11/24

W

Venezuela

Venezuela

2

Chile

Chile

4

South America - World Cup Qualifying 16/11/24

D

Peru

Peru

0

Chile

Chile

0

Ecuador preview: One foot already at the World Cup

With 22 points from 13 games in these qualifiers, Ecuador have been quite impressive so far. In fact, they collected 25 points, but they were deducted three by the South American football federation. In any case, Ecuador are second in the standings, they're on a three-game winning streak, and they are close to clinching their spot at the 2026 World Cup.

When it comes to team news, Angelo Preciado, Jhoanner Chavez, Leonardo Campana, and Alan Minda are all unavailable with injuries.

Predicted lineup: Galindez (GK), Ordonez, Torres, Pacho, Estupinan, Plata, Vite, Caicedo, Franco, Mercado & Valencia

South America - World Cup Qualifying 26/03/25

D

Chile

Chile

0

Ecuador

Ecuador

0

South America - World Cup Qualifying 21/03/25

W

Venezuela

Venezuela

1

Ecuador

Ecuador

2

South America - World Cup Qualifying 19/11/24

W

Colombia

Colombia

0

Ecuador

Ecuador

1

South America - World Cup Qualifying 15/11/24

W

Bolivia

Bolivia

0

Ecuador

Ecuador

4

South America - World Cup Qualifying 15/10/24

D

Uruguay

Uruguay

0

Ecuador

Ecuador

0

Player to watch: Enner Valencia

The 35-year-old forward is still going strong, at least on international stage, and he's leading Ecuador to another World Cup appearance as the team's captain.

Enner Valencia
Valencia hoping to lead Ecuador to another win in the qualifiers – Photo by Imago

With 46 goals in the Ecuadorian national team, Valencia is the best scorer in history of the country and even since 2024, he has scored six goals in 13 appearances.


Vladimir’s dreams of becoming a professional basketball player ended a long time ago, but his other dream of becoming a writer came true as he combined his love of writing and sports to become a professional content writer who covers multiple sports, including football, basketball, and tennis.