Relegation-threatened Dundalk take on high-flying Waterford at Oriel Park in Ireland’s Premier Division on Friday, 28 June. View our betting tips for the game below.

Dundalk vs Waterford prediction: Blues to avoid defeat?

Key Stats

  • Waterford cruised to a 4-1 win over Dundalk when the teams last met in May.
  • 100% of Dundalk’s last eight home games featured under 2.5 goals.
  • Christie Pattisson scored when Waterford last played Dundalk in May.
  • Dundalk failed to score in 70% of their last ten home assignments in the Premier Division.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Dundalk are favourites

  • HOME: 5/4 (2.25) – 44.4%
  • DRAW: 11/5 (3.20) – 31.3%
  • AWAY: 23/10 (3.30) – 30.3%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Dundalk have won only four times in 21 attempts in the Premier Division last season, however, despite dropping points in 70% of their home fixtures so far, they remain 5/4 favourites to beat Waterford on Friday.

Waterford were much the better team when they beat Dundalk 4-1 in May and the Blues, who have lost only twice in six away games, could deliver another positive result against the Lilywhites in Friday’s rematch, despite being given just a 30.3% chance of winning. View more of our free football tips on our dedicated predictions page.

Last five H2Hs: Waterford undefeated this season

Waterford have claimed four points from two meetings with Dundalk so far this term and they also got the better of the Lilywhites when the sides met in the cup back in September 2022.

Republic of Ireland Premier Division 13/09/24

Waterford FC

Waterford FC

2
Dundalk

Dundalk

1

Republic of Ireland Premier Division 10/05/24

Waterford FC

Waterford FC

4
Dundalk

Dundalk

1

Republic of Ireland Premier Division 15/03/24

Dundalk

Dundalk

0
Waterford FC

Waterford FC

0

Republic of Ireland FAI Cup 16/09/22

Waterford FC

Waterford FC

3
Dundalk

Dundalk

2

Europe Friendlies 29/01/22

Waterford FC

Waterford FC

2
Dundalk

Dundalk

1

Dundalk preview: Hosts missing trio

Jamie Gullan and Ross Munro are both out of action for Dundalk while George Shelvey is suspended and also misses out. Koen Oostenbrink and Dara Keane have knocks but should shake them off in time to feature.

Predicted lineup: Molloy (GK), Davies, Johnson, Boyle, Bradshaw, Horgan, Muller, Doyle, O'Kane, Benson, Elliott

Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior Cup 07/02/25

W

Shamrock Rovers

Shamrock Rovers

0

Dundalk

Dundalk

4

Europe Friendlies 31/01/25

W

Drogheda United

Drogheda United

0

Dundalk

Dundalk

1

Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior Cup 20/01/25

L

Usher Celtic

Usher Celtic

2

Dundalk

Dundalk

1

Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior Cup 17/01/25

W

Malahide Utd

Malahide Utd

0

Dundalk

Dundalk

4

Republic of Ireland Premier Division 01/11/24

D

Drogheda United

Drogheda United

0

Dundalk

Dundalk

0

Waterford preview: Gallagher serving a ban

Maleace Asamoah has a muscle issue which should keep him out for the next few weeks while Barry Baggley is also out with a back problem. Waterford are sitting in fourth spot ahead of Friday's game and could move into third with the right result.

Predicted lineup: Sargeant (GK), Power, Horton, Radkowski, Leahy, McDonald, Pattisson, McCormack, McMenamy, Parsons, Amond

Republic of Ireland Premier Division 09/05/25

W

Galway United

Galway United

0

Waterford FC

Waterford FC

1

Republic of Ireland Premier Division 05/05/25

W

Shelbourne

Shelbourne

0

Waterford FC

Waterford FC

1

Republic of Ireland Premier Division 02/05/25

W

Bohemians Dublin

Bohemians Dublin

1

Waterford FC

Waterford FC

2

Republic of Ireland Premier Division 25/04/25

W

Derry City

Derry City

1

Waterford FC

Waterford FC

2

Republic of Ireland Premier Division 21/04/25

L

Cork City

Cork City

2

Waterford FC

Waterford FC

1

Player to watch – Padraig Amond

Padraig Amond endured a frustrating even in his last outing against Shelbourne before the mid-season break, though the veteran striker had been in fine form before that, netting 11 goals in 20 games for the Blues.

Dundalk vs Waterford prediction
Padraig Amond is Waterford's leading scorer this term – Photo by Icon Sport

Target man Amond can threaten again

36-year-old Carlow man Amond has showcased his experience and class back in his homeland since moving back to Ireland to join Waterford from Woking.  Amond’s skillset is tough to handle and the Dundalk defence will have their work cut out to keep the frontman quiet this week.


Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.