Borussia Dortmund vs Wolfsburg prediction
Dortmund's clash with Wolfsburg is dripping with goal-market potential. (Photo by Imago)
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Over 2.5 total goals

Borussia Dortmund’s last five Bundesliga fixtures averaged a mammoth 4.60 goals per game and more excitement is expected in Die Schwarzgelben’s clash with Wolfsburg.

Borussia Dortmund lock horns with Wolfsburg at the SIGNAL IDUNA PARK in the German Bundesliga on Saturday, 3 May. Read our German football predictions for the tussle below.

Borussia Dortmund vs Wolfsburg prediction: Look to the goal markets

Key Stats

  • Wolfsburg have lost five and drawn one of their last five matches in the Bundesliga.
  • Borussia Dortmund have collected 13 of the last 15 points available in the Bundesliga.
  • Serhou Guirassy has scored six times in his last six appearances for Dortmund.
  • Dortmund won 3-1 when the teams last met in December.

Correct score prediction: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Wolfsburg

Borussia Dortmund have won four of their last five Bundesliga fixtures, netting at least three goals on each occasion and they should have the edge in terms of firepower over Wolfsburg.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Markets favour hosts

  • HOME: 1/3 (1.33) – 75%
  • DRAW: 19/4 (5.75) – 17.4%
  • AWAY: 13/2 (7.50) – 13.3%

*odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change

Borussia Dortmund’s 3-2 win at Hoffenheim last weekend kept them in the hunt for a top-four finish and the hosts have a 75% chance of maintaining their pursuit with a win on Saturday.

Wolfsburg lost 1-0 at home to Freiburg last time out to extend a poor recent run of form, so it comes as little surprise to see them priced as 13/2 underdogs here. View more of our latest football predictions and analysis on our dedicated page.

Most recent H2Hs: Borussia Dortmund have had the better of it

Borussia Dortmund have won three of their last five encounters with Wolfsburg and they haven’t lost at home to Die Wolfe since 2015.

Germany Bundesliga I 22/12/24

Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg

1
Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

3

Germany DFB Pokal 29/10/24

Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg

1
Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

0

Germany Bundesliga I 17/02/24

Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg

1
Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

1

Germany Bundesliga I 23/09/23

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

1
Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg

0

Germany Bundesliga I 07/05/23

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

6
Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg

0

Borussia Dortmund preview: Gross, Sabitzer and Schlotterbeck are out

Pascal Gross, Maximilian Beier, Marcel Sabitzer, Cole Campbell and Nico Schlotterbeck are injured for Dortmund. The hosts are in sixth spot, just two points behind Freiburg (4th) and one behind RB Leipzig (5th).

Predicted lineup: Kobel (GK), Sule, Anton, Bensebaini, Ryerson, Can, Nmecha, Svensson, Brandt, Gittens, Guirassy

Germany Bundesliga I 11/05/25

W

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

2

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

4

Germany Bundesliga I 03/05/25

W

Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg

0

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

4

Germany Bundesliga I 26/04/25

W

TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

2

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

3

Germany Bundesliga I 20/04/25

W

Borussia M'gladbach

Borussia M'gladbach

2

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

3

UEFA Champions League 15/04/25

W

Barcelona

Barcelona

1

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

3

Wolfsburg preview: Visitors have injury problems

Wolfsburg will be without the services of Rogerio, Marius Muller, Mathys Angely, Bennit Broger, Mattias Svanberg and Sebastiaan Bornauw on Saturday, while Max Arnold is suspended. Ralph Hasenhüttl's troops are limping towards the finish line and have won only once in nine attempts in the Bundesliga.

Predicted lineup Grabara (GK), Fischer, Vavro, Koulierakis, Paredes, Dardai, Gerhardt, Wimmer, Maehle, Wind, Amoura

Germany Bundesliga I 09/05/25

D

TSG Hoffenheim

TSG Hoffenheim

2

Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg

2

Germany Bundesliga I 03/05/25

L

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

4

Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg

0

Germany Bundesliga I 26/04/25

L

SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

1

Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg

0

Germany Bundesliga I 19/04/25

D

Mainz

Mainz

2

Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg

2

Germany Bundesliga I 11/04/25

L

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

3

Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg

2

Player to watch – Daniel Svensson

Promising Swedish wingback Daniel Svensson was handed a rare start for Dortmund last weekend and the 23-year-old grabbed his chance to impress, lodging two assists in his team’s 3-2 win over Hoffenheim.

Borussia Dortmund vs Wolfsburg prediction
Daniel Svensson nabbed two assists for Dortmund last weekend. (Photo by Imago)

Svensson to start again

Svensson hadn’t created a single goal in four Bundesliga starts this term before his double-assist impact against Hoffenheim, so the scarcely-used youngster will hope that last week’s influential display was enough to earn another start against Wolfsburg.


Simon Winter is a professional football tipster and sports journalist with over ten years in the industry. Best known for his time with Racing Post, Simon has also had work published by Freesupertips, Bloomberg Sports, bet365, Paddy Power, Colossus Bets, These Football Times and more. Simon covers the Bundesliga and Serie A for Football Whispers.